Mark Solomon joined DC VELOCITY as senior editor in August 2008, and was promoted to his current position on January 1, 2015. He has spent more than 30 years in the transportation, logistics and supply chain management fields as a journalist and public relations professional. From 1989 to 1994, he worked in Washington as a reporter for the Journal of Commerce, covering the aviation and trucking industries, the Department of Transportation, Congress and the U.S. Supreme Court. Prior to that, he worked for Traffic World for seven years in a similar role. From 1994 to 2008, Mr. Solomon ran Media-Based Solutions, a public relations firm based in Atlanta. He graduated in 1978 with a B.A. in journalism from The American University in Washington, D.C.
Rays of sun are often found in even the cloudiest skies. In today's trucking industry, the cloud formations are dark and thick, as a super-tight capacity climate caused by shortages of equipment and drivers, compliance with new federal regulations, and an uptick in demand has sent rates soaring, truckers scrambling, and shippers and intermediaries groaning.
The sunray? This business has a knack for building better mousetraps.
Take P&S Transportation, a Birmingham, Ala.-based company ranked by industry journal Transport Topics as the country's fourth-largest flatbed carrier, with a fleet of more than 2,500 power units. Until seven years ago, P&S had one type of business: asset-based carriage. But co-founder and CEO Scott Smith wanted to add value to customer relationships. In addition, he wanted to mitigate the impact of the next capacity-tightening cycle, whenever it struck.
Smith hit on an unconventional strategy. P&S would offer select shippers a chance to take full or partial ownership in a separate and independent trucking company. The shipper would pony up a negotiated amount of capital. P&S, through its relationships with original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) and other sources, would allocate a specified number of trucks and drivers to the partnership. P&S would manage the operations and handle the certification, driver recruitment, insurance, fuel, and equipment maintenance. The shipper could tailor its truck and driver utilization any way it saw fit.
In periods of slack capacity, or when supply and demand are roughly in balance, the shipper could use the fleet for one-way irregular-route service, with P&S charging the prevailing per-mile rate. P&S, which also operates third-party logistics (3PL) and brokerage operations that are integrated with its asset-based service, would then find loads to fill the trailer for the next move in its network.
However, in brutally tight conditions such as the flatbed industry finds itself in today—consultancy DAT Solutions reported in mid-March that an unprecedented 88 flatbed loads were posted on its spot-market loadboard for every truck that posted—the shipper-owner could notify P&S that it wants to convert to dedicated contract carriage to assure it has adequate equipment and drivers. Because the assets are under the shipper's full or partial ownership, the conversion can occur within one or two days, according to D. Houston Vaughn, P&S's president and chief operating officer.
The key for the shipper, as in any dedicated relationship, would be to ensure sufficient volumes to create round-trip revenue. However, P&S can locate loads through its backhaul network for the return trip to the shipper's location, meaning the shipper would effectively pay just the rate for the outbound move, Vaughn said.
The model eschews the multiyear commitments that are a core part of traditional dedicated agreements, again because the shipper is also an owner or part owner, Vaughn said. Shippers can mix and match their fleet needs, using some of the assets for irregular-route operations and others for dedicated service. There are opt-out clauses for non-performance, and the shipper can sell its equity position back to P&S, he added.
"We are providing customers [with] the control and capacity assurance that comes with a private fleet operation without the cost burdens and the headaches of running one," Vaughn said in an interview earlier this month.
The model works best in the flatbed world, which has predictable volume flows because demand for commodities such as construction equipment, flatbed's bread and butter, is as much seasonal as it is economically sensitive (construction work generally takes place in the late spring, summer, and early fall). However, Vaughn said there's no reason the model couldn't also be applied to dry van operations. "It all comes down to knowing your customers, their freight, and their requirements," he said.
TRY EVERYTHING AND HOPE SOMETHING STICKS
Initiatives like the P&S partnership are not cure-alls for the capacity crisis afflicting all parts of trucking. Even Vaughn acknowledged that flatbed carriers are not yet doing a great job managing the problem. Yet it reflects the slew of ideas, some completely foreign to traditional trucking, being marshaled to cope with what some are starting to call the worst crunch in the industry's long history. "The market is looking for every option it can get its hands on," said Chris Jones, executive vice president, marketing and services for Canadian logistics IT (information technology) company Descartes Systems Group Inc.
