Mark Solomon joined DC VELOCITY as senior editor in August 2008, and was promoted to his current position on January 1, 2015. He has spent more than 30 years in the transportation, logistics and supply chain management fields as a journalist and public relations professional. From 1989 to 1994, he worked in Washington as a reporter for the Journal of Commerce, covering the aviation and trucking industries, the Department of Transportation, Congress and the U.S. Supreme Court. Prior to that, he worked for Traffic World for seven years in a similar role. From 1994 to 2008, Mr. Solomon ran Media-Based Solutions, a public relations firm based in Atlanta. He graduated in 1978 with a B.A. in journalism from The American University in Washington, D.C.
The Federal Motor Carrier Safety Administration today finalized a rule requiring electronic logging devices (ELDs) be installed in virtually all commercial motor vehicles by the end of 2017, ending a five-year legal and regulatory battle that still has some in the industry concerned about how small operators will comply with the rule's costs and stay in business.
FMCSA, a subagency of the Department of Transportation, said the rule applies digital technology to a traditionally manual process to improve compliance with federal hours-of-service regulations designed to prevent driver fatigue. The rule phases out the 77-year practice of using paper logs to track driver on- and off-duty times.
An ELD automatically records driving time. It monitors engine hours, vehicle movement, miles driven, and location information. It does not track a driver's personal whereabouts. Truckers that have already installed ELDs on a voluntary basis will have an additional two years past the initial phase to comply with the new regulations. FMCSA estimated the average annualized per-vehicle cost of a basic ELD—one that would satisfy its mandate—at $495.
The costs escalate from there, however. One carrier, which FMCSA did not identify, told the agency it spent more than $100,000 a year to install, maintain, monitor, and replace ELDs for its fleet of 200 trucks. That expense didn't include the costs of downtime when an ELD wasn't working, or any penalties and inactivity at a job site because a load wasn't delivered on time, the carrier told the agency.
The final rule, which came down as had been generally expected, is one of several government mandates that could lead to significant driver and rig attrition due to the compliance costs of each. Although the supply-demand scales are today roughly in balance, analysts expect capacity to significantly tighten in two to three years as the financial burdens of rules like ELD compliance force many smaller operators, the backbone of the nation's truck fleet, to exit the business. This, in turn, will result in a meaningful increase in freight rates, according to various analysts.
DOT officials hailed the rule as heralding a new and improved era in highway safety and efficiency. "Since 1938, complex, on-duty/off-duty logs for truck and bus drivers were made with pencil and paper, virtually impossible to verify," said U.S. Transportation Secretary Anthony Foxx in a statement. "This automated technology not only brings logging records into the modern age, it also allows roadside safety inspectors to unmask violations of federal law that put lives at risk."
The rule will save, on average, 26 lives and prevent 562 injuries per year caused by crashes involving large commercial motor vehicles, FMCSA said. It will generate annual net benefits of $1 billion, largely by reducing the amount of required industry paperwork, the agency said. For example, in most cases a carrier would not be forced to retain supporting documents verifying a driver's on-duty driving time, the agency said. The switch to digital records will also make it faster and easier for roadside law-enforcement personnel to review driver records, FMCSA said.
Addressing concerns by groups like the Owner-Operator Independent Drivers Association (OOIDA), which represents about 150,000 independent drivers, that trucking firms could use the technology to micromanage and ultimately harass drivers, FMCSA said "strict protections" of drivers are embedded in the rule to insulate them from harassment.
The ELD rulemaking process had been in legal limbo since August 2011, when a federal appeals court froze the original 2010 FMCSA rule on grounds it didn't do enough to protect drivers from the possibility of harassment by fleet owners and operators. The original rule was set to take effect in mid-2012, but the court's order returning the rule to the FMCSA upended that timetable.
The new rule establishes technology specifications detailing ELD performance and design requirements so manufacturers can produce compliant devices and systems, FMCSA said. The rule permits smart phones and other wireless devices to be used as ELDs if they satisfy technical specifications, are certified, and are listed on an FMCSA website, the agency said. Canada- and Mexico-domiciled drivers will be required to use ELDs when operating on U.S. roadways.
