It appears that the era of motor carrier collective ratemaking is over. After nearly 10 years of deliberation, the Surface Transportation Board (STB) last month eliminated antitrust immunity for motor carrier bureaus engaged in col lective ratemaking and freight classification. "This will help the shipping community because each individual carrier will be fighting for its own traffic, rather than having that [rate] protection," says transportation consultant Cliff Lynch, principal of Clifford F. Lynch & Associates. "I think it's a good thing. Things will certainly get a little more interesting in the marketplace."
"We have felt for many years that collective ratemaking by carriers is anticompetitive and does not benefit shippers," says Gail Rutkowsi, director of operations at AIMS Logistics and president of the National Shippers Strategic Transportation Council (NASSTRAC).
The ruling takes effect after a 120-day waiting period, which means price competition may begin to heat up toward the end of the summer. However, consultants agree that the ruling will be appealed. At the least, an extension may be sought to allow industry to better prepare for the massive changes about to take place. Once implemented, the decision could save shippers anywhere from 5 to 10 percent on truck rates.
John Cutler, general counsel for NASSTRAC, says his group will oppose an extension of the 120-day waiting period, as well as an appeal. Cutler adds that NASSTRAC will seek a price freeze if an extension is granted to keep bureaus from trying to put through one last general rate increase.
But at least one observer worries that the 120-day window might be too short. Longtime industry consultant Hank Mullen of Mullen Associates says the tight timeframe could create havoc in the marketplace as shippers and truckers scramble to adjust to the phase-out of a practice that has been in place for 70 years. "I am of the opinion that the system needs to change, but not at the cost and confusion this will create," says Mullen. "I'd say it is easily another year before this settles down, and even that would be kind of fast." He adds that the 37-page rulemaking alone could take some companies weeks to digest.
Though the STB decision is likely to have a huge impact on its operations, SMC3 has yet to comment on the ruling beyond acknowledging its existence. The Peachtree City, Ga.-based bureau publishes CzarLite, the de facto standard for the base tariffs used by many less-than-truckload carriers in their rate negotiations. "SMC3 will be evaluating the STB's decision in detail in order to fully address both the challenges and opportunities it presents us and our customers," says Danny Slaton, who is senior vice president, business development for SMC3. "We will provide regular updates to our customer segments regarding our business responses to the decision."
While the STB's decision means that carriers will be required to develop rates individually—rather than collectively—in the future, they will still be allowed to use the National Motor Freight Classification for rating shipments, as long as all parties to the negotiation agree. The classification, which rates commodities on density, handling difficulty, and other factors, is often used to establish pricing for particular products. Changes in class ratings, however, will now be subject to negotiation, instead of being imposed by carriers acting collectively.
"This is an issue we've been working on for more than 10 years," says Cutler. "Motor carrier collective ratemaking is a holdover from the cartel era of trucking industry pricing and is inconsistent with the competitive goals of deregulation. Reforms the STB adopted in the last round of proceedings did not solve the problem, so NASSTRAC welcomes the new decision by the Surface Transportation Board. Shippers and carriers benefit from competition. That is the main lesson of deregulation."
planning for automation
It might seem intuitive: better workforce planning and scheduling will lead to greater productivity in the distribution center. Unfortunately, knowing and doing are not always the same thing. A recent study of workforce planning and scheduling practices conducted by the University of Wisconsin at Madison's E-Business Consortium reveals that in many DCs, there's a big gap between the real and the ideal.
The study was designed to identify current practices for workforce planning and scheduling, and to determine whether greater automation might yield benefits. What researchers found was that manual processes continue to dominate both planning and scheduling practices. Fifty-nine percent of the respondents reported using manual practices for planning, while a mere 3 percent said their processes were fully automated. An even greater percentage—67 percent—said they used manual processes for scheduling labor, while just 2 percent said they had automated their processes.