For example, Miami-based Ryder Systems Inc. unveiled a program in late March matching businesses needing short-term tractor-trailer capacity with asset holders whose equipment would normally sit idle, the first time the asset-sharing platform popularized by hospitality site Airbnb has been deployed in trucking. A multiparty dedicated model has been developed in the last-mile delivery space allowing small to mid-sized retailers that otherwise can't justify their own networks to share space and technology aboard vehicles as long as each retailer's data is aggregated so it can't be seen by others. Jones, whose company is out front in the initiative, said large truckers are expressing interest in participating, particularly in areas where density is relatively low and assets are available.
Truckload carriers are looking to expand their presence in the multistop delivery market to offer a lower-cost alternative to traditional less-than-truckload (LTL) services. However, Mark Cubine, vice president, marketing and enterprise systems for Birmingham, Ala.-based IT firm McLeod Software, said the discussions are focusing on building dedicated agreements for these services. According to Cubine, in the new era of compliance with the government's electronic logging device (ELD) mandate, where drivers must now operate within their lawful hours of service rather than add a couple of hours to their runs and then fudge their paper logbooks, few truckers will commit to multistop routes that might take more than one day to complete without the assurance of dedicated agreements. Hours-of-service compliance "is the new definition of capacity," Cubine said.
The dedicated model, which many predicted was a solution just waiting for a problem, appears to be in full flower. Capacity is assured for a multiyear period, price increases are negotiated ahead of time, and good providers can find loads to fill backhauls so the customer—who in the traditional dedicated model pays for round-trip capacity whether the equipment is utilized or not—is shielded from a potential financial hit if it lacks adequate return volume. NFI, a Cherry Hill, N.J.-based trucker with a strong dedicated carriage footprint, is using the capacity crisis "as an opportunity to lock up good business," said Bill Mahoney, the company's senior vice president of sales. Mahoney added that NFI is marketing dedicated's value as it always has, but the difference today is that "it's taking less convincing" to get customer buy-in.
Another relatively new model is "volume LTL" or "partial truckload," which are options for shippers with loads that are too heavy or dimensionally outsized for an LTL trailer but are smaller than a full truckload. There are factors that could make partial truckload a more cost-effective buy than volume LTL, especially if a shipment's profile falls outside the optimal size for an LTL trailer. One caveat is that the program isn't suitable for moves of less than 250 miles because the short-haul may not be worth it for the carrier. However, in a cycle where capacity is as dear as can be, shippers may be willing to pay to make it worthwhile for the carrier, experts said.
BACK TO BASICS
Perhaps lost amid the crisis, and the innovations being developed to combat it, is the pressing need for shippers, third parties, and truckers to better manage the daily blocking-and-tackling. The capacity problem has been "festering for years," said Charles W. Clowdis Jr., a long-time transport executive and consultant who heads his own consulting firm. That's because many shippers grew complacent and negligent in a two-decades-long buyer's market and failed to make their freight "carrier- and driver-friendly" long before it became a current-day marketing slogan, he said.
Failure to move drivers on and off the docks within an hour or two, or even providing drivers with an attractive level of amenities to pass the time, has come back to bite shippers now that truckers and drivers can effectively cherry-pick their loads, Clowdis said. He estimates that the inability to address and resolve these basic issues is the cause of half of the current crisis.
Another long-timer, Larry Menaker, whose consulting firm specializes in dedicated service, said shippers shouldn't count on an endless supply of dedicated capacity. "There is only so much capacity right now. If carriers are offered new dedicated opportunities, and to meet those needs requires them to pull equipment from satisfactory volume, they may be hesitant to do that," he said.
Menaker added that the trucking industry's public line that the driver shortage is at the root of the crisis masks the hard realities behind why a crisis exists to begin with. "What seems less touted are reducing empty miles by matching loads better, increasing velocity of load count by reducing loading and unloading delays, and increasing velocity by matching loading and unloading schedules better," he said. "These factors require cooperation among various players who have infrequently shown willingness to do this in the past, plus it requires change, a very hard psychological barrier to overcome."
