Robotics can help speed up the returns process—but only if you’ve laid the groundwork with a detailed, technology-enabled protocol for getting those surging volumes under control.
Victoria Kickham started her career as a newspaper reporter in the Boston area before moving into B2B journalism. She has covered manufacturing, distribution and supply chain issues for a variety of publications in the industrial and electronics sectors, and now writes about everything from forklift batteries to omnichannel business trends for DC Velocity.
Managing post-holiday returns can be a headache for even the best-run distribution centers, and it’s getting more intense as the volume of returns soars in today’s era of e-commerce. Consumers returned about $760 billion worth of merchandise in 2021, according to data from the National Retail Federation (NRF)—a figure some industry watchers expect to top $1 trillion this year. The staggering volume is shining a light on reverse logistics, and more companies are looking for ways to better manage the process, including applying robotics and automation.
“Returns are a massive problem for the whole industry—because the volume is so high,” explains Gaurav Saran, founder and CEO of ReverseLogix, a developer of returns management software (RMS) for business-to-business (B2B) and business-to-consumer (B2C) clients. “And all indications are that we will continue the trend, with returns being exceptionally high every year.”
Retailers deal with an average 17% returns rate—also according to NRF data from 2021—but Saran and others say that figure can reach as high as 30% during peak holiday season. At those levels, reverse logistics is ripe for automation, but companies have been slow to apply it for a variety of reasons.
First and foremost, returns are a far more complex process than forward logistics, in which inventory is received in mint condition—often neatly stacked on pallets or in boxes—and can be scanned and entered into inventory without too much hassle. From there, companies can apply robotics in a variety of ways to help speed putaway, fulfillment, and shipping. Returns are another story, requiring additional layers of processing to check a product’s condition before determining whether it can be sent back to inventory or should be dispatched to one of many other possible destinations—layers that add time and labor to the process, making automating returns more challenging.
But there is progress. Companies with detailed, tech-enabled processes for handling returns are finding success applying robotics to the problem, and Saran and others say 2023 may be the year the application finally takes off.
“I think it’s becoming really relevant,” Saran explains, emphasizing the importance of an intelligent returns management process that can integrate with robotic solutions. “If robotics is helping on forward fulfillment, and you know [that as much as] 30% is coming back, then robotics can add value.”
SETTING THE STAGE WITH BACK-END TECHNOLOGY
There are two main stages of the returns journey: initiation of the return on the front end, with the customer; and then processing the return when it arrives at the DC. For the most part, robotics come into play at the DC. Items often arrive piled up in gaylords—large cardboard containers the size of a pallet—from which they must be removed, inspected, and sorted.
“When items come back to the physical warehouse, you want to be prepared, from a technology perspective, to process those returns as quickly as you can,” Saran says, explaining that a centralized software system that provides visibility from the start of the return through receipt of the item can help speed things along. Digital details about what type of item is being returned and why are vital, as is guidance on what to do at each step along the way.
Most commonly, DC workers will manually remove and scan each returned item to determine its next stop on the journey. The level of detail provided in that scan can streamline the process and allow robotics to kick in and help. Does a returned sweater simply require repackaging so it can be put back into stock as first quality, or is it slightly worn, requiring a different strategy? Robotics can only take over after the electronic scan tells the system where to send the item.
“The retailer or brand has to look at how they make the front-end experience good, but when it arrives, they have to be able to process it in the most efficient and transparent way and then ‘apply’ the right disposition,” Saran says. “Robotics can help with the movement, but if you don’t have the right system in place to improve the overall process, it won’t matter.”
Sean O’Farrell, vice president of operations for Tompkins Robotics, agrees. Companies can program their IT systems to sort returns to a variety of locations from the DC—a repair area; back to inventory; to a wholesaler, charity, or waste bin; or back to the vendor, for example—and that information can then be integrated with a robotics system. Tompkins Robotics is applying its tSort robots to returns with a handful of customers who have those technological capabilities, which account for about 10% of the company’s business. O’Farrell says he expects that business to grow considerably over the next few years, primarily because of the accelerating volume of returns and because companies are increasingly outsourcing returns to third-party logistics service providers (3PLs)—often large players with sophisticated DCs that are looking for high-tech solutions for handling returns.