A slight majority of the participants said they were dissatisfied with their companies' current planning processes. A greater percentage said they believed that automating those processes would pay off in greater workforce utilization. And most believed the payoff could be significant; two-thirds of the survey participants estimated that automating their planning and scheduling processes would improve workforce utilization by anywhere from 6 to 20 percent.
Nonetheless, the survey respondents said their biggest frustration wasn't their own scheduling woes but the lack of visibility into future demand and the inaccuracy of forecasts they do receive. Survey respondents believe automation would ease the process of converting demand forecasts into accurate workforce requirements and allow them to simulate staffing requirements based on the forecast information.
"According to the overwhelming majority of survey respondents, the primary benefit of automated workforce planning capabilities would be more efficient and effective labor utilization, as well as the closely related benefits of reduced unit labor costs and improved customer satisfaction," the report says.
Most of the 196 respondents to the survey, which was sponsored by supply chain software and services provider RedPrairie, were managers or directors within the distribution, logistics, or operations functions of various-sized companies in 11 industry segments. The full study, "Workforce Planning and Scheduling in Warehouses and Distribution Centers," can be found at <www.dcvelocity.com/workforcestudy.
Economic activity in the logistics industry expanded in November, continuing a steady growth pattern that began earlier this year and signaling a return to seasonality after several years of fluctuating conditions, according to the latest Logistics Managers’ Index report (LMI), released today.
The November LMI registered 58.4, down slightly from October’s reading of 58.9, which was the highest level in two years. The LMI is a monthly gauge of business conditions across warehousing and logistics markets; a reading above 50 indicates growth and a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
“The overall index has been very consistent in the past three months, with readings of 58.6, 58.9, and 58.4,” LMI analyst Zac Rogers, associate professor of supply chain management at Colorado State University, wrote in the November LMI report. “This plateau is slightly higher than a similar plateau of consistency earlier in the year when May to August saw four readings between 55.3 and 56.4. Seasonally speaking, it is consistent that this later year run of readings would be the highest all year.”
Separately, Rogers said the end-of-year growth reflects the return to a healthy holiday peak, which started when inventory levels expanded in late summer and early fall as retailers began stocking up to meet consumer demand. Pandemic-driven shifts in consumer buying behavior, inflation, and economic uncertainty contributed to volatile peak season conditions over the past four years, with the LMI swinging from record-high growth in late 2020 and 2021 to slower growth in 2022 and contraction in 2023.
“The LMI contracted at this time a year ago, so basically [there was] no peak season,” Rogers said, citing inflation as a drag on demand. “To have a normal November … [really] for the first time in five years, justifies what we’ve seen all these companies doing—building up inventory in a sustainable, seasonal way.
“Based on what we’re seeing, a lot of supply chains called it right and were ready for healthy holiday season, so far.”
The LMI has remained in the mid to high 50s range since January—with the exception of April, when the index dipped to 52.9—signaling strong and consistent demand for warehousing and transportation services.
The LMI is a monthly survey of logistics managers from across the country. It tracks industry growth overall and across eight areas: inventory levels and costs; warehousing capacity, utilization, and prices; and transportation capacity, utilization, and prices. The report is released monthly by researchers from Arizona State University, Colorado State University, Rochester Institute of Technology, Rutgers University, and the University of Nevada, Reno, in conjunction with the Council of Supply Chain Management Professionals (CSCMP).
"After several years of mitigating inflation, disruption, supply shocks, conflicts, and uncertainty, we are currently in a relative period of calm," John Paitek, vice president, GEP, said in a release. "But it is very much the calm before the coming storm. This report provides procurement and supply chain leaders with a prescriptive guide to weathering the gale force headwinds of protectionism, tariffs, trade wars, regulatory pressures, uncertainty, and the AI revolution that we will face in 2025."
A report from the company released today offers predictions and strategies for the upcoming year, organized into six major predictions in GEP’s “Outlook 2025: Procurement & Supply Chain” report.
