Today, we're using more warehouse space than ever before. Maybe we've moved from pallet-in/pallet-out storage and movement to a world of cross-docking and perfect order fulfillment at the piece level. But the basics remain very much the same as they've always been.
Art van Bodegraven was, among other roles, chief design officer for the DES Leadership Academy. He passed away on June 18, 2017. He will be greatly missed.
Editor's note: Last year, the Council of Supply Chain Management Professionals (CSCMP) commissioned a seminar series titled "Fundamentals of Supply Chain Management" to an overwhelming response. This month, we launch a new column in DC VELOCITY addressing that topic, written by the developers of the CSCMP series, Art Van Bodegraven and Ken Ackerman. Both are long-time practitioners, consultants and educators. Ackerman, who is head of The Ackerman Co., is past president of the council. Van Bodegraven, a partner at The Progress Group, is also chairman of The Supply Chain Group. Despite their long industry experience, they claim that neither is as crotchety as Walter Matthau or George Burns in "The Sunshine Boys." Reader comments on the column are welcome.
Warehousing, some wags have suggested, is the second oldest profession. Pick up the Book of Genesis, and you'll find a description of warehouses used to store food against an imminent famine. Yet despite this long history, just a few years ago, some leading thinkers in logistics were predicting the demise of the warehouse.
They were wrong. Today, we're using more warehouse space than ever before. Maybe we've moved from pallet-in/pallet-out storage and movement to a world of cross-docking and perfect order fulfillment at the piece level. But the basics remain very much the same as they've always been.
Warehousing, at its core, is about only a couple of things the management of space and the management of time. Let's start with space. What's the right balance? In general, too much space is preferable to too little, although too much can lead to bad habits.
Not surprisingly, too little is often a solution favored by top management. Some believe that "there's always room for one more." Yet when warehouse capacity has been reached, material gets placed in aisles, in staging areas, on docks, and in locations designed for other products. Accuracy suffers, efficiency drops, and performance plummets ultimately dragging customer service down to levels that would make a Russian bureaucrat blush.
The temptation to overfill a facility is particularly great when the focus is on warehousing (storage) instead of distribution (movement). The "storage" mentality is driven by the effort to fill the building to its maximum capacity. Today's reality is that space utilization is only one part of the cost/service equation, and that effective movement in and out typically trumps the added cost of the space needed to accommodate that activity.
A rule of thumb in a distribution center is that available storage capacity must be calculated with aisle, staging and other non-storage space subtracted from total building capacity. A facility is "full," from a practical standpoint, when it reaches 80 to 85 percent of available storage capacity and that presumes that the available space has been configured correctly for the mix of storage modes, such as floor stack, pallet rack and flow rack.
One key to effective space use lies in effective space planning repeated analysis of products and flows for dynamic layout of the facility and its storage (and order selection) modes. It's a little like painting the Golden Gate Bridge when you've finished, it's time to start over. But, without practical layouts, exquisite understanding of slotting, and discipline in putaway and replenishment, warehouse operations and cost and service can unravel pretty quickly.
It's about time
The other key component in warehousing is time. More and more, time demands drive what we do in warehousing measured by order fulfillment time, pick lines per hour, or dock-to-stock time. To some extent, we can approach time imperatives through better technology application and through process redesign. But, often, managing time in the warehouse is about managing people.
Time study as an engineering discipline is often misunderstood and misapplied. It has often been parodied, as in The Tramp's losing race against the assembly line in Charlie Chaplin's 1936 classic "Modern Times." And there's no doubt that observation of work and time is challenging in warehouses because people are in constant motion and are spread throughout the facility. But it's important to know how long tasks and jobs take. Supervisors need to know in order to assign crews and to assess performance. Managers need to know to meet budgets. Third-party service providers need to know to establish fees for services provided.
Right now, only a minority of warehouse operators have really good measurement and related time-based management. Nonetheless, there's hope for those organizations that want to get more precise and serious about managing time. Today's workers are less likely than their predecessors to react negatively to time study, standard setting and performance reporting; and few will resist once they gain familiarity with the underlying processes.
Accelerating work processes does not mean trading off quality for quantity, however. The two are not necessarily trade-offs, just as high customer service levels and low inventories are not necessarily incompatible. Productivity measures comprise both velocity and quality.
This subject of metrics deserves a separate discussion. Until that time, let us propose that active, rigorous metrics are hallmarks of acceptable warehousing. Exceptional warehouses tend to have metrics that match up with business goals and exceptional performance against metrics targets.
