Mark Solomon joined DC VELOCITY as senior editor in August 2008, and was promoted to his current position on January 1, 2015. He has spent more than 30 years in the transportation, logistics and supply chain management fields as a journalist and public relations professional. From 1989 to 1994, he worked in Washington as a reporter for the Journal of Commerce, covering the aviation and trucking industries, the Department of Transportation, Congress and the U.S. Supreme Court. Prior to that, he worked for Traffic World for seven years in a similar role. From 1994 to 2008, Mr. Solomon ran Media-Based Solutions, a public relations firm based in Atlanta. He graduated in 1978 with a B.A. in journalism from The American University in Washington, D.C.
It was a signature event of a signature era. On Nov. 10, 1999, at the height of the dot.com boom,
UPS Inc. ended nearly seven decades as a private company and went public with what was, at the time, the largest IPO in U.S. history.
The offering, which raised $5.5 billion, was an immediate hit. Initially priced at $50 a share,
UPS's new "Class B" stock—which represented 10 percent of its shares at the time—soared more than $17 by the close of the first day of trading.
It wasn't hard to understand the IPO's appeal. Unlike companies that were coming public with only modest revenues and a scant chance of showing profits anytime soon, UPS was a 92-year-old business with a proven model and an established track record.
At the same time, UPS was seen as being in the sweet spot of the Internet boom. With its massive
shipping network and sophisticated information systems, UPS was wonderfully positioned to carry the
avalanche of shipments that electronic commerce would spawn, investors thought.
Much has changed since then. In its first decade as a public company, UPS learned several painful
lessons. It found it was a far different matter to communicate a message and strategy to a skeptical
audience of outside investors and money managers than to its employee base. It discovered that
public investors had less patience than its employees for large-scale investments that would not
show a return for some time. And it had to embrace the notion that failure to hit quarterly revenue
or profit expectations—which in UPS's privately held days might have been greeted with
internal shrugs—would be met by widespread share selling by investors whose loyalty didn't
extend beyond their stock certificates.
At UPS, the marker for success is, and has always been, the performance of its equity. Here, one
statistic speaks volumes: Its stock price is at this writing only about $6 a share above its IPO
price in 1999. This has been a blow to employees of a company where individual wealth has been
generated by stock ownership instead of base compensation. For long-time employees accustomed to like-clockwork annual returns of 15 percent or more when UPS was private, the adjustment has been that much more painful.
Buying spree
Members of UPS's management committee, the 12-person group that runs the company, were not
available for comment. Interviewed byDC Velocity earlier this year,
Chairman and CEO Scott Davis said the IPO provided needed capital for UPS to make acquisitions supporting its global expansion.
"We needed a publicly traded equity to ensure we had the financial capability to execute on that
strategy," said Davis, adding that going public has made UPS "more aggressive, quicker to make
tough decisions, leaner, and more competitive."
Since it went public, UPS has made 40 acquisitions totaling an estimated $2 billion. The goal of
these transactions has been two-fold: to create an unparalleled worldwide delivery network, and to
give customers a one-stop shop of shipping, logistics, and financial service solutions underpinned
by advanced information technology.
"When we look at the world, we believe we've won the first race, which is building out our
global infrastructure," says UPS spokesman Norman Black. Black notes that UPS's chief rivals, FedEx
Corp. and DHL Express, have holes in their respective networks, with FedEx being a weak player in
Europe and DHL recently withdrawing from the domestic U.S. market. UPS has a competitive edge
because it is a major presence in markets where its competitors are not, Black says.
Once UPS completes work on its intra-China air hub in Shenzhen and an intercontinental air hub in Shanghai, it will essentially have "finished out" its global system, according to Black.
The acquisitions were also designed to support a strategy that would "enable global commerce" by integrating the movement of goods, information, and capital into a seamless flow. UPS believed that if customers leveraged its logistics, information, and financial services to expand their business,
they would do more shipping, thus feeding the company's highly profitable small-package
operation.
While that strategy was slow to yield results, the plan now seems to be paying off. Business
generated by UPS's Supply Chain Solutions unit provides it with about $2 billion in annual small
package revenue, according to a 2008 study by consulting firm Armstrong & Associates.
Still, the unit's performance has been a concern for investors. Profit margins for supply chain
revenue have remained in the mid-single digits, in contrast to the healthier 15-percent or so
margins generated by small package revenues. Black says the company never expected margins from
supply chain services to match those from the small package operation. "We believe we can get
(supply chain margins) to 7 percent and grow it from there," he says.
