Mark Solomon joined DC VELOCITY as senior editor in August 2008, and was promoted to his current position on January 1, 2015. He has spent more than 30 years in the transportation, logistics and supply chain management fields as a journalist and public relations professional. From 1989 to 1994, he worked in Washington as a reporter for the Journal of Commerce, covering the aviation and trucking industries, the Department of Transportation, Congress and the U.S. Supreme Court. Prior to that, he worked for Traffic World for seven years in a similar role. From 1994 to 2008, Mr. Solomon ran Media-Based Solutions, a public relations firm based in Atlanta. He graduated in 1978 with a B.A. in journalism from The American University in Washington, D.C.
Nowhere is it written that all e-commerce deliveries must consist of symmetrical four-pound parcels. In fact, the focus of the online fulfillment saga's next chapter could be on items that don't look anything like what has come before.
Small, lightweight shipments handled through traditional conveyance systems have dominated e-commerce's early days. But the broadening of online inventories now gives consumers and businesses access to goods of all shapes, weights, and sizes. These include so-called large-format items that weigh more than 150 pounds and usually require two people to deliver and perhaps install, as well as relatively light but bulky products that are incompatible with conveyors. These could be skis, mattresses, treadmills, or desks. Or they could be furniture items ordered on Seattle-based Amazon.com Inc., the world's largest e-tailer, which recently announced it would enter the space.
U.S. online sales of nonconveyable goods have hit $30 billion, equal to about 10 percent of total e-commerce sales, according to Omaha, Neb.-based truckload and logistics company Werner Enterprises Inc., which in May launched a service to deliver such items the "last" mile to residences from stores, factories, or DCs. For-hire last-mile deliveries of heavy goods ordered online have grown at a nearly 9-percent compound annual rate since 2012 and are now a $7.6 billion-a-year business, said consultancy SJ Consulting.
E-commerce rewrote the rules for parcel carriers, which had to adjust to business-to-consumer (B2C) deliveries overtaking their traditional business-to-business (B2B) market. The continued growth of large-format orders will rewrite the rules yet again, but this time for multiple types of carriers. Parcel service providers are expanding their physical networks in part to accommodate orders that can't be handled via conveyor. FedEx Ground, the ground parcel unit that handles the bulk of e-commerce deliveries for its parent, Memphis, Tenn.-based FedEx Corp., has added 10 million square feet of capacity in the past 18 months, with four major U.S. hubs and 19 automated stations. Meanwhile, less-than-truckload (LTL) carriers with minimal exposure to residences and with drivers accustomed to serving docks will now be expected to go into a home and work directly with customers. And truckload carriers, the biggest collective players in U.S. shipping, will dive in as e-commerce growth provides attractive levels of shipment density centered around major markets.
Kevin P. Knight, chief executive officer of Phoenix-based Knight Transportation, which will become the nation's biggest truckload carrier should its $6 billion merger with hometown rival Swift Transportation Co. LLC win shareholder approval, reportedly said on a recent analyst call that e-commerce volume growth "has allowed truckload to be in the game, whereas initially when it wasn't so concentrated or there wasn't the volume, you had no choice but to rely on parcel or even LTL."
CAPACITY ALLOCATION CHALLENGES
Given the dynamic nature of omnichannel fulfillment, where orders can be pulled from anywhere, there will be increasing pressure to execute proper load planning so carrier capacity can be effectively allocated. "The challenge for us will be getting good capacity in all the right places," said Craig Stoffel, Werner's vice president of global logistics. Werner's fleet will focus on the linehaul part of the move—known as the "middle mile"—before tendering the goods to a network of last-mile delivery providers. Stoffel said the company has assembled a network of 200 locations to support the initiative.
Demands by consumers and businesses for faster delivery will require greater focus on cross-docking, where goods dropped off at a dock are quickly reloaded onto another vehicle without the product's entering a warehouse or DC. XPO Logistics Inc., the Greenwich, Conn.-based transportation and logistics service provider that operates what it says is the industry's largest last-mile network with 12 million deliveries a year, leverages its cross-dock function to examine products and make any needed modifications, said Will O'Shea, senior vice president, sales solutions, for the company's Last Mile unit.
