Peter Bradley is an award-winning career journalist with more than three decades of experience in both newspapers and national business magazines. His credentials include seven years as the transportation and supply chain editor at Purchasing Magazine and six years as the chief editor of Logistics Management.
Black & Decker, the big international toolmaker, has cut millions of dollars from its finished-goods safety stocks, even with a supply chain that stretches around much of the world. The fashion retailer Liz Claiborne has pruned seven to 10 days of inventory from its supply chain, although much of its merchandise arrives from across the Pacific by ship. Williams-Sonoma, the purveyor of high-end cooking equipment, has reduced its ocean freight bill by millions of dollars.
All these international logistics success stories, drawn from a new study by the consulting firm Aberdeen Group, demonstrate that international logistics doesn't have to be a nightmare. That's welcome news at a time when U.S. trade with China and other Pacific Rim nations is exploding. But the story doesn't end there. That study also shows that success in international logistics does not come easily and that even large enterprises cannot go solo when sailing in international waters. Every one of those achievements relied on sophisticated computer systems developed and applied by third parties.
The longer the chain, the greater the risk
That companies need help reining in their sprawling international supply chains should come as no surprise. Unlike its domestic counterpart, the typical global supply chain stretches across thousands of miles, multiple borders and unmanageable oceans. It presents almost limitless opportunities for disruptions from various and ever-changing regulatory and legal requirements. And the potential for delays at any of its numerous touch points makes it subject to enormous variability and unpredictability, which can quickly erode any savings achieved by moving manufacturing abroad.
These problems haven't gone unnoticed. In the Aberdeen Group's study, which was based in part on a survey of 400 international logistics and trade managers, 62 percent of the respondents cited long lead times that hampered their efforts to respond to market demands as one of the major reasons for their companies' push to improve international logistics. A slight majority also noted that unanticipated costs had eroded product cost savings.
The rush to offshored manufacturing in recent years has only magnified the problem. Long lead times and a few added costs that had little effect on the bottom line when a small portion of a company's supply chain was international become increasingly significant as offshore sourcing grows. "What once might have been a rounding error is suddenly seen as a critical part of the core business," says Beth Enslow, vice president of Enterprise Research for Aberdeen Group and author of the new report, Best Practices in International Logistics.
Greg Johnsen of GT Nexus, a company that supplies global logistics and transportation software, notes that international supply chain costs can grow quickly, gobbling up as much as 15 percent of corporate revenues. The problem isn't just the longer order cycle time for international shipments, he says, but also the large range of variability that seems inevitable with the long lead times and multiple touch points in international logistics. For a domestic shipping operation with a week-long order cycle, the worst case might be the potential for three or four days' variability. For its international counterpart with what's nominally a 65-day order cycle, it could be 25 or more days.
That variability far exceeds what anyone might expect to experience in domestic operations. A single shipment can have as many as 20 physical and document touch points, compared to a handful at home. Governments are much more heavily involved in international shipping than in domestic. International shipments may move on several modes, not just, say, by truck. Plus there are the potential complications presented by time zones, currencies, and language barriers and document requirements.
And the list doesn't end there. "You have to allow for storms, port congestion, customs clearance," says Joe Dagnese, a vice president of Menlo Logistics. "Those are just some of the things that can lose days at a time."
Those delays cost companies more than time; they also cost money. Managers typically compensate for variability and delays by stockpiling inventory, using costly expedited transportation, and adding staff or partners, says Johnsen. Those are all expensive solutions. Over time, the added logistics and inventory costs can significantly erode—and in some cases, eliminate—the savings derived from buying the goods from less expensive offshore sources.
Management by guesswork
Managing costs is already a significant challenge in international supply chains. "We don't have nearly the amount of control, from a management perspective, in how to maximize a capital investment as we do in the domestic supply chain," says Enslow. She says the head of international transportation for one large company told her that he knows to the penny what impact domestic fuel surcharges have on his shipments, but that on the international side, he has a tough time figuring out what he spent in a month on shipments going from Shanghai to Long Beach.