Advanced AI agents will play a key role in demand forecasting, risk monitoring, and supply chain optimization, shifting procurement's mandate from tactical to strategic. Companies should invest in the technology now to to streamline processes and enhance decision-making.
Expanded value metrics will drive decisions, as success will be measured by resilience, sustainability, and compliance… not just cost efficiency. Companies should communicate value beyond cost savings to stakeholders, and develop new KPIs.
Increasing regulatory demands will necessitate heightened supply chain transparency and accountability. So companies should strengthen supplier audits, adopt ESG tracking tools, and integrate compliance into strategic procurement decisions.
Widening tariffs and trade restrictions will force companies to reassess total cost of ownership (TCO) metrics to include geopolitical and environmental risks, as nearshoring and friendshoring attempt to balance resilience with cost.
Rising energy costs and regulatory demands will accelerate the shift to sustainable operations, pushing companies to invest in renewable energy and redesign supply chains to align with ESG commitments.
New tariffs could drive prices higher, just as inflation has come under control and interest rates are returning to near-zero levels. That means companies must continue to secure cost savings as their primary responsibility.
Freight transportation sector analysts with US Bank say they expect change on the horizon in that market for 2025, due to possible tariffs imposed by a new White House administration, the return of East and Gulf coast port strikes, and expanding freight fraud.
“All three of these merit scrutiny, and that is our promise as we roll into the new year,” the company said in a statement today.
First, US Bank said a new administration will occupy the White House and will control the House and Senate for the first time since 2016. With an announced mandate on tariffs, taxes and trade from his electoral victory, President-Elect Trump’s anticipated actions are almost certain to impact the supply chain, the bank said.
Second, a strike by longshoreman at East Coast and Gulf ports was suspended in October, but the can was only kicked until mid-January. Shipper alarm bells are already ringing, and with peak season in full swing, the West coast ports are roaring, having absorbed containers bound for the East. However, that status may not be sustainable in the event of a prolonged strike in January, US Bank said.
And third, analyst are tracking the proliferation of freight fraud, and its reverberations across the supply chain. No longer the realm of petty criminals, freight fraudsters have become increasingly sophisticated, and the financial toll of their activities in the loss of goods, and data, is expected to be in the billions, the bank estimates.
The move delivers on its August announcement of a fleet renewal plan that will allow the company to proceed on its path to decarbonization, according to a statement from Anda Cristescu, Head of Chartering & Newbuilding at Maersk.
The first vessels will be delivered in 2028, and the last delivery will take place in 2030, enabling a total capacity to haul 300,000 twenty foot equivalent units (TEU) using lower emissions fuel. The new vessels will be built in sizes from 9,000 to 17,000 TEU each, allowing them to fill various roles and functions within the company’s future network.
In the meantime, the company will also proceed with its plan to charter a range of methanol and liquified gas dual-fuel vessels totaling 500,000 TEU capacity, replacing existing capacity. Maersk has now finalized these charter contracts across several tonnage providers, the company said.
The shipyards now contracted to build the vessels are: Yangzijiang Shipbuilding and New Times Shipbuilding—both in China—and Hanwha Ocean in South Korea.
Specifically, 48% of respondents identified rising tariffs and trade barriers as their top concern, followed by supply chain disruptions at 45% and geopolitical instability at 41%. Moreover, tariffs and trade barriers ranked as the priority issue regardless of company size, as respondents at companies with less than 250 employees, 251-500, 501-1,000, 1,001-50,000 and 50,000+ employees all cited it as the most significant issue they are currently facing.
“Evolving tariffs and trade policies are one of a number of complex issues requiring organizations to build more resilience into their supply chains through compliance, technology and strategic planning,” Jackson Wood, Director, Industry Strategy at Descartes, said in a release. “With the potential for the incoming U.S. administration to impose new and additional tariffs on a wide variety of goods and countries of origin, U.S. importers may need to significantly re-engineer their sourcing strategies to mitigate potentially higher costs.”