“Because of the accelerating growth on the retail side of the business, companies are pushing returns out to 3PLs, who have been quite successful in securing that business,” O’Farrell explains. “Returns are labor intensive, and that means a push toward automation.”
GETTING IT DONE WITH AMRs, AGVs, AND MORE
The most common types of robotics used for returns are autonomous mobile robots (AMRs), robotic arms for pick and place, robotic pick walls, and automated guided vehicles (AGVs), which can be used to move full pallets and gaylords around the DC, according to O’Farrell. Tompkins Robotics’ tSort robots fall into the AMR category. The small robots act like a tilt-tray or crossbelt sorter without a fixed track, moving independently to any divert or induction station along the shortest path. The robots come in different sizes to accommodate a range of items—from jewelry and pharmaceuticals to cartons and heavy goods—and the robot fleets can be scaled up or down to meet seasonal demands. That scalability and flexibility have made AMRs an attractive option for many companies looking to automate their DCs, especially organizations that are looking to dip their toe into robotics without a large-scale investment.
“AMRs have really revolutionized warehousing with many companies over the last few years,” O’Farrell explains. “Companies understand the tangible benefits that AMRs bring to their operations, and they like not having automation fixed [or] fastened to the floor. AMR [systems] can easily be expanded, especially during peak holiday times. One of my favorite aspects of AMRs is [that they allow] smaller companies to get into automation to compete and grow their [business].”
Those factors are also what makes AMRs easily adaptable for returns. One of Tompkins Robotics’ 3PL customers is using tSort robots to handle cellphone returns for a manufacturing client, addressing a labor challenge that was slowing down the largely manual process the 3PL had been using. Workers at the DC were sorting the returns by hand and then walking them to their ultimate destination. Today, workers still remove the returned phones from a gaylord by hand, but they scan them into a returns management system and then place them on an AMR, which automatically delivers the items to the next stop on their journey. The robotic system knows to deliver the phone to a repair center, back to inventory, or to the vendor, among other possibilities, thanks to the information in the customer’s IT system.
Another Tompkins customer is applying the technology to sort and move returned apparel it buys in bulk from other retailers and then sells through its own inventory network. The customer needed a faster way to move items arriving in gaylords off the loading dock and into inventory for immediate sale. AGVs move the gaylords to an induction station, where workers remove and scan the items and, as with the cellphone example, place them on an AMR, which delivers them to the next destination.
In both examples, the customer has reduced the number of “touches” required for a return while also reducing the time required to process the material from receipt to disposition.
Such projects are likely to increase. ReverseLogix is working on partnerships with some of the industry’s major robotics companies to integrate its returns management software with existing robotics on the warehouse and DC floor, for example. Saran says the work stems from the company’s relationships with some of the industry’s largest 3PLs, who are using ReverseLogix to improve visibility into returns but need to take the next step to apply that insight to moving returns within the DC. Making that connection will be vital to handling accelerating returns volumes in the years ahead.
“More companies are realizing that returns need to be processed intelligently,” Saran says. “Then robotics can manage it the rest of the way.”
Consumer demands drive change in reverse logistics
A recent survey by last-mile logistics technology developer FarEye underscores the exponential growth in returns volumes worldwide and the resulting pressure on retailers and logistics service companies to find solutions that will ease the handling process.
The survey polled 1,000 U.S. and U.K. consumers about their expectations for the returns process this past holiday season and found that high return rates are here to stay, driven by recent changes in consumer buying behavior that have become permanent. FarEye found that roughly 61% of U.S. consumers and 51% of U.K. consumers made returns during the 2021 holiday season, and that 42% of U.S. consumers and 53% of U.K. consumers expected to make returns in the 2022 post-holiday season. Bracketing—the practice of buying multiple items online with the intention of returning some—is a driving factor, according to the report, which found that nearly 30% of U.S. consumers and almost half of U.K. consumers planned to do so during the recent peak season.
