David Maloney has been a journalist for more than 35 years and is currently the group editorial director for DC Velocity and Supply Chain Quarterly magazines. In this role, he is responsible for the editorial content of both brands of Agile Business Media. Dave joined DC Velocity in April of 2004. Prior to that, he was a senior editor for Modern Materials Handling magazine. Dave also has extensive experience as a broadcast journalist. Before writing for supply chain publications, he was a journalist, television producer and director in Pittsburgh. Dave combines a background of reporting on logistics with his video production experience to bring new opportunities to DC Velocity readers, including web videos highlighting top distribution and logistics facilities, webcasts and other cross-media projects. He continues to live and work in the Pittsburgh area.
Most of us don't like to shop for groceries. We do it because we need to eat, but we'd much rather spend our time doing other things.
The consistent ordering patterns of grocery shopping—people tend to buy similar products each time they go—would appear to make the segment ripe for e-commerce. Yet e-grocery has never really caught on. A few operators in large markets have been marginally successful. But for the most part, profit margins have been too thin to make online grocery fulfillment viable.
That's largely because grocery stores are one of the few businesses in which consumers provide most of the labor. Not only do shoppers assemble their orders themselves, but in many cases, they also process their own payments in self-checkout lines.
This model is hard for e-grocers to compete with because they have to pay people to pick and pack orders. Although some consumers have been willing to pay extra for the convenience of having their orders assembled for pickup, no one has been able to provide an e-grocery service at a cost that's competitive with the traditional grocery store model. At least until now.
POISED FOR TAKEOFF
Enter Takeoff Technologies. Takeoff is a Boston-area startup that believes it has hit upon the elusive e-grocery solution, with a model that works for both the consumer and the retailer. It will put its concept to the test later this year when it opens a first-of-its-kind operation in conjunction with an unidentified grocery retailer near Boston.
Takeoff's model calls for the development of micro-fulfillment centers that use robotic shuttle technology to assemble customer orders, making fulfillment quick and relatively cheap. The micro-fulfillment centers would be located in high-traffic urban locations, making customer pickups convenient and reducing last-mile delivery costs for those wanting door-to-door service. (The cost of delivery from a warehouse to the customer's doorstep is something that has plagued e-grocers in the past.) Online orders would be available for pickup within 30 minutes of order placement, which means a customer could order groceries online before leaving the office and pick them up on the way home. As added enticements, customers would have the option of curbside pickup and would pay no extra fees.
At the heart of the Takeoff model is the Knapp OSR Shuttle, an automated storage system used to house and deliver products quickly to workers at the micro-fulfillment sites. Automating most of the picking duties creates the economies needed to make the e-grocery model viable, according to the companies. The system is able to fill orders with five times less labor per item sold than traditional grocery operations can. And it does it with over 99.9 percent accuracy, according to figures from Knapp and Takeoff.
Among other benefits, the micro-fulfillment centers are designed to make ultra-efficient use of space. Alfredo Millan, who heads engineering for Takeoff, reports that the shuttle system can hold 4,500 totes of products located on 15 levels and two aisles. With a footprint of 3,500 square feet, the system can easily house 40,000 to 50,000 stock-keeping units (SKUs)—although Takeoff considers the sweet spot to be around 20,000 SKUs. In essence, the system can accommodate a product assortment that rivals that of the largest grocery stores but does it in a footprint that's one-tenth the size of a traditional supermarket.
QUICK PICKS
As for the machine itself, 30 shuttles operate within the OSR system, one per level per aisle. As incoming goods arrive, totes holding products are inducted into the system and raised using two elevators, one per aisle, to the assigned level. The shuttle for that level then collects the tote from the elevator and transports it horizontally along the aisle to a storage location in one of three temperature zones: frozen, refrigerated, or ambient. The shuttles can handle 1,200 lines per hour.
Customer orders are assembled in bulk and managed using the Symphony EYC warehouse management system (WMS) from Boon Software along with a proprietary middleware system that integrates all technologies involved in the operation. The software works in conjunction with Knapp's KiSoft warehouse control system (WCS), which operates the OSR Shuttle system and its associated conveyors.
Based on the software's instructions, the shuttles gather up the totes needed for the current batch of orders and transport them to the elevator located at the end of each aisle. From here, they're sent to picking stations, where workers assemble orders into customer cartons according to directions from a pick-to-light system. About 70 orders can be completed hourly from the OSR Shuttle system.
Approximately three-quarters of all items can be housed within the shuttle system. The exceptions are fast-moving items such as bread, milk, sodas, toilet paper, and bananas, where demand rotates too quickly for the shuttle. Non-conveyable items, such as mops, would also be stored outside the shuttle. These items can be picked using radio-frequency or voice technology.
The shuttle system used by Takeoff is a standard design, meaning it will be easy to replicate at new sites as the rollout progresses.