That's hardly an isolated case, says Enslow. Few companies have a good handle on their international shipping
costs. "The systems are not established," she notes. "A lot of the expected savings are eroded by transportation costs, brokers' fees, and fines." In fact, Enslow compares the state of international transportation to what domestic transportation in North America was like in the 1970s, unautomated and largely fragmented.
This situation is now coming to a head, Enslow warns. In her report, she writes, "Logistics staffs keep their supply chains moving through hard work, experience-based problem solving, and insistent phoning and faxing of logistics partners. At nearly two-thirds of companies, spreadsheets, department-built Access database applications, and e-mails round out the technology portfolio. Many international logistics groups have reached the breaking point, however. As global sourcing and selling increases, so do transactions, partners, and problems to be managed. But budgets don't allow logistics departments to continue throwing people at these issues. The current manual-intensive process of global logistics is becoming unsustainable."
Can you see it now?
The alternative to manual global logistics management, of course, is automation. And that's exactly what Enslow is urging. She notes that as part of the research, Aberdeen identified eight "best-practice" companies and analyzed their operations to determine what made them stand out. "Analysis of the eight best-practice winners found that greater process automation, improved technologies, and increased reliance on logistics partners were instrumental in driving their successes," she writes.
Johnsen is of the same mind. He adds that the key to managing global supply chain costs and improving logistics performance is to focus on reducing variability—that is, actively managing the supply chain to improve reliability and predictability, and to create systematic ways to signal potential disruptions before they occur.
He says that the systems have to create visibility into not just the flow of goods, but also into the flow of information and costs, and that those systems ought to provide connections between all the participants in a network. That is, of course, what GT Nexus offers. But few would deny that the sort of integration he's urging is crucial to managing a complex international supply chain. The Aberdeen study highlights, for example, Williams-Sonoma's selection of GT Nexus' on-demand transportation management software to manage international transportation spending with a closed loop integrating procurement, execution, auditing and freight payment.
Over the last few years, a number of specialists in international software—companies like GT Nexus, Optiant, TradeBeam and SmartOps—have developed sophisticated global trade optimization tools. In addition, third-party logistics service providers with broad international experience—Menlo Logistics, TNT Logistics, and APL Logistics come to mind—have developed a mix of homegrown and partner platforms. As Menlo Logistics' Dagnese says, "One of the most important things you can do is ensure that your partners have visibility into the information that they need. That allows them to plan their operations. The better we can see, the better we plan."
But few companies have that visibility right now. Enslow writes in the Aberdeen report, "The greatest handicap to logistics performance, according to two-thirds of firms, is the lack of visibility and metrics for managing overseas vendors and logistics service providers."
Though they may have a long way to go, Enslow is optimistic that the laggards will take the necessary steps to turn things around. Companies are generally aware that if they don't take charge of improving their global logistics operations, they risk falling behind, she says. In fact, Enslow expects to see many companies make major strides before the end of the decade. "There will be huge improvements over the next five years," she predicts.
what separates the best from the rest
We've heard a lot about what separates the men from the boys and the wheat from the chaff. But what makes one company a leader and another an also-ran when it comes to international logistics? Beth Enslow, an Aberdeen Group researcher and author of Best Practices in International Logistics, analyzed the operations of eight best-performing companies to look for common denominators. She found that all eight did indeed share common characteristics, which can be summarized as follows:
They take a long-term view, but concentrate on today's details as well. "The logistics strategy must envision the future but action needs to be taken on the discrete, foundational components," Enslow writes. "These elements include such areas as ocean contract management, trade compliance, and visibility."
They find the right logistics partners. "Best-practice winners are figuring out new ways to synchronize activities and increase visibility and control of processes with customs brokers, freight forwarders, ocean carriers, logistics service providers, and others," the study says.
They automate. "Without exception," says the report, "best-practice winners' logistics strategies revolve around decreasing manual processes and increasing automation."
They make a point of getting the visibility they need. Enslow writes, "International logistics is all about managing a network of third-party providers. The foundation for controlling this process is visibility." That doesn't necessarily mean companies must invest in expensive visibility systems. They can also obtain visibility through their logistics partners' systems or through specialists offering on-demand solutions.
