Fleet managers grapple with host of challenges as pandemic’s impact persists
Truck fleets continue to navigate an unprecedented market, applying lessons learned as issues old and new complicate operations in a historic capacity crunch.
Gary Frantz is a contributing editor for DC Velocity and its sister publication, Supply Chain Xchange. He is a veteran communications executive with more than 30 years of experience in the transportation and logistics industries. He's served as communications director and strategic media relations counselor for companies including XPO Logistics, Con-way, Menlo Logistics, GT Nexus, Circle International Group, and Consolidated Freightways. Gary is currently principal of GNF Communications LLC, a consultancy providing freelance writing, editorial and media strategy services. He's a proud graduate of the Journalism program at California State University–Chico.
Rounding the bend into year two of the Covid pandemic, fleet managers see hopeful signs as businesses reopen, albeit at an uneven state-by-state pace; vaccinations gain traction among more of the population; and a strengthening economy gradually puts more people back to work.
Yet no one is willing to claim the trucking industry is fully back on its feet. An e-commerce–driven surge in freight has sucked up capacity as stay-at-home consumers ratchet up online buying of everything from essential food and household supplies to home-office equipment, appliances, and home-improvement goods.
Equipment manufacturers, who just a year ago faced a tidal wave of cancellations for new truck and trailer orders, now are near fully booked, with few if any build slots available until 2022. A rise in volumes from big-box retailers—and their demand for drop trailers—is stressing operations planning as fleets struggle to get equipment returned and back in their networks.
At the same time, thanks to Covid-imposed closures of driver schools, 2020 saw 40% fewer new CDL (commercial driver’s license)-credentialed drivers enter the industry than the year before, exacerbating the shortage of qualified professional drivers. And the new federal Drug and Alcohol Clearinghouse has shunted some 50,000 drivers to the side of the road, with less than 15% completing return-to-duty requirements.
WHERE ARE THE PARTS?
Going into the spring, fleet managers are faced with yet another challenge: getting enough parts and supplies to keep trucks serviced and on the road, as well as delayed deliveries of new equipment to replace aging, less-efficient trucks.
“The [parts] supply chain is very stressed,” observes Dave Bates, senior vice president of operations for Thomasville, North Carolina-based less-than-truckload carrier Old Dominion Freight Line (ODFL). “We are finding shortages in everything from lug nuts to semiconductors for computers in the trucks. Everything is behind,” he says. New tractor deliveries for ODFL expected in March were delayed to April. Trailer deliveries expected in April were pushed out to May or later. And everything seems to come with a 4% to 5% higher price tag, Bates notes.
All that has changed how Bates plans fleet replenishment for ODFL. “We are holding onto everything until new equipment comes online and we can assess our needs,” he says. “We don’t really want to get rid of old equipment too quickly when it still has some useful life for us.”
GETTING DEDICATED
Rewriting the operations playbook for pandemic times
One of the pandemic's unexpected developments was how it affected the beverage business. Beverages are one of the most fleet-intensive local-delivery operations in transportation.
For Southern Glazer's Wine & Spirits, responding first to an initial collapse in business and then a rapid uptick in demand from stay-at-home consumers stocking up on wine and spirits, while effectively managing its fleet resources and ensuring employees were protected, meant rewriting the operations playbook.
Based in Miami and Dallas, Southern Glazer's is the nation's largest distributor of beverage alcohol. The privately held, family-owned company handles about 32% of alcoholic beverages sold in the U.S. With over $21 billion in revenue, Southern Glazer's deploys a fleet of some 4,000 trucks operated by over 3,000 drivers, delivering around 180 million cases of beverages annually from 41 distribution centers. Its mostly straight-truck fleet typically delivers to restaurants, bars, grocery and liquor stores, and other retail shops selling wine and spirits.
It's a business where drivers typically interact with a dozen or more customers a day, making inside deliveries, and stocking backrooms and sometimes retail shelves.