XPO is testing the integration of its contract logistics, LTL, and last-mile operations and is working to compress delivery times for larger items to one to two days from the current five- to six-day window. XPO is a top player in all three segments, which O'Shea said gives it a leg up in the last-mile space compared with rivals that are just starting out. XPO has said it hopes to roll out the service by year's end.
The cross-dock model could be expanded on a collaborative basis, with goods being brought in on behalf of multiple retailers and then placed on so-called straight trucks, vehicles with standard dimensions and "lift-gate" devices that raise and lower items between ground level and the level of the vehicle's bed. "Why would each one of those [retailers] have its own discrete method of final mile?" asked Alex Stark, senior vice president, marketing for Kane Is Able Inc., a Scranton, Pa.-based LTL carrier and third-party logistics service provider (3PL). "They should pool their sales and leverage an enabler to execute to the consumer."
Stark also suggested that truckload and LTL carriers consider tapping into the pool of straight trucks controlled by rental outfits such as U-Haul that might otherwise sit unused. "What if truckload and LTL carriers contracted out with those companies to provide last-mile service within a geographic region?" he said. "That would be an excellent example of collaboration and shouldn't cannibalize the driver fleet since most straight trucks do not require a [commercial driver's license] to operate."
Stoffel of Werner expects that truckload carriers will partner up with LTL carriers because it would not be cost-effective to utilize a whole truck to transport, say, two or three treadmills to residences, whereas an LTL carrier commingling freight for multiple customers can afford to do that. "Truckload service providers will need strong LTL partnerships" to remain viable over the long haul, he said.
The growth of last-mile services, and the accompanying proliferation of entrants, could result in provider convergence the likes of which the transportation and logistics industry has rarely seen. "They're all merging," said Paul Johnson, vice president of global solutions and consulting for Descartes Systems Group Inc., a Waterloo, Ontario-based IT company, referring to the expected integration of services. The ability of providers to be flexible and reconfigure networks almost on the fly will be critical to success, Johnson said.
SUPERIOR TECHNOLOGY
To be sufficiently agile to support multiple workflows, providers will also need top-notch technology. A company like XPO, for example, offers visibility to the consumer from the point of purchase to proof of delivery, according to O'Shea. It also gives its contract drivers (it relies on about 5,000 independent contractors) visibility of the product down to the item level, O'Shea said. This means, among other things, that drivers can be guided to address specific issues related to product installation either while at the home or before arrival.
By contrast, truckload carriers have barely scratched the surface on track-and-trace technology because that hasn't been a priority. Johnson of Descartes said the speed and proficiency by which truckload and LTL drivers master mobile technology will be another key factor in making last-mile work.
Above all else, according to O'Shea, those getting into the market must adapt to a new world. Not only are drivers entering a customer's most private environment, but they are usually delivering a high-cost product that, in many cases, must also be assembled. Unlike "traditional" e-commerce shipments, which can be returned with relatively little inconvenience to the customer and cost to the retailer, a late delivery of a large-format item, damage to the item during delivery, improper installation, or just plain buyer's remorse ratchets up the cost to the retailer as well as the provider. If any of those scenarios occurs, the driver must then go into "save the sale" mode, according to Stoffel of Werner.
"It's a very different business when you are interacting with the customer in their home," said O'Shea, who has been doing last-mile for years. "For drivers, it's not what they're used to. They bump docks."
A version of this article appears in our July 2017 print edition under the title "Going heavy to the home."
As holiday shoppers blitz through the final weeks of the winter peak shopping season, a survey from the postal and shipping solutions provider Stamps.com shows that 40% of U.S. consumers are unaware of holiday shipping deadlines, leaving them at risk of running into last-minute scrambles, higher shipping costs, and packages arriving late.
The survey also found a generational difference in holiday shipping deadline awareness, with 53% of Baby Boomers unaware of these cut-off dates, compared to just 32% of Millennials. Millennials are also more likely to prioritize guaranteed delivery, with 68% citing it as a key factor when choosing a shipping option this holiday season.