As holiday shoppers blitz through the final weeks of the winter peak shopping season, a survey from the postal and shipping solutions provider Stamps.com shows that 40% of U.S. consumers are unaware of holiday shipping deadlines, leaving them at risk of running into last-minute scrambles, higher shipping costs, and packages arriving late.
The survey also found a generational difference in holiday shipping deadline awareness, with 53% of Baby Boomers unaware of these cut-off dates, compared to just 32% of Millennials. Millennials are also more likely to prioritize guaranteed delivery, with 68% citing it as a key factor when choosing a shipping option this holiday season.
Of those surveyed, 66% have experienced holiday shipping delays, with Gen Z reporting the highest rate of delays at 73%, compared to 49% of Baby Boomers. That statistical spread highlights a conclusion that younger generations are less tolerant of delays and prioritize fast and efficient shipping, researchers said. The data came from a study of 1,000 U.S. consumers conducted in October 2024 to understand their shopping habits and preferences.
As they cope with that tight shipping window, a huge 83% of surveyed consumers are willing to pay extra for faster shipping to avoid the prospect of a late-arriving gift. This trend is especially strong among Gen Z, with 56% willing to pay up, compared to just 27% of Baby Boomers.
“As the holiday season approaches, it’s crucial for consumers to be prepared and aware of shipping deadlines to ensure their gifts arrive on time,” Nick Spitzman, General Manager of Stamps.com, said in a release. ”Our survey highlights the significant portion of consumers who are unaware of these deadlines, particularly older generations. It’s essential for retailers and shipping carriers to provide clear and timely information about shipping deadlines to help consumers avoid last-minute stress and disappointment.”
For best results, Stamps.com advises consumers to begin holiday shopping early and familiarize themselves with shipping deadlines across carriers. That is especially true with Thanksgiving falling later this year, meaning the holiday season is shorter and planning ahead is even more essential.
According to Stamps.com, key shipping deadlines include:
December 13, 2024: Last day for FedEx Ground Economy
December 18, 2024: Last day for USPS Ground Advantage and First-Class Mail
December 19, 2024: Last day for UPS 3 Day Select and USPS Priority Mail
December 20, 2024: Last day for UPS 2nd Day Air
December 21, 2024: Last day for USPS Priority Mail Express
Measured over the entire year of 2024, retailers estimate that 16.9% of their annual sales will be returned. But that total figure includes a spike of returns during the holidays; a separate NRF study found that for the 2024 winter holidays, retailers expect their return rate to be 17% higher, on average, than their annual return rate.
Despite the cost of handling that massive reverse logistics task, retailers grin and bear it because product returns are so tightly integrated with brand loyalty, offering companies an additional touchpoint to provide a positive interaction with their customers, NRF Vice President of Industry and Consumer Insights Katherine Cullen said in a release. According to NRF’s research, 76% of consumers consider free returns a key factor in deciding where to shop, and 67% say a negative return experience would discourage them from shopping with a retailer again. And 84% of consumers report being more likely to shop with a retailer that offers no box/no label returns and immediate refunds.
So in response to consumer demand, retailers continue to enhance the return experience for customers. More than two-thirds of retailers surveyed (68%) say they are prioritizing upgrading their returns capabilities within the next six months. In addition, improving the returns experience and reducing the return rate are viewed as two of the most important elements for businesses in achieving their 2025 goals.
However, retailers also must balance meeting consumer demand for seamless returns against rising costs. Fraudulent and abusive returns practices create both logistical and financial challenges for retailers. A majority (93%) of retailers said retail fraud and other exploitive behavior is a significant issue for their business. In terms of abuse, bracketing – purchasing multiple items with the intent to return some – has seen growth among younger consumers, with 51% of Gen Z consumers indicating they engage in this practice.
“Return policies are no longer just a post-purchase consideration – they’re shaping how younger generations shop from the start,” David Sobie, co-founder and CEO of Happy Returns, said in a release. “With behaviors like bracketing and rising return rates putting strain on traditional systems, retailers need to rethink reverse logistics. Solutions like no box/no label returns with item verification enable immediate refunds, meeting customer expectations for convenience while increasing accuracy, reducing fraud and helping to protect profitability in a competitive market.”