The strongest link
When all else is said and done, the warehouse is not an island. It supports (or should support) the overall corporate mission. The way a warehouse is managed will reflect goals and priorities, whether they are growth, superior service, cost reduction or increased volumes.
The warehouse manager will be judged by how well he or she aligns the organization, the associates and their performance with corporate objectives. Not only is the warehouse, or distribution center, intimately connected with corporate performance, it is the link between production and customers a dynamic player in creating supply chain success.
Worldwide air cargo rates rose to a 2024 high in November of $2.76 per kilo, despite a slight (-2%) drop in flown tonnages compared with October, according to analysis by WorldACD Market data.
The healthy rate comes as demand and pricing both remain significantly above their already elevated levels last November, the Dutch firm said.
The new figures reflect worldwide air cargo markets that remain relatively strong, including shipments originating in the Asia Pacific, but where good advance planning by air cargo stakeholders looks set to avert a major peak season capacity crunch and very steep rate rises in the final weeks of the year, WorldACD said.
Despite that effective planning, average worldwide rates in November rose by 6% month on month (MoM), based on a full-market average of spot rates and contract rates, taking them to their highest level since January 2023 and 11% higher, year on year (YoY). The biggest MoM increases came from Europe (+10%) and Central & South America (+9%) origins, based on the more than 450,000 weekly transactions covered by WorldACD’s data.
But overall global tonnages in November were down -2%, MoM, with the biggest percentage decline coming from Middle East & South Asia (-11%) origins, which have been highly elevated for most of this year. But the -4%, MoM, decrease from Europe origins was responsible for a similar drop in tonnage terms – reflecting reduced passenger belly capacity since the start of aviation’s winter season from 27 October, including cuts in passenger services by European carriers to and from China.
Each of those points could have a stark impact on business operations, the firm said. First, supply chain restrictions will continue to drive up costs, following examples like European tariffs on Chinese autos and the U.S. plan to prevent Chinese software and hardware from entering cars in America.
Second, reputational risk will peak due to increased corporate transparency and due diligence laws, such as Germany’s Supply Chain Due Diligence Act that addresses hotpoint issues like modern slavery, forced labor, human trafficking, and environmental damage. In an age when polarized public opinion is combined with ever-present social media, doing business with a supplier whom a lot of your customers view negatively will be hard to navigate.
And third, advances in data, technology, and supplier risk assessments will enable executives to measure the impact of disruptions more effectively. Those calculations can help organizations determine whether their risk mitigation strategies represent value for money when compared to the potential revenues losses in the event of a supply chain disruption.
“Looking past the holidays, retailers will need to prepare for the typical challenges posed by seasonal slowdown in consumer demand. This year, however, there will be much less of a lull, as U.S. companies are accelerating some purchases that could potentially be impacted by a new wave of tariffs on U.S. imports,” Andrei Quinn-Barabanov, Senior Director – Supplier Risk Management Solutions at Moody’s, said in a release. “Tariffs, sanctions and other supply chain restrictions will likely be top of the 2025 agenda for procurement executives.”
As holiday shoppers blitz through the final weeks of the winter peak shopping season, a survey from the postal and shipping solutions provider Stamps.com shows that 40% of U.S. consumers are unaware of holiday shipping deadlines, leaving them at risk of running into last-minute scrambles, higher shipping costs, and packages arriving late.
The survey also found a generational difference in holiday shipping deadline awareness, with 53% of Baby Boomers unaware of these cut-off dates, compared to just 32% of Millennials. Millennials are also more likely to prioritize guaranteed delivery, with 68% citing it as a key factor when choosing a shipping option this holiday season.
Of those surveyed, 66% have experienced holiday shipping delays, with Gen Z reporting the highest rate of delays at 73%, compared to 49% of Baby Boomers. That statistical spread highlights a conclusion that younger generations are less tolerant of delays and prioritize fast and efficient shipping, researchers said. The data came from a study of 1,000 U.S. consumers conducted in October 2024 to understand their shopping habits and preferences.
As they cope with that tight shipping window, a huge 83% of surveyed consumers are willing to pay extra for faster shipping to avoid the prospect of a late-arriving gift. This trend is especially strong among Gen Z, with 56% willing to pay up, compared to just 27% of Baby Boomers.