Long view
UPS, like other transport logistics companies, has been hammered by the recession. In the second
quarter of 2009, revenues and operating profits were off 16.7 and 38.4 percent, respectively, from
2008 levels. Yet the company's long-held reputation for fiscal prudence has helped cushion the
blows. At the end of June, it had $3.3 billion in cash and marketable securities, and $10.9 billion
in debt, most of it in long-term durations, levels considered reasonable for a company whose sales
are about five times that. In 2008, UPS's revenues hit a record $51.5 billion; it will be
hard-pressed to exceed that mark in 2009.
What makes UPS a formidable competitor is less its sheer size than its capacity to shake up the
landscape even after 102 years in business. In early October, it launched an initiative enabling
shippers, for a nominal charge, to calculate and offset the carbon footprint of their shipments.
UPS also said it will match the cost of the offsets incurred by its customers.
A few days earlier, in a direct attack on the traditional direct-mail industry, the company
announced it was testing a service in which drivers deliver small boxes filled with up to 12
premium offers and samples to select consumers. Retailers that have signed up for the pilot
program include Bed Bath & Beyond, Zappos.com, and the Men's Wearhouse.
Black says that UPS continues to take the long view toward its business despite short-term
market setbacks. That discipline, he says, positions the company well for the day when the global
economy gets back on its feet. "The next five to 10 years is going to be a period of tremendous
growth," he predicts.
As holiday shoppers blitz through the final weeks of the winter peak shopping season, a survey from the postal and shipping solutions provider Stamps.com shows that 40% of U.S. consumers are unaware of holiday shipping deadlines, leaving them at risk of running into last-minute scrambles, higher shipping costs, and packages arriving late.
The survey also found a generational difference in holiday shipping deadline awareness, with 53% of Baby Boomers unaware of these cut-off dates, compared to just 32% of Millennials. Millennials are also more likely to prioritize guaranteed delivery, with 68% citing it as a key factor when choosing a shipping option this holiday season.
Of those surveyed, 66% have experienced holiday shipping delays, with Gen Z reporting the highest rate of delays at 73%, compared to 49% of Baby Boomers. That statistical spread highlights a conclusion that younger generations are less tolerant of delays and prioritize fast and efficient shipping, researchers said. The data came from a study of 1,000 U.S. consumers conducted in October 2024 to understand their shopping habits and preferences.
As they cope with that tight shipping window, a huge 83% of surveyed consumers are willing to pay extra for faster shipping to avoid the prospect of a late-arriving gift. This trend is especially strong among Gen Z, with 56% willing to pay up, compared to just 27% of Baby Boomers.
“As the holiday season approaches, it’s crucial for consumers to be prepared and aware of shipping deadlines to ensure their gifts arrive on time,” Nick Spitzman, General Manager of Stamps.com, said in a release. ”Our survey highlights the significant portion of consumers who are unaware of these deadlines, particularly older generations. It’s essential for retailers and shipping carriers to provide clear and timely information about shipping deadlines to help consumers avoid last-minute stress and disappointment.”
For best results, Stamps.com advises consumers to begin holiday shopping early and familiarize themselves with shipping deadlines across carriers. That is especially true with Thanksgiving falling later this year, meaning the holiday season is shorter and planning ahead is even more essential.
According to Stamps.com, key shipping deadlines include:
December 13, 2024: Last day for FedEx Ground Economy
December 18, 2024: Last day for USPS Ground Advantage and First-Class Mail
December 19, 2024: Last day for UPS 3 Day Select and USPS Priority Mail
December 20, 2024: Last day for UPS 2nd Day Air
December 21, 2024: Last day for USPS Priority Mail Express
Measured over the entire year of 2024, retailers estimate that 16.9% of their annual sales will be returned. But that total figure includes a spike of returns during the holidays; a separate NRF study found that for the 2024 winter holidays, retailers expect their return rate to be 17% higher, on average, than their annual return rate.
Despite the cost of handling that massive reverse logistics task, retailers grin and bear it because product returns are so tightly integrated with brand loyalty, offering companies an additional touchpoint to provide a positive interaction with their customers, NRF Vice President of Industry and Consumer Insights Katherine Cullen said in a release. According to NRF’s research, 76% of consumers consider free returns a key factor in deciding where to shop, and 67% say a negative return experience would discourage them from shopping with a retailer again. And 84% of consumers report being more likely to shop with a retailer that offers no box/no label returns and immediate refunds.
So in response to consumer demand, retailers continue to enhance the return experience for customers. More than two-thirds of retailers surveyed (68%) say they are prioritizing upgrading their returns capabilities within the next six months. In addition, improving the returns experience and reducing the return rate are viewed as two of the most important elements for businesses in achieving their 2025 goals.
However, retailers also must balance meeting consumer demand for seamless returns against rising costs. Fraudulent and abusive returns practices create both logistical and financial challenges for retailers. A majority (93%) of retailers said retail fraud and other exploitive behavior is a significant issue for their business. In terms of abuse, bracketing – purchasing multiple items with the intent to return some – has seen growth among younger consumers, with 51% of Gen Z consumers indicating they engage in this practice.