The research came from two complementary surveys conducted this fall, allowing NRF and Happy Returns to compare perspectives from both sides. They included one that gathered responses from 2,007 consumers who had returned at least one online purchase within the past year, and another from 249 e-commerce and finance professionals from large U.S. retailers.
The “series A” round was led by Andreessen Horowitz (a16z), with participation from Y Combinator and strategic industry investors, including RyderVentures. It follows an earlier, previously undisclosed, pre-seed round raised 1.5 years ago, that was backed by Array Ventures and other angel investors.
“Our mission is to redefine the economics of the freight industry by harnessing the power of agentic AI,ˮ Pablo Palafox, HappyRobotʼs co-founder and CEO, said in a release. “This funding will enable us to accelerate product development, expand and support our customer base, and ultimately transform how logistics businesses operate.ˮ
According to the firm, its conversational AI platform uses agentic AI—a term for systems that can autonomously make decisions and take actions to achieve specific goals—to simplify logistics operations. HappyRobot says its tech can automate tasks like inbound and outbound calls, carrier negotiations, and data capture, thus enabling brokers to enhance efficiency and capacity, improve margins, and free up human agents to focus on higher-value activities.
“Today, the logistics industry underpinning our global economy is stretched,” Anish Acharya, general partner at a16z, said. “As a key part of the ecosystem, even small to midsize freight brokers can make and receive hundreds, if not thousands, of calls per day – and hiring for this job is increasingly difficult. By providing customers with autonomous decision making, HappyRobotʼs agentic AI platform helps these brokers operate more reliably and efficiently.ˮ
RJW Logistics Group, a logistics solutions provider (LSP) for consumer packaged goods (CPG) brands, has received a “strategic investment” from Boston-based private equity firm Berkshire partners, and now plans to drive future innovations and expand its geographic reach, the Woodridge, Illinois-based company said Tuesday.
Terms of the deal were not disclosed, but the company said that CEO Kevin Williamson and other members of RJW management will continue to be “significant investors” in the company, while private equity firm Mason Wells, which invested in RJW in 2019, will maintain a minority investment position.
RJW is an asset-based transportation, logistics, and warehousing provider, operating more than 7.3 million square feet of consolidation warehouse space in the transportation hubs of Chicago and Dallas and employing 1,900 people. RJW says it partners with over 850 CPG brands and delivers to more than 180 retailers nationwide. According to the company, its retail logistics solutions save cost, improve visibility, and achieve industry-leading On-Time, In-Full (OTIF) performance. Those improvements drive increased in-stock rates and sales, benefiting both CPG brands and their retailer partners, the firm says.
"After several years of mitigating inflation, disruption, supply shocks, conflicts, and uncertainty, we are currently in a relative period of calm," John Paitek, vice president, GEP, said in a release. "But it is very much the calm before the coming storm. This report provides procurement and supply chain leaders with a prescriptive guide to weathering the gale force headwinds of protectionism, tariffs, trade wars, regulatory pressures, uncertainty, and the AI revolution that we will face in 2025."
A report from the company released today offers predictions and strategies for the upcoming year, organized into six major predictions in GEP’s “Outlook 2025: Procurement & Supply Chain” report.
Advanced AI agents will play a key role in demand forecasting, risk monitoring, and supply chain optimization, shifting procurement's mandate from tactical to strategic. Companies should invest in the technology now to to streamline processes and enhance decision-making.
Expanded value metrics will drive decisions, as success will be measured by resilience, sustainability, and compliance… not just cost efficiency. Companies should communicate value beyond cost savings to stakeholders, and develop new KPIs.
Increasing regulatory demands will necessitate heightened supply chain transparency and accountability. So companies should strengthen supplier audits, adopt ESG tracking tools, and integrate compliance into strategic procurement decisions.
Widening tariffs and trade restrictions will force companies to reassess total cost of ownership (TCO) metrics to include geopolitical and environmental risks, as nearshoring and friendshoring attempt to balance resilience with cost.
Rising energy costs and regulatory demands will accelerate the shift to sustainable operations, pushing companies to invest in renewable energy and redesign supply chains to align with ESG commitments.
New tariffs could drive prices higher, just as inflation has come under control and interest rates are returning to near-zero levels. That means companies must continue to secure cost savings as their primary responsibility.