In a 1940 novel of the same name, Thomas Wolfe declared, "You can't go home again," but some companies are willing to give it a try. During the past year, we've heard of a number of companies that are rethinking their geographic manufacturing or distribution strategy. In what appears to be at least a minor trend, manufacturers are considering "reshoring"—bringing production back home—as well as "nearshoring"—bringing it closer to home, particularly from China. One of the most socially correct reasons for doing so has been the prevalence of worker abuse. Mistreatment of workers has been fairly common in Asia, and events such as the 2013 Bangladesh tragedy, when an overcrowded, unsafe, out-of-code building collapsed, killing over 1,100 garment workers, have made corporations and consumers much more aware of the working conditions of many Asian wage earners.
A Boston Consulting Group study released last year showed that 36 percent of the respondents were, or were thinking about, moving production back to the U.S. from China. There are several good reasons for doing so other than the concerns about workers. Wages there are rising, the political climate is becoming more uncertain, quality is dropping, intellectual property is becoming more difficult to protect, Chinese companies are lagging in technology, transit times are long and erratic, and managing a far-flung international supply chain has never been easy, under any circumstances.
Other companies are looking at nearshoring, with Mexico becoming a very popular destination. As for what makes Mexico so appealing, it's partly the prospect of low wages. By 2020, the hourly labor rate in China will be $7.60, compared with $30 in this country; while in Mexico, it will be only $5.20. It's not just a matter of low labor costs, however; there are other compelling reasons to locate in Mexico. The economic climate is improving, as is the transportation infrastructure, and Mexico is close to home. That proximity means operations there are considerably easier to manage than their Asian counterparts, and companies locating there are sure to see service advantages over the Asian locations. The elephant in the room, of course, is security, but Mexico has taken major steps to bolster crime prevention efforts and law enforcement.
The entire issue is a "Catch 22" for many of the companies that have outsourced to Asia with the primary goal of reducing labor costs. In many cases, these low labor costs have resulted from human rights abuses. It is becoming increasingly difficult for companies in this country to stick their heads in the sand on this issue, but as responsible companies try to remedy the situation in their Asian facilities, they will find themselves paying more for labor, putting them at a competitive disadvantage. They will be forced to seek other alternatives, with reshoring and/or nearshoring the most obvious options.
Moving facilities back to the U.S. could provide a significant boost to the economy, and relocations to close-by countries like Mexico will no doubt result in supply chain efficiencies. But in many cases, the large investments companies have made in Asia will make it tough for them to just walk away and start over in another country.
While I believe the trend will continue, movement will be slow. The relationship between U.S. and Chinese labor costs is not appreciably different than it was when the work was offshored, and to simply reverse those decisions could be very expensive. I believe the big winner in all this may be Mexico. It will be a great compromise for those companies who want to escape Asia but are not quite ready to absorb the high cost of homegrown labor.
Supply chain planning (SCP) leaders working on transformation efforts are focused on two major high-impact technology trends, including composite AI and supply chain data governance, according to a study from Gartner, Inc.
"SCP leaders are in the process of developing transformation roadmaps that will prioritize delivering on advanced decision intelligence and automated decision making," Eva Dawkins, Director Analyst in Gartner’s Supply Chain practice, said in a release. "Composite AI, which is the combined application of different AI techniques to improve learning efficiency, will drive the optimization and automation of many planning activities at scale, while supply chain data governance is the foundational key for digital transformation.”
Their pursuit of those roadmaps is often complicated by frequent disruptions and the rapid pace of technological innovation. But Gartner says those leaders can accelerate the realized value of technology investments by facilitating a shift from IT-led to business-led digital leadership, with SCP leaders taking ownership of multidisciplinary teams to advance business operations, channels and products.
“A sound data governance strategy supports advanced technologies, such as composite AI, while also facilitating collaboration throughout the supply chain technology ecosystem,” said Dawkins. “Without attention to data governance, SCP leaders will likely struggle to achieve their expected ROI on key technology investments.”
The U.S. manufacturing sector has become an engine of new job creation over the past four years, thanks to a combination of federal incentives and mega-trends like nearshoring and the clean energy boom, according to the industrial real estate firm Savills.
While those manufacturing announcements have softened slightly from their 2022 high point, they remain historically elevated. And the sector’s growth outlook remains strong, regardless of the results of the November U.S. presidential election, the company said in its September “Savills Manufacturing Report.”
From 2021 to 2024, over 995,000 new U.S. manufacturing jobs were announced, with two thirds in advanced sectors like electric vehicles (EVs) and batteries, semiconductors, clean energy, and biomanufacturing. After peaking at 350,000 news jobs in 2022, the growth pace has slowed, with 2024 expected to see just over half that number.