Takeoff executives say they looked at a number of automated solutions before settling on the Knapp technology. "Our concept is about simplicity," says Jose Vicente Aguerrevere, who founded the company with Max Pedró, whom Aguerrevere met at Harvard Business School 17 years ago. "But most of the automation out there was just too expensive to compete with the efficiencies of the [traditional supermarket model]. What we liked about Knapp is that they were the inventors of the shuttle concept and it is a proven technology. They had the performance metrics we needed and the ability to replicate the concept."
Takeoff says it can install one of its micro-fulfillment centers in an existing building for about a fifth the cost of constructing the typical new full-line grocery store. The company adds that the design is so simple and straightforward that it can be implemented in an existing facility within 90 days. After the Boston launch, Takeoff is planning to expand to other facilities in the first quarter of 2018.
WORKING WITH GROCERS
As for where it will fit into the competitive landscape, the Takeoff model is designed to work with existing grocers and not compete against them, as other e-grocers have done. Takeoff executives believe partnering with existing retailers will work to their advantage by allowing them to leverage the grocery chains' existing infrastructure and established customer base.
When it comes to potential locations for the micro-fulfillment centers, the field is wide open. With their small footprint, they could be placed within a larger grocery store or at other retail locations, such as convenience stores, drug stores, and gas stations. In some cases, it might even make sense to create a dedicated standalone fulfillment facility, Takeoff executives say. "We will locate where the demand is. That means we have to locate near the customer," says Pedró. "We will help existing retailers be successful in e-groceries. We are not trying to put them out of business."
In addition to offering pickup at the micro-fulfillment centers, Takeoff plans to utilize pickup points at other high-traffic locations and to contract with Uber-type services for home or office delivery of groceries. Deliveries would be made within two hours of order placement.
Will this model take off as the name suggests? Company executives appear confident on that count. In fact, the Takeoff executives say they believe it has the potential to revolutionize the way we all get our daily bread—and more.
A version of this article appears in our June 2017 print edition under the title "Thought for food."
Worldwide air cargo rates rose to a 2024 high in November of $2.76 per kilo, despite a slight (-2%) drop in flown tonnages compared with October, according to analysis by WorldACD Market data.
The healthy rate comes as demand and pricing both remain significantly above their already elevated levels last November, the Dutch firm said.
The new figures reflect worldwide air cargo markets that remain relatively strong, including shipments originating in the Asia Pacific, but where good advance planning by air cargo stakeholders looks set to avert a major peak season capacity crunch and very steep rate rises in the final weeks of the year, WorldACD said.
Despite that effective planning, average worldwide rates in November rose by 6% month on month (MoM), based on a full-market average of spot rates and contract rates, taking them to their highest level since January 2023 and 11% higher, year on year (YoY). The biggest MoM increases came from Europe (+10%) and Central & South America (+9%) origins, based on the more than 450,000 weekly transactions covered by WorldACD’s data.
But overall global tonnages in November were down -2%, MoM, with the biggest percentage decline coming from Middle East & South Asia (-11%) origins, which have been highly elevated for most of this year. But the -4%, MoM, decrease from Europe origins was responsible for a similar drop in tonnage terms – reflecting reduced passenger belly capacity since the start of aviation’s winter season from 27 October, including cuts in passenger services by European carriers to and from China.
Each of those points could have a stark impact on business operations, the firm said. First, supply chain restrictions will continue to drive up costs, following examples like European tariffs on Chinese autos and the U.S. plan to prevent Chinese software and hardware from entering cars in America.
Second, reputational risk will peak due to increased corporate transparency and due diligence laws, such as Germany’s Supply Chain Due Diligence Act that addresses hotpoint issues like modern slavery, forced labor, human trafficking, and environmental damage. In an age when polarized public opinion is combined with ever-present social media, doing business with a supplier whom a lot of your customers view negatively will be hard to navigate.
And third, advances in data, technology, and supplier risk assessments will enable executives to measure the impact of disruptions more effectively. Those calculations can help organizations determine whether their risk mitigation strategies represent value for money when compared to the potential revenues losses in the event of a supply chain disruption.
“Looking past the holidays, retailers will need to prepare for the typical challenges posed by seasonal slowdown in consumer demand. This year, however, there will be much less of a lull, as U.S. companies are accelerating some purchases that could potentially be impacted by a new wave of tariffs on U.S. imports,” Andrei Quinn-Barabanov, Senior Director – Supplier Risk Management Solutions at Moody’s, said in a release. “Tariffs, sanctions and other supply chain restrictions will likely be top of the 2025 agenda for procurement executives.”
As holiday shoppers blitz through the final weeks of the winter peak shopping season, a survey from the postal and shipping solutions provider Stamps.com shows that 40% of U.S. consumers are unaware of holiday shipping deadlines, leaving them at risk of running into last-minute scrambles, higher shipping costs, and packages arriving late.
The survey also found a generational difference in holiday shipping deadline awareness, with 53% of Baby Boomers unaware of these cut-off dates, compared to just 32% of Millennials. Millennials are also more likely to prioritize guaranteed delivery, with 68% citing it as a key factor when choosing a shipping option this holiday season.