They make good use of inventory. A company that has visibility into in-transit inventories can then make use of that information—for example, redirecting inventory around port congestion or diverting it to higher points of demand. In addition, best-practice companies focus on optimizing where and how much inventory to hold.
They manage transportation spending. Enslow believes this is a badly neglected area, even though it might seem hard to ignore. International transportation costs tend to run two to three times higher than domestic transportation and are far more variable.
They focus on streamlining customs processes and make maximum use of benefits available through free trade agreements. One way to do this: Automate import/export compliance and documentation.
They work hard at winning support throughout the entire organization. "Universally, the eight best-practice winners are intensely focused on gaining and maintaining organizational buy-in for their logistics transformation initiatives," Enslow writes. That includes logistics, manufacturing, purchasing and, most important, finance. It also includes vendors and logistics providers.
Economic activity in the logistics industry expanded in January, growing at its fastest clip in more than two years, according to the latest Logistics Managers’ Index (LMI) report, released this week.
The LMI jumped nearly five points from December to a reading of 62, reflecting continued steady growth in the U.S. economy along with faster-than-expected inventory growth across the sector as retailers, wholesalers, and manufacturers attempted to manage the uncertainty of tariffs and a changing regulatory environment. The January reading represented the fastest rate of expansion since June 2022, the LMI researchers said.
An LMI reading above 50 indicates growth across warehousing and transportation markets, and a reading below 50 indicates contraction. The LMI has remained in the mid- to high 50s range for most of the past year, indicating moderate, consistent growth in logistics markets.
Inventory levels rose 8.5 points from December, driven by downstream retailers stocking up ahead of the Trump administration’s potential tariffs on imports from Mexico, Canada, and China. Those increases led to higher costs throughout the industry: inventory costs, warehousing prices, and transportation prices all expanded to readings above 70, indicating strong growth. This occurred alongside slowing growth in warehousing and transportation capacity, suggesting that prices are up due to demand rather than other factors, such as inflation, according to the LMI researchers.
The LMI is a monthly survey of logistics managers from across the country. It tracks industry growth overall and across eight areas: inventory levels and costs; warehousing capacity, utilization, and prices; and transportation capacity, utilization, and prices. The report is released monthly by researchers from Arizona State University, Colorado State University, Rochester Institute of Technology, Rutgers University, and the University of Nevada, Reno, in conjunction with the Council of Supply Chain Management Professionals (CSCMP).
As commodities go, furniture presents its share of manufacturing and distribution challenges. For one thing, it's bulky. Second, its main components—wood and cloth—are easily damaged in transit. Third, much of it is manufactured overseas, making for some very long supply chains with all the associated risks. And finally, completed pieces can sit on the showroom floor for weeks or months, tying up inventory dollars and valuable retail space.
In other words, the furniture market is ripe for disruption. And John "Jay" Rogers wants to be the catalyst. In 2022, he cofounded a company that takes a whole new approach to furniture manufacturing—one that leverages the power of 3D printing and robotics. Rogers serves as CEO of that company, Haddy, which essentially aims to transform how furniture—and all elements of the "built environment"—are designed, manufactured, distributed, and, ultimately, recycled.
Rogers graduated from Princeton University and went to work for a medical device startup in China before moving to a hedge fund company, where he became a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA). After that, he joined the U.S. Marine Corps, serving eight years in the infantry. Following two combat tours, he earned an MBA from the Harvard Business School and became a consultant for McKinsey & Co.
During this time, he founded Local Motors, a next-generation vehicle manufacturer that launched the world's first 3D-printed car, the Strati, in 2014. In 2021, he brought the technology to the furniture industry to launch Haddy. The father of four boys, Rogers is also a director of the RBR Foundation, a philanthropic organization focused on education and health care.
Rogers spoke recently with DC Velocity Group Editorial Director David Maloney on an episode of the "Logistics Matters" podcast.
Q: Could you tell us about Haddy and how this unique company came to be?