“As the holiday season approaches, it’s crucial for consumers to be prepared and aware of shipping deadlines to ensure their gifts arrive on time,” Nick Spitzman, General Manager of Stamps.com, said in a release. ”Our survey highlights the significant portion of consumers who are unaware of these deadlines, particularly older generations. It’s essential for retailers and shipping carriers to provide clear and timely information about shipping deadlines to help consumers avoid last-minute stress and disappointment.”
For best results, Stamps.com advises consumers to begin holiday shopping early and familiarize themselves with shipping deadlines across carriers. That is especially true with Thanksgiving falling later this year, meaning the holiday season is shorter and planning ahead is even more essential.
According to Stamps.com, key shipping deadlines include:
December 13, 2024: Last day for FedEx Ground Economy
December 18, 2024: Last day for USPS Ground Advantage and First-Class Mail
December 19, 2024: Last day for UPS 3 Day Select and USPS Priority Mail
December 20, 2024: Last day for UPS 2nd Day Air
December 21, 2024: Last day for USPS Priority Mail Express
Measured over the entire year of 2024, retailers estimate that 16.9% of their annual sales will be returned. But that total figure includes a spike of returns during the holidays; a separate NRF study found that for the 2024 winter holidays, retailers expect their return rate to be 17% higher, on average, than their annual return rate.
Despite the cost of handling that massive reverse logistics task, retailers grin and bear it because product returns are so tightly integrated with brand loyalty, offering companies an additional touchpoint to provide a positive interaction with their customers, NRF Vice President of Industry and Consumer Insights Katherine Cullen said in a release. According to NRF’s research, 76% of consumers consider free returns a key factor in deciding where to shop, and 67% say a negative return experience would discourage them from shopping with a retailer again. And 84% of consumers report being more likely to shop with a retailer that offers no box/no label returns and immediate refunds.
So in response to consumer demand, retailers continue to enhance the return experience for customers. More than two-thirds of retailers surveyed (68%) say they are prioritizing upgrading their returns capabilities within the next six months. In addition, improving the returns experience and reducing the return rate are viewed as two of the most important elements for businesses in achieving their 2025 goals.
However, retailers also must balance meeting consumer demand for seamless returns against rising costs. Fraudulent and abusive returns practices create both logistical and financial challenges for retailers. A majority (93%) of retailers said retail fraud and other exploitive behavior is a significant issue for their business. In terms of abuse, bracketing – purchasing multiple items with the intent to return some – has seen growth among younger consumers, with 51% of Gen Z consumers indicating they engage in this practice.
“Return policies are no longer just a post-purchase consideration – they’re shaping how younger generations shop from the start,” David Sobie, co-founder and CEO of Happy Returns, said in a release. “With behaviors like bracketing and rising return rates putting strain on traditional systems, retailers need to rethink reverse logistics. Solutions like no box/no label returns with item verification enable immediate refunds, meeting customer expectations for convenience while increasing accuracy, reducing fraud and helping to protect profitability in a competitive market.”
The research came from two complementary surveys conducted this fall, allowing NRF and Happy Returns to compare perspectives from both sides. They included one that gathered responses from 2,007 consumers who had returned at least one online purchase within the past year, and another from 249 e-commerce and finance professionals from large U.S. retailers.
The “series A” round was led by Andreessen Horowitz (a16z), with participation from Y Combinator and strategic industry investors, including RyderVentures. It follows an earlier, previously undisclosed, pre-seed round raised 1.5 years ago, that was backed by Array Ventures and other angel investors.
“Our mission is to redefine the economics of the freight industry by harnessing the power of agentic AI,ˮ Pablo Palafox, HappyRobotʼs co-founder and CEO, said in a release. “This funding will enable us to accelerate product development, expand and support our customer base, and ultimately transform how logistics businesses operate.ˮ
According to the firm, its conversational AI platform uses agentic AI—a term for systems that can autonomously make decisions and take actions to achieve specific goals—to simplify logistics operations. HappyRobot says its tech can automate tasks like inbound and outbound calls, carrier negotiations, and data capture, thus enabling brokers to enhance efficiency and capacity, improve margins, and free up human agents to focus on higher-value activities.
“Today, the logistics industry underpinning our global economy is stretched,” Anish Acharya, general partner at a16z, said. “As a key part of the ecosystem, even small to midsize freight brokers can make and receive hundreds, if not thousands, of calls per day – and hiring for this job is increasingly difficult. By providing customers with autonomous decision making, HappyRobotʼs agentic AI platform helps these brokers operate more reliably and efficiently.ˮ