Mark Solomon joined DC VELOCITY as senior editor in August 2008, and was promoted to his current position on January 1, 2015. He has spent more than 30 years in the transportation, logistics and supply chain management fields as a journalist and public relations professional. From 1989 to 1994, he worked in Washington as a reporter for the Journal of Commerce, covering the aviation and trucking industries, the Department of Transportation, Congress and the U.S. Supreme Court. Prior to that, he worked for Traffic World for seven years in a similar role. From 1994 to 2008, Mr. Solomon ran Media-Based Solutions, a public relations firm based in Atlanta. He graduated in 1978 with a B.A. in journalism from The American University in Washington, D.C.
During a stint at the old Emery Worldwide from 1987 to 2005, Richard Zablocki can remember times when airfreight forwarders were able to get so physically close to the aircraft they used that they could truck their customers' cargoes right up to the plane.
For Zablocki and other executives, there was something symbolic about that degree of operational intimacy between airlines and airfreight users. For a large part of the 1980s and through the 1990s, air freight was the devil-may-care diva of the transport modes. The U.S. economy was booming, as were airfreight-centric markets like Japan. Airfreight growth was juiced by surging demand for high-value technology and telecommunications equipment to support buildouts of the Internet and the wireless telecommunications spectrum. The push toward global just-in-time manufacturing convinced many shippers and forwarders that it was better to whisk products to their destinations by air as needed rather than invest in expensive buffer inventory that would be prone to obsolescence. Above all, Sept. 11 was just another date on the calendar.
"It was very desirable for a freight forwarder to be located near an airport," said Zablocki, who today is vice president of trade lane management for Dutch multinational forwarder Ceva Logistics LLC.
The thrill appears to be long gone, however. The 9/11 terrorist attacks ended the practice of airfreight forwarders' trucks pulling right up to aircraft. In addition, the airfreight industry is very far removed from its halcyon days of the roaring '90s. Middling demand for the past 15 years has kept rates low. Meanwhile, business costs across the board have continued to rise. Today, air freight is a luxury many companies can't afford, save for emergency situations or hot product rollouts. As a result, property within three to five miles of a gateway that would support fast-cycle distribution patterns doesn't generate nearly the interest it used to. Yet close-in rents remain high because of what are still considered premium locations. At Los Angeles International Airport (LAX), for example, rents for occupying a facility around three miles away are about double the rents for a building 10 miles away.
Aside from companies shipping perishable items like flowers, seafood, and produce that can't be more than five miles from airport property, "demand for airfreight space within a three-mile radius has really tapered off," according to Luke Staubitz, a Los Angeles-based executive vice president at JLL (formerly Jones Lang LaSalle), the real estate and logistics services giant. Staubitz, whose focus is LAX, said he is not as familiar with the situation at other U.S. gateways. However, he believes demand for close-in freight space also remains soft at gateways like New York, Seattle, Miami, and Dallas.
One exception is DHL Global Forwarding, a unit of the DHL transport and logistics empire, and the world's largest air forwarder. The company's buildings are located close to all U.S. and North American air gateways, said Jannie Davel, head of airfreight for the Americas. But there are few airfreight firms with the volumes, resources, and needs of the DHL unit. For the rest, locating as far as 15 miles out is usually a better deal, according to Staubitz. Tenants get more bang for the buck by having access to larger and more modern buildings, while remaining close enough to meet tight cutoff times for aircraft departures, Staubitz said. (Anything beyond 15 miles is problematic for providers because of the extra distance and the risk of traffic congestion, he said.)
While locations may change, the characteristics of the prototypical airfreight facility remain the same. The standard structure is narrowly configured, with no more than 50,000 square feet of capacity under the roof and often less than that. There is also a preponderance of dock doors. The design is driven by the need for fast turns of relatively small products of high value, the classic airfreight consignment. "Everything is built [around] moving the freight as quickly as possible" to hit airline cutoff times and keep the expensive stuff moving, Staubitz said.
CHANGING ATTITUDES
The flagging demand for close-in airport space has, to some degree, mirrored air freight's fortunes over the past 15 years. Two recessions in the last decade have reshaped shipper attitudes toward air use. The first, between 2000 and 2002, led to the collapse of many information technology (IT) firms and upended the high-voltage growth plans of the survivors, many of which had been major airfreight users. The second, the so-called Great Recession, leveled virtually every industry and led to unprecedented declines in airfreight volumes.
The legacies of both downturns still haunt the industry. Frugal shippers have migrated to more economical forms of transport that focus on time-definite deliveries rather than on the fastest transit possible. In the U.S. and Europe, that has meant more road transport; between continents, it has meant more ocean freight. These modes have improved in speed and, most important in many users' minds, reliability. While there is always hope air freight can surmount these seemingly secular obstacles and return to the glory days of the 1990s, no one sees that happening.