The American Trucking Associations (ATA), which represents large trucking firms, some of whom have already installed ELDs across their fleets, called the rule a "historic step forward" for the industry. "This regulation will change the trucking industry—for the better—forever," Bill Graves, ATA's president and CEO, said in a statement. "An already safe and efficient industry will get more so with the aid of this proven technology."
OOIDA, which has argued the rules do virtually nothing to improve highway safety while laying onerous cost and process burdens on smaller carriers, repeated its concerns in an e-mailed statement. "We know of no technology that automatically tracks a driver's record-of-duty status, and so ELDs will not be able to verify compliance with hours-of-service regulations," OOIDA said. "ELDs can only track (the) movement of a truck and approximate location, not a driver's work status, which requires input from the driver." The group added that it will be "interested to learn the specifics on how the agency intends to deal with the issue of harassment."
Critics of the FMCSA proposal contend that fleets will not only confront the costs of buying hardware and software, but will also face a productivity hit as they adapt their systems and processes to the new technology. Various groups said in comments to the FMCSA that truckers have dramatically improved their safety performance and that there was no need for a costly rule. OOIDA said the rule's costs could be the "proverbial straw that breaks the camel's back."
The group also expressed concern that the rule did not address whether a driver or a carrier contracting out the driver's services should bear the cost of paying for mandatory ELD use. In response, FMCSA said its mission is to promote highway safety and that it would be the private sector's responsibility to sort out the cost issues. The agency said, however, that fleets that buy ELDs in bulk could pass any volume savings on to their driver contractors. It also noted that overall costs could decline as companies comply with the mandate and the technology gains wider acceptance.
Artificial intelligence (AI) and data science were hot business topics in 2024 and will remain on the front burner in 2025, according to recent research published in AI in Action, a series of technology-focused columns in the MIT Sloan Management Review.
In Five Trends in AI and Data Science for 2025, researchers Tom Davenport and Randy Bean outline ways in which AI and our data-driven culture will continue to shape the business landscape in the coming year. The information comes from a range of recent AI-focused research projects, including the 2025 AI & Data Leadership Executive Benchmark Survey, an annual survey of data, analytics, and AI executives conducted by Bean’s educational firm, Data & AI Leadership Exchange.
The five trends range from the promise of agentic AI to the struggle over which C-suite role should oversee data and AI responsibilities. At a glance, they reveal that:
Leaders will grapple with both the promise and hype around agentic AI. Agentic AI—which handles tasks independently—is on the rise, in the form of generative AI bots that can perform some content-creation tasks. But the authors say it will be a while before such tools can handle major tasks—like make a travel reservation or conduct a banking transaction.
The time has come to measure results from generative AI experiments. The authors say very few companies are carefully measuring productivity gains from AI projects—particularly when it comes to figuring out what their knowledge-based workers are doing with the freed-up time those projects provide. Doing so is vital to profiting from AI investments.
The reality about data-driven culture sets in. The authors found that 92% of survey respondents feel that cultural and change management challenges are the primary barriers to becoming data- and AI-driven—indicating that the shift to AI is about much more than just the technology.
Unstructured data is important again. The ability to apply Generative AI tools to manage unstructured data—such as text, images, and video—is putting a renewed focus on getting all that data into shape, which takes a whole lot of human effort. As the authors explain “organizations need to pick the best examples of each document type, tag or graph the content, and get it loaded into the system.” And many companies simply aren’t there yet.
Who should run data and AI? Expect continued struggle. Should these roles be concentrated on the business or tech side of the organization? Opinions differ, and as the roles themselves continue to evolve, the authors say companies should expect to continue to wrestle with responsibilities and reporting structures.
Shippers today are praising an 11th-hour contract agreement that has averted the threat of a strike by dockworkers at East and Gulf coast ports that could have frozen container imports and exports as soon as January 16.
