In a bid to cut costs, more shippers are using computer modeling to decide whether to take control of their inbound shipments. But be prepared: Suppliers might not be willing to play along.
James Cooke is a principal analyst with Nucleus Research in Boston, covering supply chain planning software. He was previously the editor of CSCMP?s Supply Chain Quarterly and a staff writer for DC Velocity.
Buyers and sellers have battled over control of inbound shipments for decades. But in today's tough economy, that conflict has intensified as buyers—especially retailers—step up their efforts to cut supply chain costs.
As part of these efforts, buyers are looking at whether they could save money by assuming control of the inbound move, instead of paying whatever the seller charges to deliver its freight to the buyer's door. To help make this determination, many are turning to transportation management systems (TMS). Because this type of software allows them to model so-called "what-if" scenarios, it's a useful tool for weighing the pros and cons of taking over responsibility for inbound moves. But, experts caution, logistics managers should not assume they will automatically reap all the benefits the model suggests are available.
MODELING THE "WHAT-IFS"
The growing interest among buyers in managing inbound freight was highlighted in a recent Kane Research study, "Key Supply Chain Challenges of Mid-Sized CPG Companies." A number of the 110 consumer packaged goods executives who participated in the study reported that the retailers they do business with want greater control of inbound freight than in the past.
That's not surprising given that many retailers believe their market power allows them to negotiate more favorable rates with truckers than their suppliers could. But the desire to control inbound shipments isn't just about money. "Retailers also want to use their preferred carriers to ... ensure that they are working with the carriers that understand the retailer's specific needs and requirements," says study co-author Brian Gibson, a professor of supply chain management at Auburn University in Alabama. In addition, a retailer that operates a private fleet may have another motivation for wanting to take control of its inbound shipments: It may be able to reduce empty miles by picking up an inbound shipment from a vendor after delivering an outbound load in the same vicinity.
In order to decide who should control inbound freight, shippers first need to do an analysis. And a TMS gives them a tool to weigh the tradeoffs. For instance, Monica Wooden, chief executive officer of the TMS developer MercuryGate International Inc., reports that a number of her company's retail clients, including Dillard's, Bed Bath & Beyond, and Walmart.com, have recently used a TMS for evaluating inbound options.
How does a TMS help with such an analysis? For starters, it can model whether a proposed shift in control of inbound transportation might allow a buyer to obtain a lower rate on a specific lane. "A what-if analysis can determine what it will cost me on a per-unit basis if I take on control of transportation of this product," explains Derek Gittoes, vice president, logistics product strategy at Oracle, which offers a TMS. "I can then compare that with the current freight cost."
TMS modeling can also help users determine whether a buyer could tap into its carrier network to coordinate pickups with deliveries, either with an existing for-hire trucker or with its private fleet. In this way, the TMS can provide the visibility needed to make better decisions regarding inbound transportation expenditures, says Chuck Fuerst, director of product strategy at TMS provider HighJump Software Inc.
Increasingly, that visibility is expanding beyond domestic boundaries. Historically, when companies have used a TMS to assess the cost implications of handling their own inbound shipments, they have looked only at truck movements within the United States. But some are starting to use this type of software to examine inbound air or ocean shipments from overseas suppliers. "I expect to see more growth for doing this on the international side," says Fabrizio Brasca, vice president of global logistics for JDA Software Inc., another TMS provider. "There's a growing trend for larger retailers to look at this analysis from origin to ultimate destination."
THE MATCH GAME
Because modeling requires time and resources, this type of analysis should not be undertaken lightly. Before getting started, a shipper should have at least some idea where savings opportunities might be found, cautions Roy Ananny, a senior manager in the transportation practice of the consultant Chainalytics. If the shipper operates a private fleet, for example, the company might focus on identifying potential backhauls.
Alternatively, the buyer might want to look at the vendor's pricing—that is, whether the supplier is charging more for the inbound delivery service than the going for-hire rate. If a vendor includes a "freight allowance" on the bill, it's fairly easy to tell whether that's the case. A freight allowance is the amount the manufacturer will deduct from the bill should the buyer pick up the freight. By law, the freight allowance must reflect the seller's actual cost for moving the goods. "The easiest way to justify a TMS modeling is if the freight allowances along lanes are [higher] than the market rate," says Ananny.