Of those surveyed, 66% have experienced holiday shipping delays, with Gen Z reporting the highest rate of delays at 73%, compared to 49% of Baby Boomers. That statistical spread highlights a conclusion that younger generations are less tolerant of delays and prioritize fast and efficient shipping, researchers said. The data came from a study of 1,000 U.S. consumers conducted in October 2024 to understand their shopping habits and preferences.
As they cope with that tight shipping window, a huge 83% of surveyed consumers are willing to pay extra for faster shipping to avoid the prospect of a late-arriving gift. This trend is especially strong among Gen Z, with 56% willing to pay up, compared to just 27% of Baby Boomers.
“As the holiday season approaches, it’s crucial for consumers to be prepared and aware of shipping deadlines to ensure their gifts arrive on time,” Nick Spitzman, General Manager of Stamps.com, said in a release. ”Our survey highlights the significant portion of consumers who are unaware of these deadlines, particularly older generations. It’s essential for retailers and shipping carriers to provide clear and timely information about shipping deadlines to help consumers avoid last-minute stress and disappointment.”
For best results, Stamps.com advises consumers to begin holiday shopping early and familiarize themselves with shipping deadlines across carriers. That is especially true with Thanksgiving falling later this year, meaning the holiday season is shorter and planning ahead is even more essential.
According to Stamps.com, key shipping deadlines include:
December 13, 2024: Last day for FedEx Ground Economy
December 18, 2024: Last day for USPS Ground Advantage and First-Class Mail
December 19, 2024: Last day for UPS 3 Day Select and USPS Priority Mail
December 20, 2024: Last day for UPS 2nd Day Air
December 21, 2024: Last day for USPS Priority Mail Express
Measured over the entire year of 2024, retailers estimate that 16.9% of their annual sales will be returned. But that total figure includes a spike of returns during the holidays; a separate NRF study found that for the 2024 winter holidays, retailers expect their return rate to be 17% higher, on average, than their annual return rate.
Despite the cost of handling that massive reverse logistics task, retailers grin and bear it because product returns are so tightly integrated with brand loyalty, offering companies an additional touchpoint to provide a positive interaction with their customers, NRF Vice President of Industry and Consumer Insights Katherine Cullen said in a release. According to NRF’s research, 76% of consumers consider free returns a key factor in deciding where to shop, and 67% say a negative return experience would discourage them from shopping with a retailer again. And 84% of consumers report being more likely to shop with a retailer that offers no box/no label returns and immediate refunds.
So in response to consumer demand, retailers continue to enhance the return experience for customers. More than two-thirds of retailers surveyed (68%) say they are prioritizing upgrading their returns capabilities within the next six months. In addition, improving the returns experience and reducing the return rate are viewed as two of the most important elements for businesses in achieving their 2025 goals.
However, retailers also must balance meeting consumer demand for seamless returns against rising costs. Fraudulent and abusive returns practices create both logistical and financial challenges for retailers. A majority (93%) of retailers said retail fraud and other exploitive behavior is a significant issue for their business. In terms of abuse, bracketing – purchasing multiple items with the intent to return some – has seen growth among younger consumers, with 51% of Gen Z consumers indicating they engage in this practice.
“Return policies are no longer just a post-purchase consideration – they’re shaping how younger generations shop from the start,” David Sobie, co-founder and CEO of Happy Returns, said in a release. “With behaviors like bracketing and rising return rates putting strain on traditional systems, retailers need to rethink reverse logistics. Solutions like no box/no label returns with item verification enable immediate refunds, meeting customer expectations for convenience while increasing accuracy, reducing fraud and helping to protect profitability in a competitive market.”
The research came from two complementary surveys conducted this fall, allowing NRF and Happy Returns to compare perspectives from both sides. They included one that gathered responses from 2,007 consumers who had returned at least one online purchase within the past year, and another from 249 e-commerce and finance professionals from large U.S. retailers.