A: Absolutely. We have believed in the future of distributed digital manufacturing for a long time. The world has gone from being heavily globalized to one where lengthy supply chains are a liability—thanks to factors like the growing risk of terrorist attacks and the threat of tariffs. At the same time, there are more capabilities to produce things locally. Haddy is an outgrowth of those general trends.
Adoption of the technologies used in 3D printing has been decidedly uneven, although we do hear about applications like tissue bioprinting and food printing as well as the printing of trays for dental aligners. At Haddy, we saw an opportunity to take advantage of large-scale structural printing to approach the furniture and furnishings industry. The technology and software that make this possible are already here.
Q: Furniture is a very mature market. Why did you see this as a market that was ripe for disruption?
A:The furniture market has actually been disrupted many times in the last 200 years. The manufacturing of furniture for U.S. consumption originally took place in England. It then moved to Boston and from there to New Amsterdam, the Midwest, and North Carolina. Eventually, it went to Taiwan, then China, and now Vietnam, Indonesia, and Thailand. And each of those moves brought some type of disruption.
Other disruptions have been based on design. You can look at things like the advent of glue-laminated wood with Herman Miller, MillerKnoll, and the Eames [furniture design and manufacturing] movement. And you can look at changes in the way manufacturing is powered—the move from manual operations to machine-driven operations powered by steam and electricity. So the furniture industry has been continuously disrupted, sometimes by labor markets and sometimes by machines and methods.
What's happening now is that we're seeing changes in the way that labor is applied in furniture manufacturing. Furniture has traditionally been put together by human hands. But today, we have an opportunity to reassign those hands to processes that take place around the edges of furniture production. The hands are now directing robotics through programming and design; they're not actually making the furniture.
And so, we see this mature market as being one that's been continuously disrupted during the last 200 years. And this disruption now has a lot to do with changing the way that labor interacts with the making of furniture.
Q: How do your 3D printers actually create the furniture?
A:All 3D printing is not the same. The 3D printers we use are so-called "hybrid" systems. When we say hybrid, what we mean is that they're not just printers—they are holders, printers, polishers, and cutters, and they also do milling and things like that. We measure things and then print things, which is the additive portion. Then we can do subtractive and polishing work—re-measuring, moving, and printing parts again. And so, these hybrid systems are the actual makers of the furniture.
Q: What types of products are you making?
A: We've started with hardline or case goods, as they're sometimes known, for both residential and commercial use—cabinets, wall bookshelves, freestanding bookshelves, tables, rigid chairs, planters, and the like. Basically, we've been concentrating on products that don't have upholstery.
It's not that upholstery isn't necessary in furniture, as it is used in many pieces. But right now, we have found that digital furniture manufacturing becomes analog again when you have to factor in the sewing process. And so, to move quickly and fully leverage the advantages of digital manufacturing, we're sticking to the hardline groups, except for a couple of pieces that we have debuted that have 3D-printed cushions, which are super cool.
Q: Of course, 3D printers create objects in layers. What types of materials are you running through your 3D printers to create this furniture?
A: We use recycled materials, primarily polymer composites—a bio-compostable polymer or a synthetic polymer. We look for either recycled or bio-compostable [materials], which we then reinforce with fibers and fillers, and that's what makes them composites. To create the bio-compostables, we marry them with bio-fibers, such as hemp or bamboo. For synthetic materials, we marry them with things like glass or carbon fibers.
Q: Does producing goods via 3D printing allow you to customize products easily?
A: Absolutely. The real problem in the furniture and furnishings industries is that when you tool up to make something with a jig, a fixture, or a mold, you tend to be less creative because you now feel you have to make and sell a lot of that item to justify the investment.
One of the great promises of 3D printing is that it doesn't have a mold and doesn't require tooling. It exists in the digital realm before it becomes physical, and so customization is part and parcel of the process.
I would also add that people aren't necessarily looking for one-off furniture. Just because we can customize doesn't mean we're telling customers that once we've delivered a product, we break the digital mold, so to speak. We still feel that people like styles and trends created by designers, but the customization really allows enterprise clients—like businesses, retailers, and architects—to think more freely.