Unfortunately, not every manufacturer breaks out the inbound transportation cost on the bill of sale. "If the vendor is covering the freight himself, he may not tell you his rate cost," Ananny warns.
Still other buyers might find it worthwhile analyzing their network for opportunities to pair headhaul and backhaul trips—a move that would likely allow them to negotiate better rates. To determine whether such opportunities are available, Ananny says, shippers can pull data from their purchase order system and feed it to the TMS as if it were an instruction to set up a shipment. If the system indicates, for instance, that the product associated with a particular purchase order will be available tomorrow afternoon on the supplier's dock, the buyer could pick it up with the same vehicle used to make a delivery to a nearby location earlier in the day. "Both freight requirements must come together," he says.
GOOD IN THEORY ...
All of this is good in theory, but it may be hard to achieve in practice, even with help from a TMS. The coordination of outbound and inbound transportation can be complicated and expensive. Furthermore, logistics managers have to temper the simulation's results with their own assessment of the vendor's ability to stick to a schedule.
"In real life, as a shipper, you don't have a lot of control over the vendor's dock facilities," Ananny points out. If a vendor can't meet its commitments, it could throw off plans to pick up and deliver multiple shipments on a single run. "The vendor says, 'Come here at 10 a.m.,' but [suppose] there's an unforeseen circumstance and you don't get loaded until 2 p.m. The second pickup is in jeopardy because that vendor doesn't stay open long enough to accommodate the delay," he says. Even if the TMS suggests multiple pickups are possible, in reality, the success rate will be less than 100 percent, he adds.
And there's another potential obstacle: Suppliers may be unwilling to renegotiate the terms of sale to accommodate a buyer that wants to take control of its inbound moves. "The vendors may not be willing to change the way they do business with you," Ananny says. "The vendors may say, 'You can pick up the freight, but we're not going to change our price.'"
Indeed, many suppliers are resistant to handing over inbound control because they, too, want high shipment volumes to use as leverage when negotiating with carriers. "Suppliers who also have scale benefits resist giving up a portion of their scale to select customers simply because it would de-scale their network," explains Kumar Venkataraman, a partner in the consumer industries and retail practice at the consulting firm A.T. Kearney.
The takeaway: Although a transportation management system can be valuable in helping shippers identify potential benefits of controlling inbound transportation, logistics managers should conduct any modeling exercise with their eyes wide open. "TMS modeling can play a role in quantifying the value as long as people doing the modeling are aware of the things that can go wrong," Ananny says.
Supply chain planning (SCP) leaders working on transformation efforts are focused on two major high-impact technology trends, including composite AI and supply chain data governance, according to a study from Gartner, Inc.
"SCP leaders are in the process of developing transformation roadmaps that will prioritize delivering on advanced decision intelligence and automated decision making," Eva Dawkins, Director Analyst in Gartner’s Supply Chain practice, said in a release. "Composite AI, which is the combined application of different AI techniques to improve learning efficiency, will drive the optimization and automation of many planning activities at scale, while supply chain data governance is the foundational key for digital transformation.”
Their pursuit of those roadmaps is often complicated by frequent disruptions and the rapid pace of technological innovation. But Gartner says those leaders can accelerate the realized value of technology investments by facilitating a shift from IT-led to business-led digital leadership, with SCP leaders taking ownership of multidisciplinary teams to advance business operations, channels and products.
“A sound data governance strategy supports advanced technologies, such as composite AI, while also facilitating collaboration throughout the supply chain technology ecosystem,” said Dawkins. “Without attention to data governance, SCP leaders will likely struggle to achieve their expected ROI on key technology investments.”
The British logistics robot vendor Dexory this week said it has raised $80 million in venture funding to support an expansion of its artificial intelligence (AI) powered features, grow its global team, and accelerate the deployment of its autonomous robots.
A “significant focus” continues to be on expanding across the U.S. market, where Dexory is live with customers in seven states and last month opened a U.S. headquarters in Nashville. The Series B will also enhance development and production facilities at its UK headquarters, the firm said.
The “series B” funding round was led by DTCP, with participation from Latitude Ventures, Wave-X and Bootstrap Europe, along with existing investors Atomico, Lakestar, Capnamic, and several angels from the logistics industry. With the close of the round, Dexory has now raised $120 million over the past three years.