Traffic gains are expected to remain in the low- to mid-single digits for years to come, accompanied by one-time or cyclical surges for the peak holiday season, the Lunar New Year, new product launches, and diversions from ocean freight during events such as the recent West Coast port contract dispute, which helped drive February's global air volumes up 11.4 percent year over year, according to the International Air Transport Association (IATA), the leading airline trade group.
Over the years, freight forwarders and others in the aircargo community have found themselves being pushed farther away from airport gateways. Starting with security measures following the 2001 terrorist attacks, it reached a somewhat ludicrous crescendo last October when New York Gov. Andrew Cuomo proposed relocating JFK Airport's entire cargo apparatus to Stewart International Airport, 60 miles north of New York City, so the Port Authority of New York and New Jersey, JFK's operator, could use the freed-up space to build hotels, shops, and restaurants for travelers. The plan, much derided from the start, has gone nowhere.
Zablocki of Ceva said the shifts in site selection also reflect changes in how the tenants themselves do business. For years, it was common for a big forwarder to specialize in one transport mode. Today, that same forwarder may have evolved into a one-stop shop whose service menu includes air, ocean, trucking, warehousing and distribution, and customs brokerage. If an industrial complex houses all of those services, it then behooves the company to be centrally located near as many of them as possible, even if it means being farther away from the airport, according to Zablocki. "We are an end-to-end service provider, so it makes sense to be in the middle of everything," he said.
Forwarders also need to get creative in getting the most from their facility space, Zablocki said. Ceva's LAX facility, for example, has been designated a free trade zone, a special geographic area where goods may be landed, handled, manufactured or reconfigured, and re-exported without the intervention of the customs authorities. Zablocki said the operation has been effective in boosting the value of LAX as a logistics center.
It’s getting a little easier to find warehouse space in the U.S., as the frantic construction pace of recent years declined to pre-pandemic levels in the fourth quarter of 2024, in line with rising vacancies, according to a report from real estate firm Colliers.
Those trends played out as the gap between new building supply and tenants’ demand narrowed during 2024, the firm said in its “U.S. Industrial Market Outlook Report / Q4 2024.” By the numbers, developers delivered 400 million square feet for the year, 34% below the record 607 million square feet completed in 2023. And net absorption, a key measure of demand, declined by 27%, to 168 million square feet.
Consequently, the U.S. industrial vacancy rate rose by 126 basis points, to 6.8%, as construction activity normalized at year-end to pre-pandemic levels of below 300 million square feet. With supply and demand nearing equilibrium in 2025, the vacancy rate is expected to peak at around 7% before starting to fall again.
Thanks to those market conditions, renters of warehouse space should begin to see some relief from the steep rent hikes they’re seen in recent years. According to Colliers, rent growth decelerated in 2024 after nine consecutive quarters of year-over-year increases surpassing 10%. Average warehouse and distribution rents rose by 5% to $10.12/SF triple net, and rents in some markets actually declined following a period of unprecedented growth when increases often exceeded 25% year-over-year. As the market adjusts, rents are projected to stabilize in 2025, rising between 2% and 5%, in line with historical averages.
In 2024, there were 125 new occupancies of 500,000 square feet or more, led by third-party logistics (3PL) providers, followed by manufacturing companies. Demand peaked in the fourth quarter at 53 million square feet, while the first quarter had the lowest activity at 28 million square feet — the lowest quarterly tally since 2012.
In its economic outlook for the future, Colliers said the U.S. economy remains strong by most measures; with low unemployment, consumer spending surpassing expectations, positive GDP growth, and signs of improvement in manufacturing. However businesses still face challenges including persistent inflation, the lowest hiring rate since 2010, and uncertainties surrounding tariffs, migration, and policies introduced by the new Trump Administration.
Both shippers and carriers feel growing urgency for the logistics industry to agree on a common standard for key performance indicators (KPIs), as the sector’s benchmarks have continued to evolve since the COVID-19 pandemic, according to research from freight brokerage RXO.
The feeling is nearly universal, with 87% of shippers and 90% of carriers agreeing that there should be set KPI industry standards, up from 78% and 74% respectively in 2022, according to results from “The Logistics Professional’s Guide to KPIs,” an RXO research study conducted in collaboration with third-party research firm Qualtrics.
"Managing supply chain data is incredibly important, but it’s not easy. What technology to use, which metrics to track, where to set benchmarks, how to leverage data to drive action – modern logistics professionals grapple with all these challenges,” Ben Steffes, VP of Solutions & Strategy at RXO, said in a release.
Additional results from the survey showed that shippers are more data-driven than they were in the past; 86% of shippers reference their logistics KPIs at least weekly (up from 79% in 2022), and 45% of shippers reference them daily (up from 32% in 2022).
Despite that sharpened focus, performance benchmarks have become slightly more lenient, the survey showed. Industry performance standards for core transportation KPIs—such as on-time performance, payables, and tender acceptance—are generally consistent with 2022, but the underlying data shows a tendency to be a bit more forgiving, RXO said.