Flexibility and convenience also reign supreme in the returns process. FarEye found that 84% of U.S. consumers and 82% of U.K. consumers expect to be able to make a return anywhere from 30 to 90 days from the date of purchase, for example. In addition, both U.S. and U.K. consumers say they would like to be able to return items in store as well as at a post office or dropoff point.
“Consumer expectations will no doubt remain high throughout the holiday shopping season—one of the most profitable and critical revenue time periods for retailers,” said FarEye co-founder and CEO Kushal Nahata in a November press release. “As retailers continue to simplify the last-mile delivery experience, they cannot forget about the returns experience. This … should be just as simple as the delivery experience.”
Measured over the entire year of 2024, retailers estimate that 16.9% of their annual sales will be returned. But that total figure includes a spike of returns during the holidays; a separate NRF study found that for the 2024 winter holidays, retailers expect their return rate to be 17% higher, on average, than their annual return rate.
Despite the cost of handling that massive reverse logistics task, retailers grin and bear it because product returns are so tightly integrated with brand loyalty, offering companies an additional touchpoint to provide a positive interaction with their customers, NRF Vice President of Industry and Consumer Insights Katherine Cullen said in a release. According to NRF’s research, 76% of consumers consider free returns a key factor in deciding where to shop, and 67% say a negative return experience would discourage them from shopping with a retailer again. And 84% of consumers report being more likely to shop with a retailer that offers no box/no label returns and immediate refunds.
So in response to consumer demand, retailers continue to enhance the return experience for customers. More than two-thirds of retailers surveyed (68%) say they are prioritizing upgrading their returns capabilities within the next six months. In addition, improving the returns experience and reducing the return rate are viewed as two of the most important elements for businesses in achieving their 2025 goals.
However, retailers also must balance meeting consumer demand for seamless returns against rising costs. Fraudulent and abusive returns practices create both logistical and financial challenges for retailers. A majority (93%) of retailers said retail fraud and other exploitive behavior is a significant issue for their business. In terms of abuse, bracketing – purchasing multiple items with the intent to return some – has seen growth among younger consumers, with 51% of Gen Z consumers indicating they engage in this practice.
“Return policies are no longer just a post-purchase consideration – they’re shaping how younger generations shop from the start,” David Sobie, co-founder and CEO of Happy Returns, said in a release. “With behaviors like bracketing and rising return rates putting strain on traditional systems, retailers need to rethink reverse logistics. Solutions like no box/no label returns with item verification enable immediate refunds, meeting customer expectations for convenience while increasing accuracy, reducing fraud and helping to protect profitability in a competitive market.”
The research came from two complementary surveys conducted this fall, allowing NRF and Happy Returns to compare perspectives from both sides. They included one that gathered responses from 2,007 consumers who had returned at least one online purchase within the past year, and another from 249 e-commerce and finance professionals from large U.S. retailers.
The “series A” round was led by Andreessen Horowitz (a16z), with participation from Y Combinator and strategic industry investors, including RyderVentures. It follows an earlier, previously undisclosed, pre-seed round raised 1.5 years ago, that was backed by Array Ventures and other angel investors.
“Our mission is to redefine the economics of the freight industry by harnessing the power of agentic AI,ˮ Pablo Palafox, HappyRobotʼs co-founder and CEO, said in a release. “This funding will enable us to accelerate product development, expand and support our customer base, and ultimately transform how logistics businesses operate.ˮ
According to the firm, its conversational AI platform uses agentic AI—a term for systems that can autonomously make decisions and take actions to achieve specific goals—to simplify logistics operations. HappyRobot says its tech can automate tasks like inbound and outbound calls, carrier negotiations, and data capture, thus enabling brokers to enhance efficiency and capacity, improve margins, and free up human agents to focus on higher-value activities.