"The biggest challenge was protecting our employees," says Ron Flanary, the company's senior vice president of national operations. "[Our drivers] go into retail accounts, facing the public all day long every day," he explains. Job one was "putting the controls in place to protect them and make them feel safe," Flanary says. That required adjusting how it operated, dictated by social distancing and disinfecting needs for trucks and facilities, and acquiring and providing sufficient personal protective gear to drivers and warehouse workers.
"We went to stop-and-drop operations," Flanary says. "Instead of taking the product inside the store, to limit contact we brought it to the back door, checked it in, and stopped there," he notes, adding that the change protected drivers by preventing close contact with store employees. And while initially, the pandemic reduced delivery volumes, for the most part, fleet operations weathered the storm and were able to adjust and adapt.
Southern Glazer's serves both on-premise and off-premise accounts, Flanary explains. During the heat of the pandemic, business with on-premise accounts, like bars and restaurants, "essentially went away," he notes. At the same time, volume with off-premise retail accounts went up some 35%. "It was just a shift in mix," Flanary says. The company was able to effectively redeploy resources idled by closed restaurants and bars to serve surging retail accounts like grocery and liquor stores.
Yet from a broader fleet-management perspective, even during the pandemic, the overall objectives remained the same: "How do you operate as safely as possible, support your drivers, and get the most productivity and utility out of your fleet," Flanary says. "How do you optimize operations to run the fewest miles, get the best stop density, and ensure a consistent level of quality service?"
Another trend over the past year and continuing in 2021 has been shippers and transportation managers embracing more dedicated operations as a way to reduce supply chain risk and lock in increasingly scarce trucking capacity.
Greg Orr, senior vice president, U.S. truckload for TFI International, is seeing accelerated demand for “dedicated committed fleet resources, where [shippers] are willing to pay substantially more or close the loop to make sure they have capacity for their business,” he notes.
Among the operations he oversees is Eagan, Minnesota-based truckload carrier Transport America, whose business mix typically is 75% for-hire over the road (OTR), and 25% dedicated. In the first quarter of this year, “the [demand] for dedicated versus OTR was about 50-50. It has never been that high,” Orr says.
Dedicated is a different conversation from spot market or for-hire negotiations, Orr stresses. Whether it’s taking over a private fleet or establishing a dedicated solution, “we really try to walk them through the commitment and the equipment and capital involved,” he explains, adding that in most cases, starting a new dedicated account means buying or leasing new equipment in the short term.
“We don’t want to be stripping [equipment] from one side of the business to [use in] another. So we try to take them through all the [staffing, asset, and operating needs] of [establishing a dedicated fleet],” he says.
Because of the market’s volatility and the resulting drastic swings in capacity, “the shippers we serve [have] become more creative than ever in terms of finding and capturing any and all capacity to support their networks,” notes Mark Sitko, vice president of dedicated sales for Van Buren, Arkansas-based truckload carrier USA Truck.
With rates at historic highs, some shippers have been reluctant to enter into longer, multiyear dedicated fleet deals, instead opting for “pop-up fleets.” These shorter-term dynamic capacity arrangements “get the capacity to the areas of the network [where] shippers need” immediate support, says Sitko.
In any case, creating a dedicated solution for each customer requires more than a cookie-cutter approach, notes Billy Cartright, senior vice president of dedicated operations at Chattanooga, Tennessee-based Covenant Logistics Group.
“One of our value adds is helping the customer optimize its network,” he says. “How does its [existing] network layer into ours, where can we find synergies?” He notes that in some cases, as part of a dedicated solution, his company will do backhauls and revenue shares, utilizing freight from one customer to fill empty lanes with another, essentially leveraging relationships among its customers to deploy available, unused capacity and increase utilization for all.
The strategic objective for the fleet manager or shipper’s VP of transportation should be “how do you take out cyclicality to have more predictability [with capacity] and understanding of what [transportation costs] will do to your P&L,” Cartright says.
It’s also important for the shipper to understand how operating structure and processes in its warehousing and manufacturing plants—which are to be supported by the dedicated fleet—can impact rates and costs in fleet operations, and where collaboration with its fleet provider can provide productivity gains and new efficiencies for both.
