Blindsided by Wal-Mart's aggressive push into their market, grocers find themselves fighting for survival. Maybe they can't compete on price but they can cut the fat from their supply chains.
John Johnson joined the DC Velocity team in March 2004. A veteran business journalist, John has over a dozen years of experience covering the supply chain field, including time as chief editor of Warehousing Management. In addition, he has covered the venture capital community and previously was a sports reporter covering professional and collegiate sports in the Boston area. John served as senior editor and chief editor of DC Velocity until April 2008.
You can't turn around in a supermarket these days without bumping up against evidence of America's latest obsession: dieting. Books about the Zone Diet and the South Beach Diet dominate store-front kiosks. The latest diet products, the low-fat, the no-fat and the lowcarb, line the shelves.
Behind the scenes, logisticians within the grocery industry are waging their own war on fat, one that has nothing to do with losing 10 pounds. No, the battle they fight is the one to trim fat from the supply chain and increase productivity at grocery stores, where minuscule margins translate to major challenges.
And the margins are minuscule. The average American household spends about $100 on groceries each week.What most consumers don't realize is that traditional grocery stores typically make only a buck or so from an order of that size—a slim 1 percent profit margin.
That's nothing new, of course. Grocers have survived for years on these margins.What is new is the emergence of the Behemoth of Bentonville on the scene. Dismissed as only a marginal player in the grocery business as recently as the late '90s, Wal-Mart launched its attack on the grocery business a few years back, marshalling its legendary supply chain efficiencies in a bid to dominate the industry. The strike proved both swift and successful. Today, Wal-Mart has taken over the top spot as the nation's leading grocer.
Traditional grocers' attempts to fight back have met with limited success. Their first response was to bulk up: Three of the biggest players—Safeway, Albertson's and Kroger—have all gone the acquisition route, gobbling up other chains in the last few years in order to gain Wal-Mart-like economies of scale. But in the end, it appears that their attempts to stave off Wal-Mart's threat only bought them time. Nor does it appear that price cutting will be the answer. Given Wal-Mart's reputation for squeezing suppliers for the lowest possible prices, it seems clear that efforts to compete head to head with Wal-Mart on pricing would be tantamount to a suicide mission.
But what grocers can do—and are doing—is to get out their cleavers and start trimming the supply chain fat. Leading grocers like Stop & Shop, Meijer and Kroger all announced major undertakings in the last six weeks to boost productivity. "Grocery chains can't compete strictly on price anymore, so that's serving as a driving force for some of these initiatives," confirms Adrian Gonzalez, part of the supply chain consulting team at ARC Advisory Group and an expert in grocery distribution. "With the emergence of Wal-Mart in that sector over the past few years, many grocery retailers have been forced to take a closer look at their processes."
Grocers fight back
In fact, many of those grocers are taking their cues from the enemy. Like Wal-Mart, they're putting pressure on their supplier partners, as well as their own distribution centers, to put an end to stockouts. That means having product on the shelf at all times. (Wal-Mart's RFID mandate—which requires its top 100 suppliers to place RFID tags on selected goods sent to its distribution centers by yearend —is designed in part to reduce stockouts.) In the retail world, stockouts equate to lost sales, which equate to reduced revenue.
It doesn't stop there. Grocers are becoming particular about how and when they receive products. Like retailers in other industries, grocery chains prefer to receive smaller shipments on a more frequent basis. That strategy saves the retailer on warehouse space.
"It's a thin-margin business and people are very energetic about cutting costs and reducing inventory," says Geoff Davis, executive vice president at Keene, N.H.-based ES3, a third-party provider for the grocery industry. "It's a new game, that's for sure."
At least one grocer has chosen to fight back with technology. Stop & Shop is building the largest automated storage and retrieval system in North America—and quite possibly the world—at its 1.3 million-square-foot distribution center in Freetown, Mass. The largest grocery chain in New England and a unit of global grocery giant Ahold, Stop & Shop is employing 77 rotating-fork automated storage and retrieval machines at the DC, which will supply 350 stores and allow Stop & Shop to consolidate several distribution centers on the Atlantic Seaboard. The DC is expected to be fully operational by October.
