Less-than-truckload (LTL) carrier YRC Worldwide Inc. said today that its third-quarter results will be pressured by the impact of hurricanes Harvey and Irma on its network operations, higher-than-expected costs of purchased transportation services, and the underperformance of one of its three U.S. regional carriers, which it did not identify but is believed to be New Penn, which operates in the Northeast and mid-Atlantic U.S., eastern Canada, and Puerto Rico.
YRC disclosed in a Securities and Exchange Commission filing in late September that Don Foust had resigned as president of New Penn and had been replaced by Howard Moshier, who had been senior vice president of operations at YRC Freight, YRC's long-haul unit. New Penn has long been regarded as one of the best-run LTL carriers, with an industry-leading operating ratio—the measure of operating revenues to expenses, a key metric of carrier efficiency and profitability.
YRC will release its third-quarter results on Nov. 2.
In today's statement, YRC CEO James L. Welch said the back-to-back hurricanes that struck in late August and early September had a "cascading effect" on its network, delaying deliveries and hurting productivity. YRC said 28 of its facilities were either temporarily closed or had their operations curtailed as a result of the storms. The storms were believed to have affected the entire YRC Freight network and parts of its Holland regional operation.
YRC was also hit with unexpected costs associated with re-allocating revenue equipment to the affected areas, as well as increased overtime as more man-hours were required to support recovery efforts, the company said.
Welch said he couldn't quantify the lost revenue and higher costs due to the storms, but said it would have an "unfavorable impact" on the third-quarter results. He added that heightened demand in the current and coming quarters for LTL services to help with rebuilding damaged areas of Texas, Louisiana, and Florida, will add to what he called an "already positive economic environment."
YRC is the first of the publicly traded LTL carriers to disclose the impact of the hurricanes on third-quarter results. Because LTL operates in a hub-and-spoke-like configuration, service issues at one node will usually have a ripple effect across the network. Due to the hurricanes, most of the public carriers are expected to report subpar third-quarter results, though it is believed the additional business generated by post-hurricane recovery initiatives will boost results in the fourth quarter and into the early part of 2018.
YRC also felt the sting of tightening truckload capacity in the third quarter as it was caught with a shortage of internal supply to meet shipper demand. Welch said that YRC had deliberately back-ended deliveries of new equipment so it could first complete certain financial commitments. Though 800 tractors and 2,400 trailers will enter the fleet during the next two quarters, the shortage of equipment during the third quarter forced YRC into the spot market to buy transportation services. Spot rates have climbed significantly in 2017, and spiked in late summer as the hurricanes pushed truck capacity into the affected regions, leaving fewer trucks elsewhere to meet growing demand.
David G. Ross, who covers YRC for Stifel Financial Corp., an investment firm, said in a note today that the company will need a lot more equipment than what it has ordered if it hopes to improve service and reduce driver turnover. However, Ross said a larger order is very unlikely until the price of YRC equity is much higher, which would allow the company to issue stock to fund new equipment purchases and pay down debt. YRC stock closed today at $13.10 a share, up 63 cents a share on the day. The price of the equity is slightly higher today than it was a year ago at this time.
RJW Logistics Group, a logistics solutions provider (LSP) for consumer packaged goods (CPG) brands, has received a “strategic investment” from Boston-based private equity firm Berkshire partners, and now plans to drive future innovations and expand its geographic reach, the Woodridge, Illinois-based company said Tuesday.
Terms of the deal were not disclosed, but the company said that CEO Kevin Williamson and other members of RJW management will continue to be “significant investors” in the company, while private equity firm Mason Wells, which invested in RJW in 2019, will maintain a minority investment position.
RJW is an asset-based transportation, logistics, and warehousing provider, operating more than 7.3 million square feet of consolidation warehouse space in the transportation hubs of Chicago and Dallas and employing 1,900 people. RJW says it partners with over 850 CPG brands and delivers to more than 180 retailers nationwide. According to the company, its retail logistics solutions save cost, improve visibility, and achieve industry-leading On-Time, In-Full (OTIF) performance. Those improvements drive increased in-stock rates and sales, benefiting both CPG brands and their retailer partners, the firm says.
"After several years of mitigating inflation, disruption, supply shocks, conflicts, and uncertainty, we are currently in a relative period of calm," John Paitek, vice president, GEP, said in a release. "But it is very much the calm before the coming storm. This report provides procurement and supply chain leaders with a prescriptive guide to weathering the gale force headwinds of protectionism, tariffs, trade wars, regulatory pressures, uncertainty, and the AI revolution that we will face in 2025."