KNOW WHAT YOU ARE GOOD AT
Thomas Regan, vice president of operations for dedicated transportation at Miami-based Ryder System Inc., makes a similar point about dedicated’s growing momentum. His group is seeing especially strong demand, he says.
“Prior to Covid, there were some secular trends driving transition of private fleets to dedicated,” Regan recalls. “Insurance was a big factor,” with some operators saddled with “50% to 100% increases [in insurance rates], depending on the type of business and incident rates,” he notes.
The primary decision factors for shippers seeking more dedicated deals: risk avoidance, committed capacity, and a predictable cost for transportation. And offloading the ever-more-difficult challenge of finding and keeping professional drivers.
“When Covid hit, it made people [operating private fleets] really take a step back,” says Regan. He recalls a lot of shippers having conversations like “My insurance is going up. Technology in trucks is getting more complex. I don’t have the right visibility platform. Can I grow [my fleet] on my own at the pace—and within the cost—that my business needs?”
At the same time, trying to gain reliable capacity in the common carrier market was just as stressful. You either couldn’t find enough, or the cost was exorbitant and service unpredictable.
All that has created an inflection point that’s tipping the scales increasingly to dedicated in 2021, says Regan. He notes that Ryder offers not just dedicated solutions, but also complementary resources and capabilities, all of which can be mixed and matched to help shippers establish stable transportation operations with secure capacity at a reliably budgeted cost.
The point he makes to shippers and transportation managers contemplating private versus dedicated fleet operations: know what you are good at.
“Some have been running private fleets for years; they have good, deep talent and technology to make it successful,” Regan notes. “Others realize they need some help on the transportation side, so they [choose to] focus on the core aspects of their business” and contract with a dedicated fleet provider for whom such services are a core competency.
Artificial intelligence (AI) and data science were hot business topics in 2024 and will remain on the front burner in 2025, according to recent research published in AI in Action, a series of technology-focused columns in the MIT Sloan Management Review.
In Five Trends in AI and Data Science for 2025, researchers Tom Davenport and Randy Bean outline ways in which AI and our data-driven culture will continue to shape the business landscape in the coming year. The information comes from a range of recent AI-focused research projects, including the 2025 AI & Data Leadership Executive Benchmark Survey, an annual survey of data, analytics, and AI executives conducted by Bean’s educational firm, Data & AI Leadership Exchange.
The five trends range from the promise of agentic AI to the struggle over which C-suite role should oversee data and AI responsibilities. At a glance, they reveal that:
Leaders will grapple with both the promise and hype around agentic AI. Agentic AI—which handles tasks independently—is on the rise, in the form of generative AI bots that can perform some content-creation tasks. But the authors say it will be a while before such tools can handle major tasks—like make a travel reservation or conduct a banking transaction.
The time has come to measure results from generative AI experiments. The authors say very few companies are carefully measuring productivity gains from AI projects—particularly when it comes to figuring out what their knowledge-based workers are doing with the freed-up time those projects provide. Doing so is vital to profiting from AI investments.
The reality about data-driven culture sets in. The authors found that 92% of survey respondents feel that cultural and change management challenges are the primary barriers to becoming data- and AI-driven—indicating that the shift to AI is about much more than just the technology.
Unstructured data is important again. The ability to apply Generative AI tools to manage unstructured data—such as text, images, and video—is putting a renewed focus on getting all that data into shape, which takes a whole lot of human effort. As the authors explain “organizations need to pick the best examples of each document type, tag or graph the content, and get it loaded into the system.” And many companies simply aren’t there yet.
Who should run data and AI? Expect continued struggle. Should these roles be concentrated on the business or tech side of the organization? Opinions differ, and as the roles themselves continue to evolve, the authors say companies should expect to continue to wrestle with responsibilities and reporting structures.
Shippers today are praising an 11th-hour contract agreement that has averted the threat of a strike by dockworkers at East and Gulf coast ports that could have frozen container imports and exports as soon as January 16.
