How far along are you on adopting digital technology into your supply chain? Survey results show the C-suite has a very different answer to that question than operational leaders.
Digital continues to be a strategic imperative for most supply chain organizations, according to Gartner’s “Supply Chain Technology User Wants and Needs Survey.” But how far along they are in implementing that strategy seems to be a matter of debate.
For 13 years Gartner has surveyed supply chain business users about their information technology (IT) goals, priorities, maturity, and investment strategies. In the 2019 survey, “digital” was identified as a core strategy and focal point as supply chain organizations looked to advance their supply chain maturity and business performance. (We recognize that the term “digital” has different connotations, depending on the focus of the discussion. In the context of the survey, digitization is defined as applying digital technologies to improve supply chain performance.)
A difference of opinion
The survey represented a variety of viewpoints. A bit over 45% of respondents were senior supply chain leadership with the rest being members of operational management, including vice presidents, directors, and managers.
When we compared the responses of senior-level leadership to those of the front-line, mid-level management respondents, we observed an interesting dichotomy. Throughout the study, senior leadership had an overly optimistic view of their organization’s capabilities and commitments to supply chain IT. This inflated exuberance at the top likely causes companies to overstate their real abilities, which could have negative ramifications for their performance.
For example, respondents were asked to select which statement most closely describes their organization’s current state as it pursues digital supply chain initiatives. They had to choose between: “We struggle to fully understand and define how digital supply chain will affect our business and what investments we will need to make to be successful” and “We have a clear vision, plan, and road map driving our digital initiatives.” Almost unbelievably, 97% of C-suite respondents said they had a clear vision, plan, and road map. Even more surprising is how strong this sentiment was with 66% saying they had moderately to very strong digital competencies; a statement which is not supported by the hundreds of calls Gartner takes each year during which customers seek our guidance on developing digital strategies and road maps. This suggests that respondents are overestimating and overstating their abilities.
In contrast, 81% of respondents who were in operational management felt they had strong digital strategies. So while operational management was still optimistic, there was a 17-percentage point drop from the C-suite. Additionally, those respondents who felt they had moderately high to high levels of competency dropped from 66% for C-suite respondents to 41% for operational management respondents. Again, this highlights a notable disconnect between the beliefs of top supply chain leadership and those of operational management. This misalignment can cause many issues for organizations from frustrations due to differing views of reality, unrealistic expectations, and misallocation of resources.
Emerging tech: A status check
A notable way to advance a company’s supply chain digital maturity is to exploit emerging technologies that offer compelling value propositions. Promising supply chain management technologies can help transform a company’s operations. To explore this, the study asked respondents to rate the importance of and their investment plans for 10 emerging technologies, including artificial intelligence/machine learning (AI/ML), the Internet of Things (IoT), robotic process automation (RPA), and augmented reality/virtual reality (AR/VR).
The data again found a significant disconnect between what senior leadership believes to be true and what operational, front-line management perceives to be true. Figures 1 and 2 explore how respondents rated the importance of key emerging supply chain technologies and where they are currently investing or planning to invest. The reason we asked these two questions in this way is because we wanted to know if companies were “putting their money where their mouth is.” This would be like asking people if they believe it is important to save for retirement, and then asking them how much they are actually saving. If the data finds that companies consider something to be important, but they are not investing in it, then this indicates they might not see it as important as they say.
Figure 1 shows the responses for C-level supply chain executives, and it shows an overly dense clustering across all the emerging technologies. This clustering indicates that in executives’ minds, these technologies are all equally important and that they are investing significantly in all of these without prioritizing one or the other. This belief is unrealistic and unsupported by anecdotal evidence from Gartner client interactions, which find that companies are selectively investing in a smaller number of these technologies that offer the greatest near-term business value.
[Figure 1] C-suite respondents: Importance vs. Adoption of Emerging Technologies Enlarge this image
Figure 2 shows the responses for all respondents excluding C-level executives. It shows a much more realistic distribution of responses, with some more mature emerging technologies like big data, RFID, and IoT showing the most investment and the greatest importance and the remaining technologies scattered more evenly. This a more realistic view is supported by anecdotal evidence from Gartner client interactions.
[Figure 2] All respondents (except C-suite): Importance vs. Adoption of Emerging Technologies Enlarge this image
We find about 20% of companies identify as early adopters of technologies, and these are the most likely to have pilot programs in multiple emerging technology areas. Around 55% of respondents self-identify as mainstream adopters of technologies. These organizations are much more selective in choosing where to invest, and they typically wait for emerging technologies to mature somewhat before they enter the market for packaged solutions that exploit the emerging technology.
