The story's quickly becoming familiar: DC managers identify a problem or bottleneck. They figure out what they need to solve it. Then comes word that the project's been put on hold until the economy turns around.
Peter Bradley is an award-winning career journalist with more than three decades of experience in both newspapers and national business magazines. His credentials include seven years as the transportation and supply chain editor at Purchasing Magazine and six years as the chief editor of Logistics Management.
As solutions go, it looked like a winner—an elegant design that would resolve a nagging productivity problem at a $15 billion retailer's DC. Though reasonably productive, the center's existing picking process left it with mounting numbers of leftover cases containing individual SKUs that were piling up and getting in workers' way. Problem was, the engineers' solution called for a $4 million capital investment—money that just wasn't available. Sent back to the drawing board, the engineers, working with consultants from The Progress Group, came up with a solution that used existing conveyors to return partial cases to the main induction station where they'd be available the next time a pick wave called for that SKU. The solution wasn't perfect, but the price was a lot closer to right—about $100,000.
That story is being echoed in DCs around the country. Caution is the byword where almost any major capital spending proposal is concerned. Short-term, lowcost projects with quick payback are getting the green light, while projects that promise a bigger payback but a slower return on the investment are put on hold. The trend has left companies looking for ways other than capital spending to cut costs, improve productivity and enhance service.
Sometimes that calls for creativity. "Clients are looking for innovative ways to make do with what they have …," says Art Van Bodegraven, partner emeritus of The Progress Group. "[They're] coming up with clever layouts or slotting methods, or seeing if they can tweak the material handling systems instead of replacing them. They're not really shelling out big bucks."
Dave Stallard, a founding partner of The Progress Group, concurs. "[Clients] are more comfortable making investments in innovative solutions where they get more back for their buck," he says. One of his customers, an apparel company, recently added some controls to its receiving conveyors , for example. The controls link advance shipment notice information to the cartons coming in the door; an ink jet printer marks each carton with a simple symbol that tells workers in the facility how to palle tize the goods. That gives the distribution center the option of using part-time help with less training. At the same time, it provides management with a better accounting of the goods in each inbound container.
Proceeding with caution That's not to say it's all quiet on every f ront. Some companies are gritting their teeth and spending. Unilever, Procter & Gamble and J.C. Penney, among others, have made major investments in their distribution networks over the last few years.
Hal Vandiver, executive vice president of the Material Handling Industry of America (MHIA), adds that while orders for material handling equipment generally sagged in 2001 and 2002,the pain was not felt equally. "Depending on their business approach, some [vendors] never saw any downturn at all," he says.
But they were certainly the exception. An economic brief published by the MHIA in May showed that new orders for the types of material handling equipment covered by its surveys declined by 11 percent last year from 2001 levels, closing the year at $16.3 billion. Shipments fell by a similar percentage, closing at $16.6 billion.Total U.S.consumption, which includes imports and excludes exports, fell by 8.8 percent to $17.6 billion.
Still, there are glimmers of hope: Orders in the fourth quarter were up 3.2 percent over 2001 levels. And new orders in 2003's first quarter ran 4.2 percent ahead of the first three months of 2002. The material handling industry, according to an analysis by The Business Alliance/MAPI, has entered an accelerated growth phase in the economic cycle—a phase MHIA forecasts will last through the first quarter of next year.
Vendors can't expect to sit back and let the rising tide lift their ships, however, says Vandiver. "They're going to work harder than they have worked in 15 years to realize significant gains," he predicts. "In the last decade, you could row your boat to the middle of the pond and the fish jumped in. Today, even with an improved economic environment, we're not going to approach that."
Though Vandiver doesn't expect to see major plant and equipment expansions right away, he's identified two potential growth areas for his organization's members. One lies in distribution logistics. "There is probably a lot of room for improvement in the way manufacturing connects to the marketplace through DCs," he reflects. "My hunch is that we're going to see more opportunity on our customers' behalf in those arenas."
He also notes that companies are closing what MHIA calls the "innovation gap" by replacing aging equipment and yesterday's technology with updated versions that promise big gains in productivity.
Ed Reel, senior vice president at Peach State Integrated Technologies, agrees. He reports that clients are looking hard at their legacy warehouse management systems. "A lot of them are disparate systems that have been modified and are hard coded. They are not performing optimally," he contends. "You can dump money into your legacy system or look at the best of breed [alternatives]." Updating a warehouse management system (WMS) or transportation management system (TMS) can provide a quick return on investment, he says.