The agreement came late last night between the International Longshoremen’s Association (ILA) representing some 45,000 workers and the United States Maritime Alliance (USMX) that includes the operators of port facilities up and down the coast.
Details of the new agreement on those issues have not yet been made public, but in the meantime, retailers and manufacturers are heaving sighs of relief that trade flows will continue.
“Providing certainty with a new contract and avoiding further disruptions is paramount to ensure retail goods arrive in a timely manner for consumers. The agreement will also pave the way for much-needed modernization efforts, which are essential for future growth at these ports and the overall resiliency of our nation’s supply chain,” Gold said.
The next step in the process is for both sides to ratify the tentative agreement, so negotiators have agreed to keep those details private in the meantime, according to identical statements released by the ILA and the USMX. In their joint statement, the groups called the six-year deal a “win-win,” saying: “This agreement protects current ILA jobs and establishes a framework for implementing technologies that will create more jobs while modernizing East and Gulf coasts ports – making them safer and more efficient, and creating the capacity they need to keep our supply chains strong. This is a win-win agreement that creates ILA jobs, supports American consumers and businesses, and keeps the American economy the key hub of the global marketplace.”
The breakthrough hints at broader supply chain trends, which will focus on the tension between operational efficiency and workforce job protection, not just at ports but across other sectors as well, according to a statement from Judah Levine, head of research at Freightos, a freight booking and payment platform. Port automation was the major sticking point leading up to this agreement, as the USMX pushed for technologies to make ports more efficient, while the ILA opposed automation or semi-automation that could threaten jobs.
"This is a six-year détente in the tech-versus-labor tug-of-war at U.S. ports," Levine said. “Automation remains a lightning rod—and likely one we’ll see in other industries—but this deal suggests a cautious path forward."
Editor's note: This story was revised on January 9 to include additional input from the ILA, USMX, and Freightos.
Logistics industry growth slowed in December due to a seasonal wind-down of inventory and following one of the busiest holiday shopping seasons on record, according to the latest Logistics Managers’ Index (LMI) report, released this week.
The monthly LMI was 57.3 in December, down more than a percentage point from November’s reading of 58.4. Despite the slowdown, economic activity across the industry continued to expand, as an LMI reading above 50 indicates growth and a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
The LMI researchers said the monthly conditions were largely due to seasonal drawdowns in inventory levels—and the associated costs of holding them—at the retail level. The LMI’s Inventory Levels index registered 50, falling from 56.1 in November. That reduction also affected warehousing capacity, which slowed but remained in expansion mode: The LMI’s warehousing capacity index fell 7 points to a reading of 61.6.
December’s results reflect a continued trend toward more typical industry growth patterns following recent years of volatility—and they point to a successful peak holiday season as well.
“Retailers were clearly correct in their bet to stock [up] on goods ahead of the holiday season,” the LMI researchers wrote in their monthly report. “Holiday sales from November until Christmas Eve were up 3.8% year-over-year according to Mastercard. This was largely driven by a 6.7% increase in e-commerce sales, although in-person spending was up 2.9% as well.”
And those results came during a compressed peak shopping cycle.
“The increase in spending came despite the shorter holiday season due to the late Thanksgiving,” the researchers also wrote, citing National Retail Federation (NRF) estimates that U.S. shoppers spent just short of a trillion dollars in November and December, making it the busiest holiday season of all time.
The LMI is a monthly survey of logistics managers from across the country. It tracks industry growth overall and across eight areas: inventory levels and costs; warehousing capacity, utilization, and prices; and transportation capacity, utilization, and prices. The report is released monthly by researchers from Arizona State University, Colorado State University, Rochester Institute of Technology, Rutgers University, and the University of Nevada, Reno, in conjunction with the Council of Supply Chain Management Professionals (CSCMP).
The overall national industrial real estate vacancy rate edged higher in the fourth quarter, although it still remains well below pre-pandemic levels, according to an analysis by Cushman & Wakefield.