For example, an early adopter might purchase an IoT development platform and build its own predictive maintenance system, while a mainstream adopter would look to buy a predictive maintenance system that leverages IoT. This would align with the position of technologies like big data, RFID, and IoT maturing faster than some other technologies like digital twins or blockchain.
Digital will remain critical to supply chain success. But the study highlights the possible disconnect between senior executives’ digital ambitions and beliefs about their organization and their organization’s actual capability to meet those lofty expectations. No one is served if these two perceptions are not reconciled.
Senior supply chain leadership should admit that they might have overly lofty goals and that the organization cannot “go to college and major in everything” (to quote a CEO I used to work for). Instead, they need to educate themselves on what each of the technologies can do for their supply chain, and then work with their organization, at all levels, to realistically map out their current and desired capabilities.
Worldwide air cargo rates rose to a 2024 high in November of $2.76 per kilo, despite a slight (-2%) drop in flown tonnages compared with October, according to analysis by WorldACD Market data.
The healthy rate comes as demand and pricing both remain significantly above their already elevated levels last November, the Dutch firm said.
The new figures reflect worldwide air cargo markets that remain relatively strong, including shipments originating in the Asia Pacific, but where good advance planning by air cargo stakeholders looks set to avert a major peak season capacity crunch and very steep rate rises in the final weeks of the year, WorldACD said.
Despite that effective planning, average worldwide rates in November rose by 6% month on month (MoM), based on a full-market average of spot rates and contract rates, taking them to their highest level since January 2023 and 11% higher, year on year (YoY). The biggest MoM increases came from Europe (+10%) and Central & South America (+9%) origins, based on the more than 450,000 weekly transactions covered by WorldACD’s data.
But overall global tonnages in November were down -2%, MoM, with the biggest percentage decline coming from Middle East & South Asia (-11%) origins, which have been highly elevated for most of this year. But the -4%, MoM, decrease from Europe origins was responsible for a similar drop in tonnage terms – reflecting reduced passenger belly capacity since the start of aviation’s winter season from 27 October, including cuts in passenger services by European carriers to and from China.
Each of those points could have a stark impact on business operations, the firm said. First, supply chain restrictions will continue to drive up costs, following examples like European tariffs on Chinese autos and the U.S. plan to prevent Chinese software and hardware from entering cars in America.
Second, reputational risk will peak due to increased corporate transparency and due diligence laws, such as Germany’s Supply Chain Due Diligence Act that addresses hotpoint issues like modern slavery, forced labor, human trafficking, and environmental damage. In an age when polarized public opinion is combined with ever-present social media, doing business with a supplier whom a lot of your customers view negatively will be hard to navigate.
And third, advances in data, technology, and supplier risk assessments will enable executives to measure the impact of disruptions more effectively. Those calculations can help organizations determine whether their risk mitigation strategies represent value for money when compared to the potential revenues losses in the event of a supply chain disruption.
“Looking past the holidays, retailers will need to prepare for the typical challenges posed by seasonal slowdown in consumer demand. This year, however, there will be much less of a lull, as U.S. companies are accelerating some purchases that could potentially be impacted by a new wave of tariffs on U.S. imports,” Andrei Quinn-Barabanov, Senior Director – Supplier Risk Management Solutions at Moody’s, said in a release. “Tariffs, sanctions and other supply chain restrictions will likely be top of the 2025 agenda for procurement executives.”
As holiday shoppers blitz through the final weeks of the winter peak shopping season, a survey from the postal and shipping solutions provider Stamps.com shows that 40% of U.S. consumers are unaware of holiday shipping deadlines, leaving them at risk of running into last-minute scrambles, higher shipping costs, and packages arriving late.
The survey also found a generational difference in holiday shipping deadline awareness, with 53% of Baby Boomers unaware of these cut-off dates, compared to just 32% of Millennials. Millennials are also more likely to prioritize guaranteed delivery, with 68% citing it as a key factor when choosing a shipping option this holiday season.
Of those surveyed, 66% have experienced holiday shipping delays, with Gen Z reporting the highest rate of delays at 73%, compared to 49% of Baby Boomers. That statistical spread highlights a conclusion that younger generations are less tolerant of delays and prioritize fast and efficient shipping, researchers said. The data came from a study of 1,000 U.S. consumers conducted in October 2024 to understand their shopping habits and preferences.
As they cope with that tight shipping window, a huge 83% of surveyed consumers are willing to pay extra for faster shipping to avoid the prospect of a late-arriving gift. This trend is especially strong among Gen Z, with 56% willing to pay up, compared to just 27% of Baby Boomers.