Apparently, that message is getting out. "A lot of people are starting to look at investing in WMS again," Van Bodegraven reports. "There is only so much you can wring out of systems that have been around for years." Then too, he adds, marketplace competition has made WMS packages aimed at mid-sized companies more affordable.
Yet even in cases where they've gotten the green light to spend, few companies are making investment decisions quickly. Stallard reports that he recently completed a modernization design for an athletic shoe manufacturer's DC. " It's been typical in the past to get the go-ahead in weeks. Now, it's taking months," he says. "Even though they've decided to do the engineering work during the lull, they're having trouble mustering the confidence to pull the trigger."
John Lowry, president of Global Project Associates (formerly Lowry Technical Associates), adds that his company has responded by loading up its bids with all kinds of options. "Companies want enough to get by for now," he says. "The next option is to quote for the future. When the economy turns, capacity will be added. But when the choice is buying for now or spending for the future, most people are buying for now."
As U.S. small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) face an uncertain business landscape in 2025, a substantial majority (67%) expect positive growth in the new year compared to 2024, according to a survey from DHL.
However, the survey also showed that businesses could face a rocky road to reach that goal, as they navigate a complex environment of regulatory/policy shifts and global market volatility. Both those issues were cited as top challenges by 36% of respondents, followed by staffing/talent retention (11%) and digital threats and cyber attacks (2%).
Against that backdrop, SMEs said that the biggest opportunity for growth in 2025 lies in expanding into new markets (40%), followed by economic improvements (31%) and implementing new technologies (14%).
As the U.S. prepares for a broad shift in political leadership in Washington after a contentious election, the SMEs in DHL’s survey were likely split evenly on their opinion about the impact of regulatory and policy changes. A plurality of 40% were on the fence (uncertain, still evaluating), followed by 24% who believe regulatory changes could negatively impact growth, 20% who see these changes as having a positive impact, and 16% predicting no impact on growth at all.
That uncertainty also triggered a split when respondents were asked how they planned to adjust their strategy in 2025 in response to changes in the policy or regulatory landscape. The largest portion (38%) of SMEs said they remained uncertain or still evaluating, followed by 30% who will make minor adjustments, 19% will maintain their current approach, and 13% who were willing to significantly adjust their approach.
The overall national industrial real estate vacancy rate edged higher in the fourth quarter, although it still remains well below pre-pandemic levels, according to an analysis by Cushman & Wakefield.
Vacancy rates shrunk during the pandemic to historically low levels as e-commerce sales—and demand for warehouse space—boomed in response to massive numbers of people working and living from home. That frantic pace is now cooling off but real estate demand remains elevated from a long-term perspective.
“We've witnessed an uptick among firms looking to lease larger buildings to support their omnichannel fulfillment strategies and maintain inventory for their e-commerce, wholesale, and retail stock. This trend is not just about space, but about efficiency and customer satisfaction,” Jason Tolliver, President, Logistics & Industrial Services, said in a release. “Meanwhile, we're also seeing a flurry of activity to support forward-deployed stock models, a strategy that keeps products closer to the market they serve and where customers order them, promising quicker deliveries and happier customers.“
The latest figures show that industrial vacancy is likely nearing its peak for this cooling cycle in the coming quarters, Cushman & Wakefield analysts said.
Compared to the third quarter, the vacancy rate climbed 20 basis points to 6.7%, but that level was still 30 basis points below the 10-year, pre-pandemic average. Likewise, overall net absorption in the fourth quarter—a term for the amount of newly developed property leased by clients—measured 36.8 million square feet, up from the 33.3 million square feet recorded in the third quarter, but down 20% on a year-over-year basis.
In step with those statistics, real estate developers slowed their plans to erect more buildings. New construction deliveries continued to decelerate for the second straight quarter. Just 85.3 million square feet of new industrial product was completed in the fourth quarter, down 8% quarter-over-quarter and 48% versus one year ago.
Likewise, only four geographic markets saw more than 20 million square feet of completions year-to-date, compared to 10 markets in 2023. Meanwhile, as construction starts remained tempered overall, the under-development pipeline has continued to thin out, dropping by 36% annually to its lowest level (290.5 million square feet) since the third quarter of 2018.
Despite the dip in demand last quarter, the market for industrial space remains relatively healthy, Cushman & Wakefield said.
