Many times companies track their performance using traditional financial and operations reports gathered from their ERP and WMS systems. That's a mistake.
Editor's Note: No two successful performance management programs are the same, but all successful performance management programs share common principles. To shed some light on what separates a good company from a great company with regard to performance management, DC VELOCITY will publish a column on one of the 12 Commandments of Successful Performance Management each month. This month we will drill into the sixth commandment: Anticipate.
The Sixth Commandment Anticipate: Look to the future, not the past
For the medium-sized third-party logistics provider (3PL), the future couldn't be brighter. Not only was it ramping up to serve several major contracts, but the division was performing superbly and it had the metrics to prove it. Take the monthly financial reports—sales revenue was up 40 percent over the previous year, and the distribution cost per case shipped had dropped. Operations reports showed equally solid results: 97 percent of orders were being delivered on time and lines shipped per employee were running well above projections. The four-month safety stock the company had maintained as part of the ramp-up agreement had been trimmed to one month's worth. And by bringing new suppliers on board, the company had cut raw materials prices by an average of 12 percent. Life was as good as it gets.
The 12 Commandments of
Performance Management
1Focus: Know your goals 2Balance: Use a balanced approach 3Involve: Get employees engaged 4Apply: Be metrics "users," not just "collectors" or "posters" 5Beware: Know the point of your metrics 6Anticipate: Use metrics as your headlights
At another medium-sized 3PL, the outlook couldn't have been more different. This one too had several major contracts ramping up, but here, trouble loomed. To begin with, the ramp-up had stretched personnel far too thin. As a result, employee turnover was up 10 percent, and the DC had just lost two key department heads. And the problems weren't confined to labor; the purchasing department had worries of its own. Like the first company, it had a month's worth of inventory, but here managers were running scared. They were working with a stable of new suppliers of unproven reliability, and they feared widespread out-of-stocks if suppliers didn't begin shipping replenishment orders soon.
The strange part is, these companies are one and the same.
How could a single company's future look so bright and so gloomy at the same time? It's a matter of which metrics you look at. Many times companies track their performance using traditional financial and operations reports gathered from their ERP and WMS systems. That's a mistake. These systems may be great sources of data, but they tend to provide "lagging indicators," detailed records of what happened in the past that tell you nothing about the future.
That's a bit like cruising down the highway at 90 mph without headlights. Drive that way and sooner or later, you'll end up in a ditch. It's no different with business. Without headlights—something to illuminate your path and warn you of upcoming danger—you're courting disaster. A recent study that compared stock prices before and after the reporting of a major supply chain glitch showed that once the blunder was made public, stock values tumbled more than 30 percent on average.
Instead of relying on those lagging indicators, make sure your metrics also include "leading indicators," measures that are predictive of future results and can be adjusted before it's too late. Leading indicators might include any of the following: supply base performance, process quality, motivated workforce, service-level quality, customer satisfaction, overtime costs, average order size and average open order size, discounted units, inventory average cost, average inventory age, lost sales and manufacturing DPPM (defective parts per million).
You'll be glad you did. With a set of good leading performance indicators to serve as "headlights," you're less likely to miss areas of opportunity and more likely to have time to swerve in the face of oncoming danger.
RJW Logistics Group, a logistics solutions provider (LSP) for consumer packaged goods (CPG) brands, has received a “strategic investment” from Boston-based private equity firm Berkshire partners, and now plans to drive future innovations and expand its geographic reach, the Woodridge, Illinois-based company said Tuesday.
Terms of the deal were not disclosed, but the company said that CEO Kevin Williamson and other members of RJW management will continue to be “significant investors” in the company, while private equity firm Mason Wells, which invested in RJW in 2019, will maintain a minority investment position.
RJW is an asset-based transportation, logistics, and warehousing provider, operating more than 7.3 million square feet of consolidation warehouse space in the transportation hubs of Chicago and Dallas and employing 1,900 people. RJW says it partners with over 850 CPG brands and delivers to more than 180 retailers nationwide. According to the company, its retail logistics solutions save cost, improve visibility, and achieve industry-leading On-Time, In-Full (OTIF) performance. Those improvements drive increased in-stock rates and sales, benefiting both CPG brands and their retailer partners, the firm says.
"After several years of mitigating inflation, disruption, supply shocks, conflicts, and uncertainty, we are currently in a relative period of calm," John Paitek, vice president, GEP, said in a release. "But it is very much the calm before the coming storm. This report provides procurement and supply chain leaders with a prescriptive guide to weathering the gale force headwinds of protectionism, tariffs, trade wars, regulatory pressures, uncertainty, and the AI revolution that we will face in 2025."