Stop & Shop realizes that customers will, in fact, stop shopping at its stores if they cannot find the products they want on its shelves. That's a big part of the reason why the company decided on the AS/RS system from HK Systems. The solution allows for high-storage capability for dry goods. The DC, which HK Systems claims is the nation's largest and most advanced in the grocery trade, will store more than 64,000 pallets. The 77 cranes will each have access to more than 11,500 pick slots serviced by 90 pick aisles.
"Stop & Shop was looking to significantly improve throughput productivity for all of [its] operations," says John W. Splude, chairman and chief executive officer of HK Systems. "This is a unique approach that gives [it] a high level of picking with significant storage capabilities."
The new DC allows Stop & Shop to eliminate much of its outside storage and consolidate materials in one location. "By bringing everything together, you control inventory much better and avoid stock outages, which [translate] into lost sales," says Splude. "So you get those kinds of soft gains, and from an efficiencies point of view, this was significant for them."
New moves
Stop & Shop isn't the only large retail chain making waves. Kroger, one of the nation's biggest retail grocery chains with more than 2,500 supermarkets and multi-department stores in 32 states, just implemented a system to achieve tighter supply chain collaboration for electronic commerce transactions with its trading partners—resulting in increased accuracy, timeliness and operating efficiencies.
Food fight: Third-party suppliers like ES3 are helping clients find new ways to compete in the grocery wars …
Not to be outdone, grocery chain Meijer turned to a Web-based private transportation network to electronically execute inbound truckload and LTL shipments. The system extends planned load data from the company's transportation management system, increasing event visibility and load execution control beyond the boundaries of Meijer's DC network.
Grocery retailers are also looking at ways to revamp their DC receiving processes. Retailers like Giant Foods are starting to inquire about having product delivered in customized sequences, such as in the order that they appear in a certain aisle of the grocery store. The theory goes that after a truck is unloaded, workers can simply wheel pallets of health and beauty aid items, for example, to their designated aisle and complete the re-stock process much more quickly. This strategy avoids "around the world pallets," grocery industry lingo for pallets that get wheeled up and down every aisle in the store several times during the restock process.
"Grocers can save a ton on inventory carry costs," says ES3's Davis. "They gain a lot more velocity and have a much more efficient warehouse so that "A" movers—things like bottled water and soda—move much more efficiently."
ES3 plans to unveil a pilot program this fall that will allow grocery stores to receive pallets that are packed in a mirror image of the way items appear in the store aisles. Once the pilot is competed, ES3 hopes to roll out the system in early 2006. Davis says that ES3 is attempting to redesign the consumer packaged-goods supply chain by fundamentally changing the way that products move from manufacturer to market.
ES3 seeks to provide the industry with the scale, technology and expertise necessary to realize savings from a collaborative, just-in-time distribution solution. The firm claims that its state-of-the-art automated facility in York, Pa., will deliver multi-manufacturer consolidated orders to customers throughout the Northeast and Mid-Atlantic regions within 24 hours, instead of the normal three to five days required through traditional shipping processes.
How's it done? ES3 uses electronic information exchange (EDI, XML or direct machine-to-machine communications) and automation.Manufacturers and their customers have real-time visibility of inventory and are able to monitor shipments from end to end through ES3's Web-based reporting and supply chain systems.
New theater of operations
Yet even as the grocers secure their flanks, Wal-Mart is readying for its next assault. Though it continues to open more of its highly efficient super-centers in suburban locales, the mega-chain is also expanding its push into urban centers with its smaller Neighborhood Markets. Wal- Mart hopes to open 30 to 40 of the 40,000-square-foot stores each year. Margins are believed to be just under 2.5 percent—lower than at its super-centers, but still well above typical grocery store margins.
"Wal-Mart basically went from nothing to being the market leader in the grocery industry, and of course Wal-Mart has a strong focus on processes," says Gonzalez. "That puts pressure on grocery chains.When you can't move on price, the only way to keep whatever margins you have to begin with is to do more with less. That's where automation and technology comes into play."
As holiday shoppers blitz through the final weeks of the winter peak shopping season, a survey from the postal and shipping solutions provider Stamps.com shows that 40% of U.S. consumers are unaware of holiday shipping deadlines, leaving them at risk of running into last-minute scrambles, higher shipping costs, and packages arriving late.
