Mark Solomon joined DC VELOCITY as senior editor in August 2008, and was promoted to his current position on January 1, 2015. He has spent more than 30 years in the transportation, logistics and supply chain management fields as a journalist and public relations professional. From 1989 to 1994, he worked in Washington as a reporter for the Journal of Commerce, covering the aviation and trucking industries, the Department of Transportation, Congress and the U.S. Supreme Court. Prior to that, he worked for Traffic World for seven years in a similar role. From 1994 to 2008, Mr. Solomon ran Media-Based Solutions, a public relations firm based in Atlanta. He graduated in 1978 with a B.A. in journalism from The American University in Washington, D.C.
A long-awaited initiative was unveiled today to establish the first futures market to trade non-contract, or "spot," truckload rates.
The trading platform was developed by TransRisk, a Chattanooga-based company formed by Craig Fuller, the third generation of the family that founded U.S. Xpress Enterprises Inc., one of the country's largest privately held truckload carriers. TransRisk will work with Nodal Exchange LLC, a futures clearinghouse that will clear trades and settle accounts; Nodal supports trading activities primarily in the electricity and natural gas sectors. TransRisk will also partner with DAT Solutions LLC, a spot market load board provider that will supply major market pricing data to form the basis for participants' buy and sell decisions. It is expected to go live in late 2018.
The platform is designed to help participants better manage risk in the volatile spot market, which accounts for about 30 percent of business in the $700-billion-a-year truckload industry, and where prices on major traffic lanes can swing wildly from week to week due to multiple factors. Spot market prices have risen all year due to stronger freight demand, concerns about a shortage of qualified truck drivers, worries that compliance with a federal mandate to equip virtually all vehicles with electronic logging devices (ELDs) will reduce fleet productivity by as much as 10 percent, and the impact in the third quarter of hurricanes Harvey and Irma on truck capacity outside of the markets affected by the back-to-back storms. Spot market demand hit seven-year highs in September, according to DAT data.
Through the TransRisk platform, the market would set spot prices for truckload movements. A shipper with a contract rate of $1.25 a mile but needing future capacity might buy a futures contract to protect its margins should rates rise to $1.50 a mile several months out. Conversely, a carrier concerned spot rates could decline may sell a futures contract to lock in current prices and shield itself from a possible downward move in rates.
Contracts will have a maximum duration of one year. TransRisk will not book loads or manage trucks, nor deliver cargo. TransRisk will charge a 0.5-percent commission on each transaction. The platform will be used initially to trade dry van prices, though Fuller hopes to expand it to cover flatbed, refrigerated, and dry bulk transport rates. Cloud-based information systems will support the platform, he added.
Freight brokers, carriers, and shippers "are exposed to market conditions without viable hedging alternatives to manage price risk," the companies said in a joint statement. "These new contracts will provide participants much needed risk management tools to hedge their freight lane exposure."
In an interview with DC Velocity prior to today's announcement, Fuller said the objective is to introduce honest dealing into a "liar's poker" atmosphere in which bidding, bluffing, and chicanery are intertwined in a zero-sum game, where one side gains at the expense of the other. By being allowed to weigh the magnitude of price movements and to buy and sell contracts on those hunches, shippers, brokers, and carriers "could be much more honest about their demand and capacity," Fuller said. This leads to greater integrity and transparency, which will spawn better decision making on all sides, he added.
Fuller said the platform was not built to support the daily load-matching activities of transactional brokers. Rather, it is for third party logistics providers (3PLs) that have deeper, long-term relationships with shippers but also have meaningful hedging needs.
The truckload industry is one of the biggest businesses in the U.S. without an underlying futures market.
RJW Logistics Group, a logistics solutions provider (LSP) for consumer packaged goods (CPG) brands, has received a “strategic investment” from Boston-based private equity firm Berkshire partners, and now plans to drive future innovations and expand its geographic reach, the Woodridge, Illinois-based company said Tuesday.
Terms of the deal were not disclosed, but the company said that CEO Kevin Williamson and other members of RJW management will continue to be “significant investors” in the company, while private equity firm Mason Wells, which invested in RJW in 2019, will maintain a minority investment position.
RJW is an asset-based transportation, logistics, and warehousing provider, operating more than 7.3 million square feet of consolidation warehouse space in the transportation hubs of Chicago and Dallas and employing 1,900 people. RJW says it partners with over 850 CPG brands and delivers to more than 180 retailers nationwide. According to the company, its retail logistics solutions save cost, improve visibility, and achieve industry-leading On-Time, In-Full (OTIF) performance. Those improvements drive increased in-stock rates and sales, benefiting both CPG brands and their retailer partners, the firm says.