“As the holiday season approaches, it’s crucial for consumers to be prepared and aware of shipping deadlines to ensure their gifts arrive on time,” Nick Spitzman, General Manager of Stamps.com, said in a release. ”Our survey highlights the significant portion of consumers who are unaware of these deadlines, particularly older generations. It’s essential for retailers and shipping carriers to provide clear and timely information about shipping deadlines to help consumers avoid last-minute stress and disappointment.”
For best results, Stamps.com advises consumers to begin holiday shopping early and familiarize themselves with shipping deadlines across carriers. That is especially true with Thanksgiving falling later this year, meaning the holiday season is shorter and planning ahead is even more essential.
According to Stamps.com, key shipping deadlines include:
December 13, 2024: Last day for FedEx Ground Economy
December 18, 2024: Last day for USPS Ground Advantage and First-Class Mail
December 19, 2024: Last day for UPS 3 Day Select and USPS Priority Mail
December 20, 2024: Last day for UPS 2nd Day Air
December 21, 2024: Last day for USPS Priority Mail Express
Measured over the entire year of 2024, retailers estimate that 16.9% of their annual sales will be returned. But that total figure includes a spike of returns during the holidays; a separate NRF study found that for the 2024 winter holidays, retailers expect their return rate to be 17% higher, on average, than their annual return rate.
Despite the cost of handling that massive reverse logistics task, retailers grin and bear it because product returns are so tightly integrated with brand loyalty, offering companies an additional touchpoint to provide a positive interaction with their customers, NRF Vice President of Industry and Consumer Insights Katherine Cullen said in a release. According to NRF’s research, 76% of consumers consider free returns a key factor in deciding where to shop, and 67% say a negative return experience would discourage them from shopping with a retailer again. And 84% of consumers report being more likely to shop with a retailer that offers no box/no label returns and immediate refunds.
So in response to consumer demand, retailers continue to enhance the return experience for customers. More than two-thirds of retailers surveyed (68%) say they are prioritizing upgrading their returns capabilities within the next six months. In addition, improving the returns experience and reducing the return rate are viewed as two of the most important elements for businesses in achieving their 2025 goals.
However, retailers also must balance meeting consumer demand for seamless returns against rising costs. Fraudulent and abusive returns practices create both logistical and financial challenges for retailers. A majority (93%) of retailers said retail fraud and other exploitive behavior is a significant issue for their business. In terms of abuse, bracketing – purchasing multiple items with the intent to return some – has seen growth among younger consumers, with 51% of Gen Z consumers indicating they engage in this practice.
“Return policies are no longer just a post-purchase consideration – they’re shaping how younger generations shop from the start,” David Sobie, co-founder and CEO of Happy Returns, said in a release. “With behaviors like bracketing and rising return rates putting strain on traditional systems, retailers need to rethink reverse logistics. Solutions like no box/no label returns with item verification enable immediate refunds, meeting customer expectations for convenience while increasing accuracy, reducing fraud and helping to protect profitability in a competitive market.”
The research came from two complementary surveys conducted this fall, allowing NRF and Happy Returns to compare perspectives from both sides. They included one that gathered responses from 2,007 consumers who had returned at least one online purchase within the past year, and another from 249 e-commerce and finance professionals from large U.S. retailers.
The “series A” round was led by Andreessen Horowitz (a16z), with participation from Y Combinator and strategic industry investors, including RyderVentures. It follows an earlier, previously undisclosed, pre-seed round raised 1.5 years ago, that was backed by Array Ventures and other angel investors.
“Our mission is to redefine the economics of the freight industry by harnessing the power of agentic AI,ˮ Pablo Palafox, HappyRobotʼs co-founder and CEO, said in a release. “This funding will enable us to accelerate product development, expand and support our customer base, and ultimately transform how logistics businesses operate.ˮ
According to the firm, its conversational AI platform uses agentic AI—a term for systems that can autonomously make decisions and take actions to achieve specific goals—to simplify logistics operations. HappyRobot says its tech can automate tasks like inbound and outbound calls, carrier negotiations, and data capture, thus enabling brokers to enhance efficiency and capacity, improve margins, and free up human agents to focus on higher-value activities.
“Today, the logistics industry underpinning our global economy is stretched,” Anish Acharya, general partner at a16z, said. “As a key part of the ecosystem, even small to midsize freight brokers can make and receive hundreds, if not thousands, of calls per day – and hiring for this job is increasingly difficult. By providing customers with autonomous decision making, HappyRobotʼs agentic AI platform helps these brokers operate more reliably and efficiently.ˮ