“After a year of hesitancy, logistics is entering a new, sustained growth phase,” Tolliver said. “Corporate capital is being deployed to optimize supply chains, diversify networks, and minimize potential risks. What's particularly encouraging is the proactive approach of retailers, wholesalers, and 3PLs, who are not just reacting to the market, but shaping it. 2025 will be a year characterized by this bias for action.”
The three companies say the deal will allow clients to both define ideal set-ups for new warehouses and to continuously enhance existing facilities with Mega, an Nvidia Omniverse blueprint for large-scale industrial digital twins. The strategy includes a digital twin powered by physical AI – AI models that embody principles and qualities of the physical world – to improve the performance of intelligent warehouses that operate with automated forklifts, smart cameras and automation and robotics solutions.
The partners’ approach will take advantage of digital twins to plan warehouses and train robots, they said. “Future warehouses will function like massive autonomous robots, orchestrating fleets of robots within them,” Jensen Huang, founder and CEO of Nvidia, said in a release. “By integrating Omniverse and Mega into their solutions, Kion and Accenture can dramatically accelerate the development of industrial AI and autonomy for the world’s distribution and logistics ecosystem.”
Kion said it will use Nvidia’s technology to provide digital twins of warehouses that allows facility operators to design the most efficient and safe warehouse configuration without interrupting operations for testing. That includes optimizing the number of robots, workers, and automation equipment. The digital twin provides a testing ground for all aspects of warehouse operations, including facility layouts, the behavior of robot fleets, and the optimal number of workers and intelligent vehicles, the company said.
In that approach, the digital twin doesn’t stop at simulating and testing configurations, but it also trains the warehouse robots to handle changing conditions such as demand, inventory fluctuation, and layout changes. Integrated with Kion’s warehouse management software (WMS), the digital twin assigns tasks like moving goods from buffer zones to storage locations to virtual robots. And powered by advanced AI, the virtual robots plan, execute, and refine these tasks in a continuous loop, simulating and ultimately optimizing real-world operations with infinite scenarios, Kion said.
Following the deal, Palm Harbor, Florida-based FreightCenter’s customers will gain access to BlueGrace’s unified transportation management system, BlueShip TMS, enabling freight management across various shipping modes. They can also use BlueGrace’s truckload and less-than-truckload (LTL) services and its EVOS load optimization tools, stemming from another acquisition BlueGrace did in 2024.
According to Tampa, Florida-based BlueGrace, the acquisition aligns with its mission to deliver simplified logistics solutions for all size businesses.
Terms of the deal were not disclosed, but the firms said that FreightCenter will continue to operate as an independent business under its current brand, in order to ensure continuity for its customers and partners.
BlueGrace is held by the private equity firm Warburg Pincus. It operates from nine offices located in transportation hubs across the U.S. and Mexico, serving over 10,000 customers annually through its BlueShip technology platform that offers connectivity with more than 250,000 carrier suppliers.
Under terms of the deal, Sick and Endress+Hauser will each hold 50% of a joint venture called "Endress+Hauser SICK GmbH+Co. KG," which will strengthen the development and production of analyzer and gas flow meter technologies. According to Sick, its gas flow meters make it possible to switch to low-emission and non-fossil energy sources, for example, and the process analyzers allow reliable monitoring of emissions.
As part of the partnership, the product solutions manufactured together will now be marketed by Endress+Hauser, allowing customers to use a broader product portfolio distributed from a single source via that company’s global sales centers.
Under terms of the contract between the two companies—which was signed in the summer of 2024— around 800 Sick employees located in 42 countries will transfer to Endress+Hauser, including workers in the global sales and service units of Sick’s “Cleaner Industries” division.
“This partnership is a perfect match,” Peter Selders, CEO of the Endress+Hauser Group, said in a release. “It creates new opportunities for growth and development, particularly in the sustainable transformation of the process industry. By joining forces, we offer added value to our customers. Our combined efforts will make us faster and ultimately more successful than if we acted alone. In this case, one and one equals more than two.”
According to Sick, the move means that its current customers will continue to find familiar Sick contacts available at Endress+Hauser for consulting, sales, and service of process automation solutions. The company says this approach allows it to focus on its core business of factory and logistics automation to meet global demand for automation and digitalization.
Sick says its core business has always been in factory and logistics automation, which accounts for more than 80% of sales, and this area remains unaffected by the new joint venture. In Sick’s view, automation is crucial for industrial companies to secure their productivity despite limited resources. And Sick’s sensor solutions are a critical part of industrial automation, which increases productivity through artificial intelligence and the digital networking of production and supply chains.