Vacancy rates shrunk during the pandemic to historically low levels as e-commerce sales—and demand for warehouse space—boomed in response to massive numbers of people working and living from home. That frantic pace is now cooling off but real estate demand remains elevated from a long-term perspective.
“We've witnessed an uptick among firms looking to lease larger buildings to support their omnichannel fulfillment strategies and maintain inventory for their e-commerce, wholesale, and retail stock. This trend is not just about space, but about efficiency and customer satisfaction,” Jason Tolliver, President, Logistics & Industrial Services, said in a release. “Meanwhile, we're also seeing a flurry of activity to support forward-deployed stock models, a strategy that keeps products closer to the market they serve and where customers order them, promising quicker deliveries and happier customers.“
The latest figures show that industrial vacancy is likely nearing its peak for this cooling cycle in the coming quarters, Cushman & Wakefield analysts said.
Compared to the third quarter, the vacancy rate climbed 20 basis points to 6.7%, but that level was still 30 basis points below the 10-year, pre-pandemic average. Likewise, overall net absorption in the fourth quarter—a term for the amount of newly developed property leased by clients—measured 36.8 million square feet, up from the 33.3 million square feet recorded in the third quarter, but down 20% on a year-over-year basis.
In step with those statistics, real estate developers slowed their plans to erect more buildings. New construction deliveries continued to decelerate for the second straight quarter. Just 85.3 million square feet of new industrial product was completed in the fourth quarter, down 8% quarter-over-quarter and 48% versus one year ago.
Likewise, only four geographic markets saw more than 20 million square feet of completions year-to-date, compared to 10 markets in 2023. Meanwhile, as construction starts remained tempered overall, the under-development pipeline has continued to thin out, dropping by 36% annually to its lowest level (290.5 million square feet) since the third quarter of 2018.
Despite the dip in demand last quarter, the market for industrial space remains relatively healthy, Cushman & Wakefield said.
“After a year of hesitancy, logistics is entering a new, sustained growth phase,” Tolliver said. “Corporate capital is being deployed to optimize supply chains, diversify networks, and minimize potential risks. What's particularly encouraging is the proactive approach of retailers, wholesalers, and 3PLs, who are not just reacting to the market, but shaping it. 2025 will be a year characterized by this bias for action.”
The three companies say the deal will allow clients to both define ideal set-ups for new warehouses and to continuously enhance existing facilities with Mega, an Nvidia Omniverse blueprint for large-scale industrial digital twins. The strategy includes a digital twin powered by physical AI – AI models that embody principles and qualities of the physical world – to improve the performance of intelligent warehouses that operate with automated forklifts, smart cameras and automation and robotics solutions.
The partners’ approach will take advantage of digital twins to plan warehouses and train robots, they said. “Future warehouses will function like massive autonomous robots, orchestrating fleets of robots within them,” Jensen Huang, founder and CEO of Nvidia, said in a release. “By integrating Omniverse and Mega into their solutions, Kion and Accenture can dramatically accelerate the development of industrial AI and autonomy for the world’s distribution and logistics ecosystem.”
Kion said it will use Nvidia’s technology to provide digital twins of warehouses that allows facility operators to design the most efficient and safe warehouse configuration without interrupting operations for testing. That includes optimizing the number of robots, workers, and automation equipment. The digital twin provides a testing ground for all aspects of warehouse operations, including facility layouts, the behavior of robot fleets, and the optimal number of workers and intelligent vehicles, the company said.
In that approach, the digital twin doesn’t stop at simulating and testing configurations, but it also trains the warehouse robots to handle changing conditions such as demand, inventory fluctuation, and layout changes. Integrated with Kion’s warehouse management software (WMS), the digital twin assigns tasks like moving goods from buffer zones to storage locations to virtual robots. And powered by advanced AI, the virtual robots plan, execute, and refine these tasks in a continuous loop, simulating and ultimately optimizing real-world operations with infinite scenarios, Kion said.