Dexory says its product, DexoryView, provides real-time visibility across warehouses of any size through its autonomous mobile robots and AI. The rolling bots use sensor and image data and continuous data collection to perform rapid warehouse scans and create digital twins of warehouse spaces, allowing for optimized performance and future scenario simulations.
Originally announced in September, the move will allow Deutsche Bahn to “fully focus on restructuring the rail infrastructure in Germany and providing climate-friendly passenger and freight transport operations in Germany and Europe,” Werner Gatzer, Chairman of the DB Supervisory Board, said in a release.
For its purchase price, DSV gains an organization with around 72,700 employees at over 1,850 locations. The new owner says it plans to investment around one billion euros in coming years to promote additional growth in German operations. Together, DSV and Schenker will have a combined workforce of approximately 147,000 employees in more than 90 countries, earning pro forma revenue of approximately $43.3 billion (based on 2023 numbers), DSV said.
After removing that unit, Deutsche Bahn retains its core business called the “Systemverbund Bahn,” which includes passenger transport activities in Germany, rail freight activities, operational service units, and railroad infrastructure companies. The DB Group, headquartered in Berlin, employs around 340,000 people.
“We have set clear goals to structurally modernize Deutsche Bahn in the areas of infrastructure, operations and profitability and focus on the core business. The proceeds from the sale will significantly reduce DB’s debt and thus make an important contribution to the financial stability of the DB Group. At the same time, DB Schenker will gain a strong strategic owner in DSV,” Deutsche Bahn CEO Richard Lutz said in a release.
Transportation industry veteran Anne Reinke will become president & CEO of trade group the Intermodal Association of North America (IANA) at the end of the year, stepping into the position from her previous post leading third party logistics (3PL) trade group the Transportation Intermediaries Association (TIA), both organizations said today.
Meanwhile, TIA today announced that insider Christopher Burroughs would fill Reinke’s shoes as president & CEO. Burroughs has been with TIA for 13 years, most recently as its vice president of Government Affairs for the past six years, during which time he oversaw all legislative and regulatory efforts before Congress and the federal agencies.
Before her four years leading TIA, Reinke spent two years as Deputy Assistant Secretary with the U.S. Department of Transportation and 16 years with CSX Corporation.
Serious inland flooding and widespread power outages are likely to sweep across Florida and other Southeast states in coming days with the arrival of Hurricane Helene, which is now predicted to make landfall Thursday evening along Florida’s northwest coast as a major hurricane, according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).
While the most catastrophic landfall impact is expected in the sparsely-population Big Bend area of Florida, it’s not only sea-front cities that are at risk. Since Helene is an “unusually large storm,” its flooding, rainfall, and high winds won’t be limited only to the Gulf Coast, but are expected to travel hundreds of miles inland, the weather service said. Heavy rainfall is expected to begin in the region even before the storm comes ashore, and the wet conditions will continue to move northward into the southern Appalachians region through Friday, dumping storm total rainfall amounts of up to 18 inches. Specifically, the major flood risk includes the urban areas around Tallahassee, metro Atlanta, and western North Carolina.
In addition to its human toll, the storm could exert serious business impacts, according to the supply chain mapping and monitoring firm Resilinc. Those will be largely triggered by significant flooding, which could halt oil operations, force mandatory evacuations, restrict ports, and disrupt air traffic.
While the storm’s track is currently forecast to miss the critical ports of Miami and New Orleans, it could still hurt operations throughout the Southeast agricultural belt, which produces products like soybeans, cotton, peanuts, corn, and tobacco, according to Everstream Analytics.
That widespread footprint could also hinder supply chain and logistics flows along stretches of interstate highways I-10 and I-75 and on regional rail lines operated by Norfolk Southern and CSX. And Hurricane Helene could also likely impact business operations by unleashing power outages, deep flooding, and wind damage in northern Florida portions of Georgia, Everstream Analytics said.
Before the storm had even touched Florida soil, recovery efforts were already being launched by humanitarian aid group the American Logistics Aid Network (ALAN). In a statement on Wednesday, the group said it is urging residents in the storm's path across the Southeast to heed evacuation notices and safety advisories, and reminding members of the logistics community that their post-storm help could be needed soon. The group will continue to update its Disaster Micro-Site with Hurricane Helene resources and with requests for donated logistics assistance, most of which will start arriving within 24 to 72 hours after the storm’s initial landfall, ALAN said.