The “series A” round was led by Andreessen Horowitz (a16z), with participation from Y Combinator and strategic industry investors, including RyderVentures. It follows an earlier, previously undisclosed, pre-seed round raised 1.5 years ago, that was backed by Array Ventures and other angel investors.
“Our mission is to redefine the economics of the freight industry by harnessing the power of agentic AI,ˮ Pablo Palafox, HappyRobotʼs co-founder and CEO, said in a release. “This funding will enable us to accelerate product development, expand and support our customer base, and ultimately transform how logistics businesses operate.ˮ
According to the firm, its conversational AI platform uses agentic AI—a term for systems that can autonomously make decisions and take actions to achieve specific goals—to simplify logistics operations. HappyRobot says its tech can automate tasks like inbound and outbound calls, carrier negotiations, and data capture, thus enabling brokers to enhance efficiency and capacity, improve margins, and free up human agents to focus on higher-value activities.
“Today, the logistics industry underpinning our global economy is stretched,” Anish Acharya, general partner at a16z, said. “As a key part of the ecosystem, even small to midsize freight brokers can make and receive hundreds, if not thousands, of calls per day – and hiring for this job is increasingly difficult. By providing customers with autonomous decision making, HappyRobotʼs agentic AI platform helps these brokers operate more reliably and efficiently.ˮ
RJW Logistics Group, a logistics solutions provider (LSP) for consumer packaged goods (CPG) brands, has received a “strategic investment” from Boston-based private equity firm Berkshire partners, and now plans to drive future innovations and expand its geographic reach, the Woodridge, Illinois-based company said Tuesday.
Terms of the deal were not disclosed, but the company said that CEO Kevin Williamson and other members of RJW management will continue to be “significant investors” in the company, while private equity firm Mason Wells, which invested in RJW in 2019, will maintain a minority investment position.
RJW is an asset-based transportation, logistics, and warehousing provider, operating more than 7.3 million square feet of consolidation warehouse space in the transportation hubs of Chicago and Dallas and employing 1,900 people. RJW says it partners with over 850 CPG brands and delivers to more than 180 retailers nationwide. According to the company, its retail logistics solutions save cost, improve visibility, and achieve industry-leading On-Time, In-Full (OTIF) performance. Those improvements drive increased in-stock rates and sales, benefiting both CPG brands and their retailer partners, the firm says.
"After several years of mitigating inflation, disruption, supply shocks, conflicts, and uncertainty, we are currently in a relative period of calm," John Paitek, vice president, GEP, said in a release. "But it is very much the calm before the coming storm. This report provides procurement and supply chain leaders with a prescriptive guide to weathering the gale force headwinds of protectionism, tariffs, trade wars, regulatory pressures, uncertainty, and the AI revolution that we will face in 2025."
A report from the company released today offers predictions and strategies for the upcoming year, organized into six major predictions in GEP’s “Outlook 2025: Procurement & Supply Chain” report.
Advanced AI agents will play a key role in demand forecasting, risk monitoring, and supply chain optimization, shifting procurement's mandate from tactical to strategic. Companies should invest in the technology now to to streamline processes and enhance decision-making.
Expanded value metrics will drive decisions, as success will be measured by resilience, sustainability, and compliance… not just cost efficiency. Companies should communicate value beyond cost savings to stakeholders, and develop new KPIs.
Increasing regulatory demands will necessitate heightened supply chain transparency and accountability. So companies should strengthen supplier audits, adopt ESG tracking tools, and integrate compliance into strategic procurement decisions.
Widening tariffs and trade restrictions will force companies to reassess total cost of ownership (TCO) metrics to include geopolitical and environmental risks, as nearshoring and friendshoring attempt to balance resilience with cost.
Rising energy costs and regulatory demands will accelerate the shift to sustainable operations, pushing companies to invest in renewable energy and redesign supply chains to align with ESG commitments.
New tariffs could drive prices higher, just as inflation has come under control and interest rates are returning to near-zero levels. That means companies must continue to secure cost savings as their primary responsibility.