Of those surveyed, 66% have experienced holiday shipping delays, with Gen Z reporting the highest rate of delays at 73%, compared to 49% of Baby Boomers. That statistical spread highlights a conclusion that younger generations are less tolerant of delays and prioritize fast and efficient shipping, researchers said. The data came from a study of 1,000 U.S. consumers conducted in October 2024 to understand their shopping habits and preferences.
As they cope with that tight shipping window, a huge 83% of surveyed consumers are willing to pay extra for faster shipping to avoid the prospect of a late-arriving gift. This trend is especially strong among Gen Z, with 56% willing to pay up, compared to just 27% of Baby Boomers.
“As the holiday season approaches, it’s crucial for consumers to be prepared and aware of shipping deadlines to ensure their gifts arrive on time,” Nick Spitzman, General Manager of Stamps.com, said in a release. ”Our survey highlights the significant portion of consumers who are unaware of these deadlines, particularly older generations. It’s essential for retailers and shipping carriers to provide clear and timely information about shipping deadlines to help consumers avoid last-minute stress and disappointment.”
For best results, Stamps.com advises consumers to begin holiday shopping early and familiarize themselves with shipping deadlines across carriers. That is especially true with Thanksgiving falling later this year, meaning the holiday season is shorter and planning ahead is even more essential.
According to Stamps.com, key shipping deadlines include:
December 13, 2024: Last day for FedEx Ground Economy
December 18, 2024: Last day for USPS Ground Advantage and First-Class Mail
December 19, 2024: Last day for UPS 3 Day Select and USPS Priority Mail
December 20, 2024: Last day for UPS 2nd Day Air
December 21, 2024: Last day for USPS Priority Mail Express
Measured over the entire year of 2024, retailers estimate that 16.9% of their annual sales will be returned. But that total figure includes a spike of returns during the holidays; a separate NRF study found that for the 2024 winter holidays, retailers expect their return rate to be 17% higher, on average, than their annual return rate.
Despite the cost of handling that massive reverse logistics task, retailers grin and bear it because product returns are so tightly integrated with brand loyalty, offering companies an additional touchpoint to provide a positive interaction with their customers, NRF Vice President of Industry and Consumer Insights Katherine Cullen said in a release. According to NRF’s research, 76% of consumers consider free returns a key factor in deciding where to shop, and 67% say a negative return experience would discourage them from shopping with a retailer again. And 84% of consumers report being more likely to shop with a retailer that offers no box/no label returns and immediate refunds.
So in response to consumer demand, retailers continue to enhance the return experience for customers. More than two-thirds of retailers surveyed (68%) say they are prioritizing upgrading their returns capabilities within the next six months. In addition, improving the returns experience and reducing the return rate are viewed as two of the most important elements for businesses in achieving their 2025 goals.
However, retailers also must balance meeting consumer demand for seamless returns against rising costs. Fraudulent and abusive returns practices create both logistical and financial challenges for retailers. A majority (93%) of retailers said retail fraud and other exploitive behavior is a significant issue for their business. In terms of abuse, bracketing – purchasing multiple items with the intent to return some – has seen growth among younger consumers, with 51% of Gen Z consumers indicating they engage in this practice.
“Return policies are no longer just a post-purchase consideration – they’re shaping how younger generations shop from the start,” David Sobie, co-founder and CEO of Happy Returns, said in a release. “With behaviors like bracketing and rising return rates putting strain on traditional systems, retailers need to rethink reverse logistics. Solutions like no box/no label returns with item verification enable immediate refunds, meeting customer expectations for convenience while increasing accuracy, reducing fraud and helping to protect profitability in a competitive market.”
The research came from two complementary surveys conducted this fall, allowing NRF and Happy Returns to compare perspectives from both sides. They included one that gathered responses from 2,007 consumers who had returned at least one online purchase within the past year, and another from 249 e-commerce and finance professionals from large U.S. retailers.
The “series A” round was led by Andreessen Horowitz (a16z), with participation from Y Combinator and strategic industry investors, including RyderVentures. It follows an earlier, previously undisclosed, pre-seed round raised 1.5 years ago, that was backed by Array Ventures and other angel investors.
“Our mission is to redefine the economics of the freight industry by harnessing the power of agentic AI,ˮ Pablo Palafox, HappyRobotʼs co-founder and CEO, said in a release. “This funding will enable us to accelerate product development, expand and support our customer base, and ultimately transform how logistics businesses operate.ˮ
According to the firm, its conversational AI platform uses agentic AI—a term for systems that can autonomously make decisions and take actions to achieve specific goals—to simplify logistics operations. HappyRobot says its tech can automate tasks like inbound and outbound calls, carrier negotiations, and data capture, thus enabling brokers to enhance efficiency and capacity, improve margins, and free up human agents to focus on higher-value activities.
“Today, the logistics industry underpinning our global economy is stretched,” Anish Acharya, general partner at a16z, said. “As a key part of the ecosystem, even small to midsize freight brokers can make and receive hundreds, if not thousands, of calls per day – and hiring for this job is increasingly difficult. By providing customers with autonomous decision making, HappyRobotʼs agentic AI platform helps these brokers operate more reliably and efficiently.ˮ