A report from the company released today offers predictions and strategies for the upcoming year, organized into six major predictions in GEP’s “Outlook 2025: Procurement & Supply Chain” report.
Advanced AI agents will play a key role in demand forecasting, risk monitoring, and supply chain optimization, shifting procurement's mandate from tactical to strategic. Companies should invest in the technology now to to streamline processes and enhance decision-making.
Expanded value metrics will drive decisions, as success will be measured by resilience, sustainability, and compliance… not just cost efficiency. Companies should communicate value beyond cost savings to stakeholders, and develop new KPIs.
Increasing regulatory demands will necessitate heightened supply chain transparency and accountability. So companies should strengthen supplier audits, adopt ESG tracking tools, and integrate compliance into strategic procurement decisions.
Widening tariffs and trade restrictions will force companies to reassess total cost of ownership (TCO) metrics to include geopolitical and environmental risks, as nearshoring and friendshoring attempt to balance resilience with cost.
Rising energy costs and regulatory demands will accelerate the shift to sustainable operations, pushing companies to invest in renewable energy and redesign supply chains to align with ESG commitments.
New tariffs could drive prices higher, just as inflation has come under control and interest rates are returning to near-zero levels. That means companies must continue to secure cost savings as their primary responsibility.
Freight transportation sector analysts with US Bank say they expect change on the horizon in that market for 2025, due to possible tariffs imposed by a new White House administration, the return of East and Gulf coast port strikes, and expanding freight fraud.
“All three of these merit scrutiny, and that is our promise as we roll into the new year,” the company said in a statement today.
First, US Bank said a new administration will occupy the White House and will control the House and Senate for the first time since 2016. With an announced mandate on tariffs, taxes and trade from his electoral victory, President-Elect Trump’s anticipated actions are almost certain to impact the supply chain, the bank said.
Second, a strike by longshoreman at East Coast and Gulf ports was suspended in October, but the can was only kicked until mid-January. Shipper alarm bells are already ringing, and with peak season in full swing, the West coast ports are roaring, having absorbed containers bound for the East. However, that status may not be sustainable in the event of a prolonged strike in January, US Bank said.
And third, analyst are tracking the proliferation of freight fraud, and its reverberations across the supply chain. No longer the realm of petty criminals, freight fraudsters have become increasingly sophisticated, and the financial toll of their activities in the loss of goods, and data, is expected to be in the billions, the bank estimates.
Specifically, 48% of respondents identified rising tariffs and trade barriers as their top concern, followed by supply chain disruptions at 45% and geopolitical instability at 41%. Moreover, tariffs and trade barriers ranked as the priority issue regardless of company size, as respondents at companies with less than 250 employees, 251-500, 501-1,000, 1,001-50,000 and 50,000+ employees all cited it as the most significant issue they are currently facing.
“Evolving tariffs and trade policies are one of a number of complex issues requiring organizations to build more resilience into their supply chains through compliance, technology and strategic planning,” Jackson Wood, Director, Industry Strategy at Descartes, said in a release. “With the potential for the incoming U.S. administration to impose new and additional tariffs on a wide variety of goods and countries of origin, U.S. importers may need to significantly re-engineer their sourcing strategies to mitigate potentially higher costs.”
A measure of business conditions for shippers improved in September due to lower fuel costs, looser trucking capacity, and lower freight rates, but the freight transportation forecasting firm FTR still expects readings to be weaker and closer to neutral through its two-year forecast period.
Bloomington, Indiana-based FTR is maintaining its stance that trucking conditions will improve, even though its Shippers Conditions Index (SCI) improved in September to 4.6 from a 2.9 reading in August, reaching its strongest level of the year.
“The fact that September’s index is the strongest since last December is not a sign that shippers’ market conditions are steadily improving,” Avery Vise, FTR’s vice president of trucking, said in a release.
“September and May were modest outliers this year in a market that is at least becoming more balanced. We expect that trend to continue and for SCI readings to be mostly negative to neutral in 2025 and 2026. However, markets in transition tend to be volatile, so further outliers are likely and possibly in both directions. The supply chain implications of tariffs are a wild card for 2025 especially,” he said.
The SCI tracks the changes representing four major conditions in the U.S. full-load freight market: freight demand, freight rates, fleet capacity, and fuel price. Combined into a single index, a positive score represents good, optimistic conditions, while a negative score represents bad, pessimistic conditions.