One solution is to be a shipper-of-choice for your chosen carriers. That strategy can enable better rates and more capacity, as RXO found 95% of carriers said inefficient shipping practices impact the rates they give to shippers, and 99% of carriers take a shipper’s KPI expectations into account before agreeing to move a shipment.
“KPIs are essential for effective supply chain management and continuous improvement, and they’re always evolving,” Steffes said. “Shifts in consumer demand and an influx of technology are driving this change, in combination with the dynamic and fragmented nature of the freight market. To optimize performance, businesses need consistent measurement and reporting. We released this study to help shippers and carriers benchmark their standards against how their peers approach KPIs today.”
Supply chain technology firm Manhattan Associates, which is known for its “tier one” warehouse, transportation, and labor management software products, says that CEO Eddie Capel will retire tomorrow after 25 total years at the California company, including 12 as its top executive.
Capel originally joined Manhattan in 2000, and, after serving in various operations and technology roles, became its chief operating officer (COO) in 2011 and its president and CEO in 2013.
He will continue to serve Manhattan in the role of Executive Vice-Chairman of the Board, assisting with the CEO transition and special projects. Capel will be succeeded in the corner officer by Eric Clark, who has been serving as CEO of NTT Data North America, the U.S. arm of the Japan-based tech services firm.
Texas-based NTT Data North America says its services include business and technology consulting, data and artificial intelligence, and industry solutions, as well as the development, implementation and management of applications, infrastructure, and connectivity.
Clark comes to his new role after joining NTT in 2018 and becoming CEO in 2022. Earlier in his career, he had held senior leadership positions with ServiceNow, Dell, Hewlett Packard Enterprise, Arthur Andersen Business Consulting, Ernst & Young and Bank of America.
“This is an ideal time for a CEO transition,” Capel said in a release. “Our company is in an exceptionally strong position strategically, competitively, operationally and financially. I want to thank our management team and our entire workforce, which is second to none, for their hard work and dedication to our mission of advancing global commerce through advanced technology. I look forward to working closely with Eric and continuing to contribute to our product vision, interacting with our customers and partners, and ensuring the growth and success of Manhattan Associates.”
The Japanese logistics company SG Holdings today announced its acquisition of Morrison Express, a Taipei, Taiwan-based global freight forwarding and logistics service provider specializing in semiconductor and high-tech logistics.
The deal will “significantly” expand SG’s Asian market presence and strengthen its position in specialized logistics services, the Kyoto-based company said.
According to SG, there is minimal overlap between the two firms, as Morrison Express’ strength in air freight and high-tech verticals in its freight forwarding business will be complementary with SG’s freight forwarding arm, EFL Global, which focuses on ocean freight forwarding and commercial verticals like apparel and daily sundries.
In addition, the combined entity offers an expanded geographic reach, which will support closer proximity to customers and ensure more responsive support and service delivery. SG said its customers will benefit from end-to-end supply chain solutions spanning air, ocean, rail, and road freight, complemented by tailored solutions that leverage Morrison's strong supplier and partner relationships in the technology sector.
The growth of electric vehicles (EVs) is likely to stagnate in 2025 due to headwinds created by uncertainty about the future of federal EV incentives, possible tariffs on both EV and gasoline-powered vehicles, relaxed federal emissions and mileage standards, and ongoing challenges with the public charging network, according to a report from J.D. Power.
Specifically, J.D. Power projects that total EV retail share will hold steady in 2025 at 9.1% of the market, or 1.2 million vehicles sold. Longer term, the new forecast calls for the EV market to reach 26% retail share by 2030, which is approximately half of the market share the Biden administration targeted in its climate agenda.
A major reason for that flat result will be the Trump Administration’s intention to end the $7,500 federal Clean Vehicle Tax Credit, which has played a major role in incentivizing current EV owners to purchase or lease an EV, J.D. Power says.
Even as EV manufacturers and consumers adjust to those new dynamics, the electric car market will continue to change under their feet. Whereas the early days of the EV market were defined by premium segment vehicles, that growth trend has now shifted to the mass market segment where franchise EV sales rose 58% in 2024, reaching a total of 376,000 units. That success came after mainstream franchise EV sales accounted for just 0.8% of total EV market share in 2021. In 2024, that number rose to 2.9%, as EVs from the likes of Chevrolet, Ford, Honda, Hyundai and Kia surged in popularity, the report said.
This growth in the mass market segment—along with federal and state incentives—has also helped make EVs cheaper than comparable gas-powered vehicles, J.D. Power found. On average, at the end of 2024, the average cost of a battery-electric vehicle (BEV) was $44,400, which is $1,000 less than a comparable gas-powered vehicle, inclusive of hybrids and plugin hybrids. While that balance may change if federal tax incentives are removed, the trend toward EVs being a lower cost option has correlated with increases in sales, which will be an important factor for manufacturers to consider as they confront the current marketplace.