"After several years of mitigating inflation, disruption, supply shocks, conflicts, and uncertainty, we are currently in a relative period of calm," John Paitek, vice president, GEP, said in a release. "But it is very much the calm before the coming storm. This report provides procurement and supply chain leaders with a prescriptive guide to weathering the gale force headwinds of protectionism, tariffs, trade wars, regulatory pressures, uncertainty, and the AI revolution that we will face in 2025."
A report from the company released today offers predictions and strategies for the upcoming year, organized into six major predictions in GEP’s “Outlook 2025: Procurement & Supply Chain” report.
Advanced AI agents will play a key role in demand forecasting, risk monitoring, and supply chain optimization, shifting procurement's mandate from tactical to strategic. Companies should invest in the technology now to to streamline processes and enhance decision-making.
Expanded value metrics will drive decisions, as success will be measured by resilience, sustainability, and compliance… not just cost efficiency. Companies should communicate value beyond cost savings to stakeholders, and develop new KPIs.
Increasing regulatory demands will necessitate heightened supply chain transparency and accountability. So companies should strengthen supplier audits, adopt ESG tracking tools, and integrate compliance into strategic procurement decisions.
Widening tariffs and trade restrictions will force companies to reassess total cost of ownership (TCO) metrics to include geopolitical and environmental risks, as nearshoring and friendshoring attempt to balance resilience with cost.
Rising energy costs and regulatory demands will accelerate the shift to sustainable operations, pushing companies to invest in renewable energy and redesign supply chains to align with ESG commitments.
New tariffs could drive prices higher, just as inflation has come under control and interest rates are returning to near-zero levels. That means companies must continue to secure cost savings as their primary responsibility.
Freight transportation sector analysts with US Bank say they expect change on the horizon in that market for 2025, due to possible tariffs imposed by a new White House administration, the return of East and Gulf coast port strikes, and expanding freight fraud.
“All three of these merit scrutiny, and that is our promise as we roll into the new year,” the company said in a statement today.
First, US Bank said a new administration will occupy the White House and will control the House and Senate for the first time since 2016. With an announced mandate on tariffs, taxes and trade from his electoral victory, President-Elect Trump’s anticipated actions are almost certain to impact the supply chain, the bank said.
Second, a strike by longshoreman at East Coast and Gulf ports was suspended in October, but the can was only kicked until mid-January. Shipper alarm bells are already ringing, and with peak season in full swing, the West coast ports are roaring, having absorbed containers bound for the East. However, that status may not be sustainable in the event of a prolonged strike in January, US Bank said.
And third, analyst are tracking the proliferation of freight fraud, and its reverberations across the supply chain. No longer the realm of petty criminals, freight fraudsters have become increasingly sophisticated, and the financial toll of their activities in the loss of goods, and data, is expected to be in the billions, the bank estimates.
Specifically, 48% of respondents identified rising tariffs and trade barriers as their top concern, followed by supply chain disruptions at 45% and geopolitical instability at 41%. Moreover, tariffs and trade barriers ranked as the priority issue regardless of company size, as respondents at companies with less than 250 employees, 251-500, 501-1,000, 1,001-50,000 and 50,000+ employees all cited it as the most significant issue they are currently facing.
“Evolving tariffs and trade policies are one of a number of complex issues requiring organizations to build more resilience into their supply chains through compliance, technology and strategic planning,” Jackson Wood, Director, Industry Strategy at Descartes, said in a release. “With the potential for the incoming U.S. administration to impose new and additional tariffs on a wide variety of goods and countries of origin, U.S. importers may need to significantly re-engineer their sourcing strategies to mitigate potentially higher costs.”
A measure of business conditions for shippers improved in September due to lower fuel costs, looser trucking capacity, and lower freight rates, but the freight transportation forecasting firm FTR still expects readings to be weaker and closer to neutral through its two-year forecast period.
Bloomington, Indiana-based FTR is maintaining its stance that trucking conditions will improve, even though its Shippers Conditions Index (SCI) improved in September to 4.6 from a 2.9 reading in August, reaching its strongest level of the year.
“The fact that September’s index is the strongest since last December is not a sign that shippers’ market conditions are steadily improving,” Avery Vise, FTR’s vice president of trucking, said in a release.
“September and May were modest outliers this year in a market that is at least becoming more balanced. We expect that trend to continue and for SCI readings to be mostly negative to neutral in 2025 and 2026. However, markets in transition tend to be volatile, so further outliers are likely and possibly in both directions. The supply chain implications of tariffs are a wild card for 2025 especially,” he said.
The SCI tracks the changes representing four major conditions in the U.S. full-load freight market: freight demand, freight rates, fleet capacity, and fuel price. Combined into a single index, a positive score represents good, optimistic conditions, while a negative score represents bad, pessimistic conditions.