“Return policies are no longer just a post-purchase consideration – they’re shaping how younger generations shop from the start,” David Sobie, co-founder and CEO of Happy Returns, said in a release. “With behaviors like bracketing and rising return rates putting strain on traditional systems, retailers need to rethink reverse logistics. Solutions like no box/no label returns with item verification enable immediate refunds, meeting customer expectations for convenience while increasing accuracy, reducing fraud and helping to protect profitability in a competitive market.”
The research came from two complementary surveys conducted this fall, allowing NRF and Happy Returns to compare perspectives from both sides. They included one that gathered responses from 2,007 consumers who had returned at least one online purchase within the past year, and another from 249 e-commerce and finance professionals from large U.S. retailers.
The “series A” round was led by Andreessen Horowitz (a16z), with participation from Y Combinator and strategic industry investors, including RyderVentures. It follows an earlier, previously undisclosed, pre-seed round raised 1.5 years ago, that was backed by Array Ventures and other angel investors.
“Our mission is to redefine the economics of the freight industry by harnessing the power of agentic AI,ˮ Pablo Palafox, HappyRobotʼs co-founder and CEO, said in a release. “This funding will enable us to accelerate product development, expand and support our customer base, and ultimately transform how logistics businesses operate.ˮ
According to the firm, its conversational AI platform uses agentic AI—a term for systems that can autonomously make decisions and take actions to achieve specific goals—to simplify logistics operations. HappyRobot says its tech can automate tasks like inbound and outbound calls, carrier negotiations, and data capture, thus enabling brokers to enhance efficiency and capacity, improve margins, and free up human agents to focus on higher-value activities.
“Today, the logistics industry underpinning our global economy is stretched,” Anish Acharya, general partner at a16z, said. “As a key part of the ecosystem, even small to midsize freight brokers can make and receive hundreds, if not thousands, of calls per day – and hiring for this job is increasingly difficult. By providing customers with autonomous decision making, HappyRobotʼs agentic AI platform helps these brokers operate more reliably and efficiently.ˮ
RJW Logistics Group, a logistics solutions provider (LSP) for consumer packaged goods (CPG) brands, has received a “strategic investment” from Boston-based private equity firm Berkshire partners, and now plans to drive future innovations and expand its geographic reach, the Woodridge, Illinois-based company said Tuesday.
Terms of the deal were not disclosed, but the company said that CEO Kevin Williamson and other members of RJW management will continue to be “significant investors” in the company, while private equity firm Mason Wells, which invested in RJW in 2019, will maintain a minority investment position.
RJW is an asset-based transportation, logistics, and warehousing provider, operating more than 7.3 million square feet of consolidation warehouse space in the transportation hubs of Chicago and Dallas and employing 1,900 people. RJW says it partners with over 850 CPG brands and delivers to more than 180 retailers nationwide. According to the company, its retail logistics solutions save cost, improve visibility, and achieve industry-leading On-Time, In-Full (OTIF) performance. Those improvements drive increased in-stock rates and sales, benefiting both CPG brands and their retailer partners, the firm says.
"After several years of mitigating inflation, disruption, supply shocks, conflicts, and uncertainty, we are currently in a relative period of calm," John Paitek, vice president, GEP, said in a release. "But it is very much the calm before the coming storm. This report provides procurement and supply chain leaders with a prescriptive guide to weathering the gale force headwinds of protectionism, tariffs, trade wars, regulatory pressures, uncertainty, and the AI revolution that we will face in 2025."
A report from the company released today offers predictions and strategies for the upcoming year, organized into six major predictions in GEP’s “Outlook 2025: Procurement & Supply Chain” report.
Advanced AI agents will play a key role in demand forecasting, risk monitoring, and supply chain optimization, shifting procurement's mandate from tactical to strategic. Companies should invest in the technology now to to streamline processes and enhance decision-making.
Expanded value metrics will drive decisions, as success will be measured by resilience, sustainability, and compliance… not just cost efficiency. Companies should communicate value beyond cost savings to stakeholders, and develop new KPIs.
Increasing regulatory demands will necessitate heightened supply chain transparency and accountability. So companies should strengthen supplier audits, adopt ESG tracking tools, and integrate compliance into strategic procurement decisions.
Widening tariffs and trade restrictions will force companies to reassess total cost of ownership (TCO) metrics to include geopolitical and environmental risks, as nearshoring and friendshoring attempt to balance resilience with cost.
Rising energy costs and regulatory demands will accelerate the shift to sustainable operations, pushing companies to invest in renewable energy and redesign supply chains to align with ESG commitments.
New tariffs could drive prices higher, just as inflation has come under control and interest rates are returning to near-zero levels. That means companies must continue to secure cost savings as their primary responsibility.