The survey also found a generational difference in holiday shipping deadline awareness, with 53% of Baby Boomers unaware of these cut-off dates, compared to just 32% of Millennials. Millennials are also more likely to prioritize guaranteed delivery, with 68% citing it as a key factor when choosing a shipping option this holiday season.
Of those surveyed, 66% have experienced holiday shipping delays, with Gen Z reporting the highest rate of delays at 73%, compared to 49% of Baby Boomers. That statistical spread highlights a conclusion that younger generations are less tolerant of delays and prioritize fast and efficient shipping, researchers said. The data came from a study of 1,000 U.S. consumers conducted in October 2024 to understand their shopping habits and preferences.
As they cope with that tight shipping window, a huge 83% of surveyed consumers are willing to pay extra for faster shipping to avoid the prospect of a late-arriving gift. This trend is especially strong among Gen Z, with 56% willing to pay up, compared to just 27% of Baby Boomers.
“As the holiday season approaches, it’s crucial for consumers to be prepared and aware of shipping deadlines to ensure their gifts arrive on time,” Nick Spitzman, General Manager of Stamps.com, said in a release. ”Our survey highlights the significant portion of consumers who are unaware of these deadlines, particularly older generations. It’s essential for retailers and shipping carriers to provide clear and timely information about shipping deadlines to help consumers avoid last-minute stress and disappointment.”
For best results, Stamps.com advises consumers to begin holiday shopping early and familiarize themselves with shipping deadlines across carriers. That is especially true with Thanksgiving falling later this year, meaning the holiday season is shorter and planning ahead is even more essential.
According to Stamps.com, key shipping deadlines include:
December 13, 2024: Last day for FedEx Ground Economy
December 18, 2024: Last day for USPS Ground Advantage and First-Class Mail
December 19, 2024: Last day for UPS 3 Day Select and USPS Priority Mail
December 20, 2024: Last day for UPS 2nd Day Air
December 21, 2024: Last day for USPS Priority Mail Express
Measured over the entire year of 2024, retailers estimate that 16.9% of their annual sales will be returned. But that total figure includes a spike of returns during the holidays; a separate NRF study found that for the 2024 winter holidays, retailers expect their return rate to be 17% higher, on average, than their annual return rate.
Despite the cost of handling that massive reverse logistics task, retailers grin and bear it because product returns are so tightly integrated with brand loyalty, offering companies an additional touchpoint to provide a positive interaction with their customers, NRF Vice President of Industry and Consumer Insights Katherine Cullen said in a release. According to NRF’s research, 76% of consumers consider free returns a key factor in deciding where to shop, and 67% say a negative return experience would discourage them from shopping with a retailer again. And 84% of consumers report being more likely to shop with a retailer that offers no box/no label returns and immediate refunds.
So in response to consumer demand, retailers continue to enhance the return experience for customers. More than two-thirds of retailers surveyed (68%) say they are prioritizing upgrading their returns capabilities within the next six months. In addition, improving the returns experience and reducing the return rate are viewed as two of the most important elements for businesses in achieving their 2025 goals.
However, retailers also must balance meeting consumer demand for seamless returns against rising costs. Fraudulent and abusive returns practices create both logistical and financial challenges for retailers. A majority (93%) of retailers said retail fraud and other exploitive behavior is a significant issue for their business. In terms of abuse, bracketing – purchasing multiple items with the intent to return some – has seen growth among younger consumers, with 51% of Gen Z consumers indicating they engage in this practice.
“Return policies are no longer just a post-purchase consideration – they’re shaping how younger generations shop from the start,” David Sobie, co-founder and CEO of Happy Returns, said in a release. “With behaviors like bracketing and rising return rates putting strain on traditional systems, retailers need to rethink reverse logistics. Solutions like no box/no label returns with item verification enable immediate refunds, meeting customer expectations for convenience while increasing accuracy, reducing fraud and helping to protect profitability in a competitive market.”