The agreement came late last night between the International Longshoremen’s Association (ILA) representing some 45,000 workers and the United States Maritime Alliance (USMX) that includes the operators of port facilities up and down the coast.
Details of the new agreement on those issues have not yet been made public, but in the meantime, retailers and manufacturers are heaving sighs of relief that trade flows will continue.
“Providing certainty with a new contract and avoiding further disruptions is paramount to ensure retail goods arrive in a timely manner for consumers. The agreement will also pave the way for much-needed modernization efforts, which are essential for future growth at these ports and the overall resiliency of our nation’s supply chain,” Gold said.
The next step in the process is for both sides to ratify the tentative agreement, so negotiators have agreed to keep those details private in the meantime, according to identical statements released by the ILA and the USMX. In their joint statement, the groups called the six-year deal a “win-win,” saying: “This agreement protects current ILA jobs and establishes a framework for implementing technologies that will create more jobs while modernizing East and Gulf coasts ports – making them safer and more efficient, and creating the capacity they need to keep our supply chains strong. This is a win-win agreement that creates ILA jobs, supports American consumers and businesses, and keeps the American economy the key hub of the global marketplace.”
The breakthrough hints at broader supply chain trends, which will focus on the tension between operational efficiency and workforce job protection, not just at ports but across other sectors as well, according to a statement from Judah Levine, head of research at Freightos, a freight booking and payment platform. Port automation was the major sticking point leading up to this agreement, as the USMX pushed for technologies to make ports more efficient, while the ILA opposed automation or semi-automation that could threaten jobs.
"This is a six-year détente in the tech-versus-labor tug-of-war at U.S. ports," Levine said. “Automation remains a lightning rod—and likely one we’ll see in other industries—but this deal suggests a cautious path forward."
Editor's note: This story was revised on January 9 to include additional input from the ILA, USMX, and Freightos.
Logistics industry growth slowed in December due to a seasonal wind-down of inventory and following one of the busiest holiday shopping seasons on record, according to the latest Logistics Managers’ Index (LMI) report, released this week.
The monthly LMI was 57.3 in December, down more than a percentage point from November’s reading of 58.4. Despite the slowdown, economic activity across the industry continued to expand, as an LMI reading above 50 indicates growth and a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
The LMI researchers said the monthly conditions were largely due to seasonal drawdowns in inventory levels—and the associated costs of holding them—at the retail level. The LMI’s Inventory Levels index registered 50, falling from 56.1 in November. That reduction also affected warehousing capacity, which slowed but remained in expansion mode: The LMI’s warehousing capacity index fell 7 points to a reading of 61.6.
December’s results reflect a continued trend toward more typical industry growth patterns following recent years of volatility—and they point to a successful peak holiday season as well.
“Retailers were clearly correct in their bet to stock [up] on goods ahead of the holiday season,” the LMI researchers wrote in their monthly report. “Holiday sales from November until Christmas Eve were up 3.8% year-over-year according to Mastercard. This was largely driven by a 6.7% increase in e-commerce sales, although in-person spending was up 2.9% as well.”
And those results came during a compressed peak shopping cycle.
“The increase in spending came despite the shorter holiday season due to the late Thanksgiving,” the researchers also wrote, citing National Retail Federation (NRF) estimates that U.S. shoppers spent just short of a trillion dollars in November and December, making it the busiest holiday season of all time.
The LMI is a monthly survey of logistics managers from across the country. It tracks industry growth overall and across eight areas: inventory levels and costs; warehousing capacity, utilization, and prices; and transportation capacity, utilization, and prices. The report is released monthly by researchers from Arizona State University, Colorado State University, Rochester Institute of Technology, Rutgers University, and the University of Nevada, Reno, in conjunction with the Council of Supply Chain Management Professionals (CSCMP).
The overall national industrial real estate vacancy rate edged higher in the fourth quarter, although it still remains well below pre-pandemic levels, according to an analysis by Cushman & Wakefield.