But the ingredients are in place to sustain the hot temperature of American manufacturing expansion in 2025 and beyond, the company said. According to Savills, that’s because the U.S. manufacturing revival is fueled by $910 billion in federal incentives—including the Inflation Reduction Act, CHIPS and Science Act, and Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act—much of which has not yet been spent. Domestic production is also expected to be boosted by new tariffs, including a planned rise in semiconductor tariffs to 50% in 2025 and an increase in tariffs on Chinese EVs from 25% to 100%.
Certain geographical regions will see greater manufacturing growth than others, since just eight states account for 47% of new manufacturing jobs and over 6.3 billion square feet of industrial space, with 197 million more square feet under development. They are: Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Ohio, North Carolina, South Carolina, Texas, and Tennessee.
Across the border, Mexico’s manufacturing sector has also seen “revolutionary” growth driven by nearshoring strategies targeting U.S. markets and offering lower-cost labor, with a workforce that is now even cheaper than in China. Over the past four years, that country has launched 27 new plants, each creating over 500 jobs. Unlike the U.S. focus on tech manufacturing, Mexico focuses on traditional sectors such as automative parts, appliances, and consumer goods.
Looking at the future, the U.S. manufacturing sector’s growth outlook remains strong, regardless of the results of November’s presidential election, Savills said. That’s because both candidates favor protectionist trade policies, and since significant change to federal incentives would require a single party to control both the legislative and executive branches. Rather than relying on changes in political leadership, future growth of U.S. manufacturing now hinges on finding affordable, reliable power amid increasing competition between manufacturing sites and data centers, Savills said.
The British logistics robot vendor Dexory this week said it has raised $80 million in venture funding to support an expansion of its artificial intelligence (AI) powered features, grow its global team, and accelerate the deployment of its autonomous robots.
A “significant focus” continues to be on expanding across the U.S. market, where Dexory is live with customers in seven states and last month opened a U.S. headquarters in Nashville. The Series B will also enhance development and production facilities at its UK headquarters, the firm said.
The “series B” funding round was led by DTCP, with participation from Latitude Ventures, Wave-X and Bootstrap Europe, along with existing investors Atomico, Lakestar, Capnamic, and several angels from the logistics industry. With the close of the round, Dexory has now raised $120 million over the past three years.
Dexory says its product, DexoryView, provides real-time visibility across warehouses of any size through its autonomous mobile robots and AI. The rolling bots use sensor and image data and continuous data collection to perform rapid warehouse scans and create digital twins of warehouse spaces, allowing for optimized performance and future scenario simulations.
Originally announced in September, the move will allow Deutsche Bahn to “fully focus on restructuring the rail infrastructure in Germany and providing climate-friendly passenger and freight transport operations in Germany and Europe,” Werner Gatzer, Chairman of the DB Supervisory Board, said in a release.
For its purchase price, DSV gains an organization with around 72,700 employees at over 1,850 locations. The new owner says it plans to investment around one billion euros in coming years to promote additional growth in German operations. Together, DSV and Schenker will have a combined workforce of approximately 147,000 employees in more than 90 countries, earning pro forma revenue of approximately $43.3 billion (based on 2023 numbers), DSV said.
After removing that unit, Deutsche Bahn retains its core business called the “Systemverbund Bahn,” which includes passenger transport activities in Germany, rail freight activities, operational service units, and railroad infrastructure companies. The DB Group, headquartered in Berlin, employs around 340,000 people.
“We have set clear goals to structurally modernize Deutsche Bahn in the areas of infrastructure, operations and profitability and focus on the core business. The proceeds from the sale will significantly reduce DB’s debt and thus make an important contribution to the financial stability of the DB Group. At the same time, DB Schenker will gain a strong strategic owner in DSV,” Deutsche Bahn CEO Richard Lutz said in a release.
Transportation industry veteran Anne Reinke will become president & CEO of trade group the Intermodal Association of North America (IANA) at the end of the year, stepping into the position from her previous post leading third party logistics (3PL) trade group the Transportation Intermediaries Association (TIA), both organizations said today.
Meanwhile, TIA today announced that insider Christopher Burroughs would fill Reinke’s shoes as president & CEO. Burroughs has been with TIA for 13 years, most recently as its vice president of Government Affairs for the past six years, during which time he oversaw all legislative and regulatory efforts before Congress and the federal agencies.
Before her four years leading TIA, Reinke spent two years as Deputy Assistant Secretary with the U.S. Department of Transportation and 16 years with CSX Corporation.