The research came from two complementary surveys conducted this fall, allowing NRF and Happy Returns to compare perspectives from both sides. They included one that gathered responses from 2,007 consumers who had returned at least one online purchase within the past year, and another from 249 e-commerce and finance professionals from large U.S. retailers.
The “series A” round was led by Andreessen Horowitz (a16z), with participation from Y Combinator and strategic industry investors, including RyderVentures. It follows an earlier, previously undisclosed, pre-seed round raised 1.5 years ago, that was backed by Array Ventures and other angel investors.
“Our mission is to redefine the economics of the freight industry by harnessing the power of agentic AI,ˮ Pablo Palafox, HappyRobotʼs co-founder and CEO, said in a release. “This funding will enable us to accelerate product development, expand and support our customer base, and ultimately transform how logistics businesses operate.ˮ
According to the firm, its conversational AI platform uses agentic AI—a term for systems that can autonomously make decisions and take actions to achieve specific goals—to simplify logistics operations. HappyRobot says its tech can automate tasks like inbound and outbound calls, carrier negotiations, and data capture, thus enabling brokers to enhance efficiency and capacity, improve margins, and free up human agents to focus on higher-value activities.
“Today, the logistics industry underpinning our global economy is stretched,” Anish Acharya, general partner at a16z, said. “As a key part of the ecosystem, even small to midsize freight brokers can make and receive hundreds, if not thousands, of calls per day – and hiring for this job is increasingly difficult. By providing customers with autonomous decision making, HappyRobotʼs agentic AI platform helps these brokers operate more reliably and efficiently.ˮ
RJW Logistics Group, a logistics solutions provider (LSP) for consumer packaged goods (CPG) brands, has received a “strategic investment” from Boston-based private equity firm Berkshire partners, and now plans to drive future innovations and expand its geographic reach, the Woodridge, Illinois-based company said Tuesday.
Terms of the deal were not disclosed, but the company said that CEO Kevin Williamson and other members of RJW management will continue to be “significant investors” in the company, while private equity firm Mason Wells, which invested in RJW in 2019, will maintain a minority investment position.
RJW is an asset-based transportation, logistics, and warehousing provider, operating more than 7.3 million square feet of consolidation warehouse space in the transportation hubs of Chicago and Dallas and employing 1,900 people. RJW says it partners with over 850 CPG brands and delivers to more than 180 retailers nationwide. According to the company, its retail logistics solutions save cost, improve visibility, and achieve industry-leading On-Time, In-Full (OTIF) performance. Those improvements drive increased in-stock rates and sales, benefiting both CPG brands and their retailer partners, the firm says.
"After several years of mitigating inflation, disruption, supply shocks, conflicts, and uncertainty, we are currently in a relative period of calm," John Paitek, vice president, GEP, said in a release. "But it is very much the calm before the coming storm. This report provides procurement and supply chain leaders with a prescriptive guide to weathering the gale force headwinds of protectionism, tariffs, trade wars, regulatory pressures, uncertainty, and the AI revolution that we will face in 2025."
A report from the company released today offers predictions and strategies for the upcoming year, organized into six major predictions in GEP’s “Outlook 2025: Procurement & Supply Chain” report.
Advanced AI agents will play a key role in demand forecasting, risk monitoring, and supply chain optimization, shifting procurement's mandate from tactical to strategic. Companies should invest in the technology now to to streamline processes and enhance decision-making.
Expanded value metrics will drive decisions, as success will be measured by resilience, sustainability, and compliance… not just cost efficiency. Companies should communicate value beyond cost savings to stakeholders, and develop new KPIs.
Increasing regulatory demands will necessitate heightened supply chain transparency and accountability. So companies should strengthen supplier audits, adopt ESG tracking tools, and integrate compliance into strategic procurement decisions.
Widening tariffs and trade restrictions will force companies to reassess total cost of ownership (TCO) metrics to include geopolitical and environmental risks, as nearshoring and friendshoring attempt to balance resilience with cost.
Rising energy costs and regulatory demands will accelerate the shift to sustainable operations, pushing companies to invest in renewable energy and redesign supply chains to align with ESG commitments.
New tariffs could drive prices higher, just as inflation has come under control and interest rates are returning to near-zero levels. That means companies must continue to secure cost savings as their primary responsibility.