A report from the company released today offers predictions and strategies for the upcoming year, organized into six major predictions in GEP’s “Outlook 2025: Procurement & Supply Chain” report.
Advanced AI agents will play a key role in demand forecasting, risk monitoring, and supply chain optimization, shifting procurement's mandate from tactical to strategic. Companies should invest in the technology now to to streamline processes and enhance decision-making.
Expanded value metrics will drive decisions, as success will be measured by resilience, sustainability, and compliance… not just cost efficiency. Companies should communicate value beyond cost savings to stakeholders, and develop new KPIs.
Increasing regulatory demands will necessitate heightened supply chain transparency and accountability. So companies should strengthen supplier audits, adopt ESG tracking tools, and integrate compliance into strategic procurement decisions.
Widening tariffs and trade restrictions will force companies to reassess total cost of ownership (TCO) metrics to include geopolitical and environmental risks, as nearshoring and friendshoring attempt to balance resilience with cost.
Rising energy costs and regulatory demands will accelerate the shift to sustainable operations, pushing companies to invest in renewable energy and redesign supply chains to align with ESG commitments.
New tariffs could drive prices higher, just as inflation has come under control and interest rates are returning to near-zero levels. That means companies must continue to secure cost savings as their primary responsibility.
Freight transportation sector analysts with US Bank say they expect change on the horizon in that market for 2025, due to possible tariffs imposed by a new White House administration, the return of East and Gulf coast port strikes, and expanding freight fraud.
“All three of these merit scrutiny, and that is our promise as we roll into the new year,” the company said in a statement today.
First, US Bank said a new administration will occupy the White House and will control the House and Senate for the first time since 2016. With an announced mandate on tariffs, taxes and trade from his electoral victory, President-Elect Trump’s anticipated actions are almost certain to impact the supply chain, the bank said.
Second, a strike by longshoreman at East Coast and Gulf ports was suspended in October, but the can was only kicked until mid-January. Shipper alarm bells are already ringing, and with peak season in full swing, the West coast ports are roaring, having absorbed containers bound for the East. However, that status may not be sustainable in the event of a prolonged strike in January, US Bank said.
And third, analyst are tracking the proliferation of freight fraud, and its reverberations across the supply chain. No longer the realm of petty criminals, freight fraudsters have become increasingly sophisticated, and the financial toll of their activities in the loss of goods, and data, is expected to be in the billions, the bank estimates.
Specifically, 48% of respondents identified rising tariffs and trade barriers as their top concern, followed by supply chain disruptions at 45% and geopolitical instability at 41%. Moreover, tariffs and trade barriers ranked as the priority issue regardless of company size, as respondents at companies with less than 250 employees, 251-500, 501-1,000, 1,001-50,000 and 50,000+ employees all cited it as the most significant issue they are currently facing.
“Evolving tariffs and trade policies are one of a number of complex issues requiring organizations to build more resilience into their supply chains through compliance, technology and strategic planning,” Jackson Wood, Director, Industry Strategy at Descartes, said in a release. “With the potential for the incoming U.S. administration to impose new and additional tariffs on a wide variety of goods and countries of origin, U.S. importers may need to significantly re-engineer their sourcing strategies to mitigate potentially higher costs.”
A measure of business conditions for shippers improved in September due to lower fuel costs, looser trucking capacity, and lower freight rates, but the freight transportation forecasting firm FTR still expects readings to be weaker and closer to neutral through its two-year forecast period.
Bloomington, Indiana-based FTR is maintaining its stance that trucking conditions will improve, even though its Shippers Conditions Index (SCI) improved in September to 4.6 from a 2.9 reading in August, reaching its strongest level of the year.
“The fact that September’s index is the strongest since last December is not a sign that shippers’ market conditions are steadily improving,” Avery Vise, FTR’s vice president of trucking, said in a release.
“September and May were modest outliers this year in a market that is at least becoming more balanced. We expect that trend to continue and for SCI readings to be mostly negative to neutral in 2025 and 2026. However, markets in transition tend to be volatile, so further outliers are likely and possibly in both directions. The supply chain implications of tariffs are a wild card for 2025 especially,” he said.
The SCI tracks the changes representing four major conditions in the U.S. full-load freight market: freight demand, freight rates, fleet capacity, and fuel price. Combined into a single index, a positive score represents good, optimistic conditions, while a negative score represents bad, pessimistic conditions.