Vacancy rates shrunk during the pandemic to historically low levels as e-commerce sales—and demand for warehouse space—boomed in response to massive numbers of people working and living from home. That frantic pace is now cooling off but real estate demand remains elevated from a long-term perspective.
“We've witnessed an uptick among firms looking to lease larger buildings to support their omnichannel fulfillment strategies and maintain inventory for their e-commerce, wholesale, and retail stock. This trend is not just about space, but about efficiency and customer satisfaction,” Jason Tolliver, President, Logistics & Industrial Services, said in a release. “Meanwhile, we're also seeing a flurry of activity to support forward-deployed stock models, a strategy that keeps products closer to the market they serve and where customers order them, promising quicker deliveries and happier customers.“
The latest figures show that industrial vacancy is likely nearing its peak for this cooling cycle in the coming quarters, Cushman & Wakefield analysts said.
Compared to the third quarter, the vacancy rate climbed 20 basis points to 6.7%, but that level was still 30 basis points below the 10-year, pre-pandemic average. Likewise, overall net absorption in the fourth quarter—a term for the amount of newly developed property leased by clients—measured 36.8 million square feet, up from the 33.3 million square feet recorded in the third quarter, but down 20% on a year-over-year basis.
In step with those statistics, real estate developers slowed their plans to erect more buildings. New construction deliveries continued to decelerate for the second straight quarter. Just 85.3 million square feet of new industrial product was completed in the fourth quarter, down 8% quarter-over-quarter and 48% versus one year ago.
Likewise, only four geographic markets saw more than 20 million square feet of completions year-to-date, compared to 10 markets in 2023. Meanwhile, as construction starts remained tempered overall, the under-development pipeline has continued to thin out, dropping by 36% annually to its lowest level (290.5 million square feet) since the third quarter of 2018.
Despite the dip in demand last quarter, the market for industrial space remains relatively healthy, Cushman & Wakefield said.
“After a year of hesitancy, logistics is entering a new, sustained growth phase,” Tolliver said. “Corporate capital is being deployed to optimize supply chains, diversify networks, and minimize potential risks. What's particularly encouraging is the proactive approach of retailers, wholesalers, and 3PLs, who are not just reacting to the market, but shaping it. 2025 will be a year characterized by this bias for action.”
Under terms of the deal, Sick and Endress+Hauser will each hold 50% of a joint venture called "Endress+Hauser SICK GmbH+Co. KG," which will strengthen the development and production of analyzer and gas flow meter technologies. According to Sick, its gas flow meters make it possible to switch to low-emission and non-fossil energy sources, for example, and the process analyzers allow reliable monitoring of emissions.
As part of the partnership, the product solutions manufactured together will now be marketed by Endress+Hauser, allowing customers to use a broader product portfolio distributed from a single source via that company’s global sales centers.
Under terms of the contract between the two companies—which was signed in the summer of 2024— around 800 Sick employees located in 42 countries will transfer to Endress+Hauser, including workers in the global sales and service units of Sick’s “Cleaner Industries” division.
“This partnership is a perfect match,” Peter Selders, CEO of the Endress+Hauser Group, said in a release. “It creates new opportunities for growth and development, particularly in the sustainable transformation of the process industry. By joining forces, we offer added value to our customers. Our combined efforts will make us faster and ultimately more successful than if we acted alone. In this case, one and one equals more than two.”
According to Sick, the move means that its current customers will continue to find familiar Sick contacts available at Endress+Hauser for consulting, sales, and service of process automation solutions. The company says this approach allows it to focus on its core business of factory and logistics automation to meet global demand for automation and digitalization.
Sick says its core business has always been in factory and logistics automation, which accounts for more than 80% of sales, and this area remains unaffected by the new joint venture. In Sick’s view, automation is crucial for industrial companies to secure their productivity despite limited resources. And Sick’s sensor solutions are a critical part of industrial automation, which increases productivity through artificial intelligence and the digital networking of production and supply chains.