Customization is most useful in allowing people to "iterate" quickly. Our designers can do something digitally first without having to build a tool, which frees them to be more creative. Plus, because our material is fully recyclable, if we print something for the first time and find it doesn't work, we can just recycle it. So there's really no penalty for a failed first printing—in fact, those failures bring their own rewards in the form of lessons we can apply in future digital and physical iterations.
Q: You currently produce your furniture in an automated microfactory in Florida, with plans to set up several more. Could you talk a little about what your microfactory looks like and how you distribute the finished goods?
A: Our microfactory is a 30,000-square-foot box that mainly contains the robots that make our furniture along with shipping docks. But we don't intend for our microfactories to be storage warehouses and trans-shipment facilities like the kind you'd typically see in the furniture industry—all of the trappings of a global supply chain. Instead, a microfactory is meant to be a site where you print the product, put it on a dock, and then ship it out. So a microfactory is essentially an enabler of regional manufacturing and distribution.
Q: Do you manufacture your products on a print-to-order basis as opposed to a print-to-stock model?
A: No. We may someday get to the point where we receive an order digitally, print it, and then send it out on a truck the next day. But right now, we aren't set up to do a mini-delivery to one customer out of a microfactory.
We are an enterprise company that partners with architects, designers, builders, and retailers, who then distribute our furnishings to their customers. We are not trying to go direct-to-consumer at this stage. It's not the way a microfactory is set up to distribute goods.
Q: You've mentioned your company's use of recycled materials. Could you talk a little bit about other ways you're looking to reduce waste and help support a circular economy?
A: Yes. Sustainability and a circular economy are really something that you have to plan for. In our case, our plans call for moving toward a distributed digital manufacturing model, where we establish microfactories in various regions around the world to serve customers within a 10-hour driving radius of the factory. That is a pretty large area, so we could cover the United States with just four or five microfactories.
That also means that we can credibly build our recycling network as part of our microfactory setup. As I mentioned, we use recycled polymer stock in our production, so we're keeping that material out of a landfill. And then we tell our enterprise customers that while the furniture they're buying is extremely durable, when they're ready to run a special and offer customers a credit for turning in their used furniture, we'll buy back the material. Buying back that material actually reduces our costs because it's already been composited and created and recaptured. So our microfactory network is well designed for circularity in concert with our enterprise customers.
Generative AI (GenAI) is being deployed by 72% of supply chain organizations, but most are experiencing just middling results for productivity and ROI, according to a survey by Gartner, Inc.
That’s because productivity gains from the use of GenAI for individual, desk-based workers are not translating to greater team-level productivity. Additionally, the deployment of GenAI tools is increasing anxiety among many employees, providing a dampening effect on their productivity, Gartner found.
To solve those problems, chief supply chain officers (CSCOs) deploying GenAI need to shift from a sole focus on efficiency to a strategy that incorporates full organizational productivity. This strategy must better incorporate frontline workers, assuage growing employee anxieties from the use of GenAI tools, and focus on use-cases that promote creativity and innovation, rather than only on saving time.
"Early GenAI deployments within supply chain reveal a productivity paradox," Sam Berndt, Senior Director in Gartner’s Supply Chain practice, said in the report. "While its use has enhanced individual productivity for desk-based roles, these gains are not cascading through the rest of the function and are actually making the overall working environment worse for many employees. CSCOs need to retool their deployment strategies to address these negative outcomes.”
As part of the research, Gartner surveyed 265 global respondents in August 2024 to assess the impact of GenAI in supply chain organizations. In addition to the survey, Gartner conducted 75 qualitative interviews with supply chain leaders to gain deeper insights into the deployment and impact of GenAI on productivity, ROI, and employee experience, focusing on both desk-based and frontline workers.
Gartner’s data showed an increase in productivity from GenAI for desk-based workers, with GenAI tools saving 4.11 hours of time weekly for these employees. The time saved also correlated to increased output and higher quality work. However, these gains decreased when assessing team-level productivity. The amount of time saved declined to 1.5 hours per team member weekly, and there was no correlation to either improved output or higher quality of work.