“Today, the logistics industry underpinning our global economy is stretched,” Anish Acharya, general partner at a16z, said. “As a key part of the ecosystem, even small to midsize freight brokers can make and receive hundreds, if not thousands, of calls per day – and hiring for this job is increasingly difficult. By providing customers with autonomous decision making, HappyRobotʼs agentic AI platform helps these brokers operate more reliably and efficiently.ˮ
RJW Logistics Group, a logistics solutions provider (LSP) for consumer packaged goods (CPG) brands, has received a “strategic investment” from Boston-based private equity firm Berkshire partners, and now plans to drive future innovations and expand its geographic reach, the Woodridge, Illinois-based company said Tuesday.
Terms of the deal were not disclosed, but the company said that CEO Kevin Williamson and other members of RJW management will continue to be “significant investors” in the company, while private equity firm Mason Wells, which invested in RJW in 2019, will maintain a minority investment position.
RJW is an asset-based transportation, logistics, and warehousing provider, operating more than 7.3 million square feet of consolidation warehouse space in the transportation hubs of Chicago and Dallas and employing 1,900 people. RJW says it partners with over 850 CPG brands and delivers to more than 180 retailers nationwide. According to the company, its retail logistics solutions save cost, improve visibility, and achieve industry-leading On-Time, In-Full (OTIF) performance. Those improvements drive increased in-stock rates and sales, benefiting both CPG brands and their retailer partners, the firm says.
"After several years of mitigating inflation, disruption, supply shocks, conflicts, and uncertainty, we are currently in a relative period of calm," John Paitek, vice president, GEP, said in a release. "But it is very much the calm before the coming storm. This report provides procurement and supply chain leaders with a prescriptive guide to weathering the gale force headwinds of protectionism, tariffs, trade wars, regulatory pressures, uncertainty, and the AI revolution that we will face in 2025."
A report from the company released today offers predictions and strategies for the upcoming year, organized into six major predictions in GEP’s “Outlook 2025: Procurement & Supply Chain” report.
Advanced AI agents will play a key role in demand forecasting, risk monitoring, and supply chain optimization, shifting procurement's mandate from tactical to strategic. Companies should invest in the technology now to to streamline processes and enhance decision-making.
Expanded value metrics will drive decisions, as success will be measured by resilience, sustainability, and compliance… not just cost efficiency. Companies should communicate value beyond cost savings to stakeholders, and develop new KPIs.
Increasing regulatory demands will necessitate heightened supply chain transparency and accountability. So companies should strengthen supplier audits, adopt ESG tracking tools, and integrate compliance into strategic procurement decisions.
Widening tariffs and trade restrictions will force companies to reassess total cost of ownership (TCO) metrics to include geopolitical and environmental risks, as nearshoring and friendshoring attempt to balance resilience with cost.
Rising energy costs and regulatory demands will accelerate the shift to sustainable operations, pushing companies to invest in renewable energy and redesign supply chains to align with ESG commitments.
New tariffs could drive prices higher, just as inflation has come under control and interest rates are returning to near-zero levels. That means companies must continue to secure cost savings as their primary responsibility.
Freight transportation sector analysts with US Bank say they expect change on the horizon in that market for 2025, due to possible tariffs imposed by a new White House administration, the return of East and Gulf coast port strikes, and expanding freight fraud.
“All three of these merit scrutiny, and that is our promise as we roll into the new year,” the company said in a statement today.
First, US Bank said a new administration will occupy the White House and will control the House and Senate for the first time since 2016. With an announced mandate on tariffs, taxes and trade from his electoral victory, President-Elect Trump’s anticipated actions are almost certain to impact the supply chain, the bank said.
Second, a strike by longshoreman at East Coast and Gulf ports was suspended in October, but the can was only kicked until mid-January. Shipper alarm bells are already ringing, and with peak season in full swing, the West coast ports are roaring, having absorbed containers bound for the East. However, that status may not be sustainable in the event of a prolonged strike in January, US Bank said.
And third, analyst are tracking the proliferation of freight fraud, and its reverberations across the supply chain. No longer the realm of petty criminals, freight fraudsters have become increasingly sophisticated, and the financial toll of their activities in the loss of goods, and data, is expected to be in the billions, the bank estimates.