Additional negative organizational impacts of GenAI deployments include:
Frontline workers have failed to make similar productivity gains as their desk-based counterparts, despite recording a similar amount of time savings from the use of GenAI tools.
Employees report higher levels of anxiety as they are exposed to a growing number of GenAI tools at work, with the average supply chain employee now utilizing 3.6 GenAI tools on average.
Higher anxiety among employees correlates to lower levels of overall productivity.
“In their pursuit of efficiency and time savings, CSCOs may be inadvertently creating a productivity ‘doom loop,’ whereby they continuously pilot new GenAI tools, increasing employee anxiety, which leads to lower levels of productivity,” said Berndt. “Rather than introducing even more GenAI tools into the work environment, CSCOs need to reexamine their overall strategy.”
According to Gartner, three ways to better boost organizational productivity through GenAI are: find creativity-based GenAI use cases to unlock benefits beyond mere time savings; train employees how to make use of the time they are saving from the use GenAI tools; and shift the focus from measuring automation to measuring innovation.
According to Arvato, it made the move in order to better serve the U.S. e-commerce sector, which has experienced high growth rates in recent years and is expected to grow year-on-year by 5% within the next five years.
The two acquisitions follow Arvato’s purchase three months ago of ATC Computer Transport & Logistics, an Irish firm that specializes in high-security transport and technical services in the data center industry. Following the latest deals, Arvato will have a total U.S. network of 16 warehouses with about seven million square feet of space.
Terms of the deal were not disclosed.
Carbel is a Florida-based 3PL with a strong focus on fashion and retail. It offers custom warehousing, distribution, storage, and transportation services, operating out of six facilities in the U.S., with a footprint of 1.6 million square feet of warehouse space in Florida (2), Pennsylvania (2), California, and New York.
Florida-based United Customs Services offers import and export solutions, specializing in remote location filing across the U.S., customs clearance, and trade compliance. CTPAT-certified since 2007, United Customs Services says it is known for simplifying global trade processes that help streamline operations for clients in international markets.
“With deep expertise in retail and apparel logistics services, Carbel and United Customs Services are the perfect partners to strengthen our ability to provide even more tailored solutions to our clients. Our combined knowledge and our joint commitment to excellence will drive our growth within the US and open new opportunities,” Arvato CEO Frank Schirrmeister said in a release.
And many of them will have a budget to do it, since 51% of supply chain professionals with existing innovation budgets saw an increase earmarked for 2025, suggesting an even greater emphasis on investing in new technologies to meet rising demand, Kenco said in its “2025 Supply Chain Innovation” survey.
One of the biggest targets for innovation spending will artificial intelligence, as supply chain leaders look to use AI to automate time-consuming tasks. The survey showed that 41% are making AI a key part of their innovation strategy, with a third already leveraging it for data visibility, 29% for quality control, and 26% for labor optimization.
Still, lingering concerns around how to effectively and securely implement AI are leading some companies to sidestep the technology altogether. More than a third – 35% – said they’re largely prevented from using AI because of company policy, leaving an opportunity to streamline operations on the table.
“Avoiding AI entirely is no longer an option. Implementing it strategically can give supply chain-focused companies a serious competitive advantage,” Kristi Montgomery, Vice President, Innovation, Research & Development at Kenco, said in a release. “Now’s the time for organizations to explore and experiment with the tech, especially for automating data-heavy operations such as demand planning, shipping, and receiving to optimize your operations and unlock true efficiency.”
Among the survey’s other top findings:
there was essentially three-way tie for which physical automation tools professionals are looking to adopt in the coming year: robotics (43%), sensors and automatic identification (40%), and 3D printing (40%).
professionals tend to select a proven developer for providing supply chain innovation, but many also pick start-ups. Forty-five percent said they work with a mix of new and established developers, compared to 39% who work with established technologies only.
there’s room to grow in partnering with 3PLs for innovation: only 13% said their 3PL identified a need for innovation, and just 8% partnered with a 3PL to bring a technology to life.